Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/12/2025 8:15 PM EST

We have your Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Commanders hit the road to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds Info

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Best Moneyline Odds: Washington Commanders +150 (bet365) / Tampa Bay Buccaneers -170 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -3.0 - Washington Commanders -105 (FanDuel) / Tampa Bay Buccaneers -115 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 50.5 - Under -110 (Caesars) / Over -110 (Caesars)

Special offers available for this game

Betr: Free Pick for NEW Customers: Baker Mayfield Total Passing Attempts > 0.5

Game Info

Date: 1/12/2025
Time: 8:15 PM EST
Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, FL)
TV: NBC

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Washington Commanders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have faced each other once, with the game taking place on September 8, 2024. In this matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers emerged victorious, defeating the Washington Commanders with a final score of 37-20. The home team, Tampa Bay, was favored to win, as indicated by the negative spread, and they successfully covered the spread. The game also went over the projected over-under line, marking the only instance in this period where the total score exceeded expectations. This single encounter saw the Buccaneers dominate both in terms of the final score and against the spread, while the Commanders were unable to secure a win or cover the spread.

In the detailed breakdown of the most recent game, the Buccaneers showcased a strong offensive performance, accumulating 392 total yards compared to the Commanders' 299. Tampa Bay's quarterback, Baker Mayfield, was instrumental in the victory, throwing four touchdown passes, including two to Mike Evans. The Buccaneers also demonstrated superior third-down efficiency, converting 9 of 13 attempts, which was a significant factor in their win. On the other hand, the Commanders struggled to keep pace, with their offense managing only 184 passing yards and failing to score any passing touchdowns. Despite a solid rushing effort, with 138 yards and three rushing touchdowns, Washington's overall performance fell short against Tampa Bay's balanced attack.

The game statistics further highlight Tampa Bay's control over the match, with the Buccaneers maintaining possession for a longer duration and executing more total plays than the Commanders. Both teams committed an equal number of penalties, but Tampa Bay's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, including three field goals by Chase McLaughlin, contributed to their decisive victory. The Buccaneers' defense also played a role, limiting Washington's passing game and securing two sacks. As the teams prepare to face each other again, these historical insights provide a clear picture of Tampa Bay's previous dominance and Washington's challenges in overcoming the Buccaneers' strengths.

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

The Washington Commanders and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to clash in a highly anticipated Wild Card matchup, with both teams entering the playoffs on a high note. The Commanders, led by rookie sensation Jayden Daniels, have been on a remarkable run, winning their last five games to finish the regular season with a 12-5 record. Daniels has been a revelation, completing 69% of his passes for 3,568 yards and 25 touchdowns, while also leading his team in rushing with 891 yards and six touchdowns. His dual-threat capability has transformed Washington's offense into one of the most dynamic units in the league.

On the other side, the Buccaneers, who clinched the NFC South title with a 10-7 record, have been buoyed by the stellar play of quarterback Baker Mayfield. The former Oklahoma standout has thrown for 4,500 yards and 41 touchdowns, ranking third in the league in passing yards. Mayfield's connection with star receiver Mike Evans has been particularly potent, and the duo will look to exploit a Washington defense that has struggled against the pass, allowing 25 touchdowns through the air during the regular season.

Both teams have shown offensive firepower, with the Commanders and Buccaneers ranking among the top scoring teams in the NFC. Washington's recent offensive surge has seen them score 42, 20, 36, 30, and 23 points in their last five games, while Tampa Bay has been equally impressive, posting point totals of 30, 26, 28, 40, 24, 48, and 27 in their last seven outings. This sets the stage for a potential shootout, as neither defense has consistently demonstrated the ability to contain high-powered offenses.

As the Commanders and Buccaneers prepare to face off, the key storyline will be the battle between the two quarterbacks. Daniels, with his newfound experience and confidence, will aim to avenge Washington's Week 1 loss to Tampa Bay, where he was held to 184 passing yards and two rushing touchdowns. Meanwhile, Mayfield will look to continue his MVP-caliber form and guide the Buccaneers to a deep playoff run. With both teams boasting explosive offenses and vulnerabilities on defense, fans can expect an exciting and high-scoring affair under the lights at Raymond James Stadium.

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick: Total Points Over

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The upcoming Wild Card matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers promises to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on total points a compelling pick. Both teams have demonstrated potent offensive capabilities throughout the season, ranking among the top scoring teams in the NFC. The Commanders, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, have been on an offensive tear, scoring 42, 20, 36, 30, and 23 points in their last five games. Daniels' dual-threat ability has been a revelation, as he has thrown for 3,568 yards and 25 touchdowns while also leading his team in rushing with 891 yards and six touchdowns.

On the other side, the Buccaneers have been equally impressive, with quarterback Baker Mayfield orchestrating an offense that has posted point totals of 30, 26, 28, 40, 24, 48, and 27 in their last seven outings. Mayfield's connection with star receiver Mike Evans has been particularly effective, contributing to his 4,500 passing yards and 41 touchdowns this season. The Buccaneers' offensive prowess was on full display in their Week 1 victory over the Commanders, where they scored 37 points.

Defensively, both teams have shown vulnerabilities that further support the case for a high-scoring game. The Commanders have allowed 25 passing touchdowns during the regular season, while the Buccaneers have surrendered 27 passing TDs and ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass. These defensive shortcomings suggest that both Daniels and Mayfield will have ample opportunities to exploit the opposing secondaries.

Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the defensive frailties, the stage is set for a shootout at Raymond James Stadium. With both teams entering the playoffs on a high note and boasting explosive offenses, the over on total points is a strong pick for this thrilling Wild Card showdown.

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Top Player Prop Picks

Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -148 (BetRivers)

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Baker Mayfield has been a dominant force for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season, ranking third in the league with 4,500 passing yards and tied for second with 41 passing touchdowns. His connection with star receiver Mike Evans has been particularly potent, and this duo will look to exploit a Washington defense that has struggled against the pass, allowing 25 touchdowns through the air during the regular season. Given Mayfield's impressive form and the Commanders' vulnerabilities in the secondary, betting on Mayfield to throw over 1.5 touchdowns seems a strong proposition. The Buccaneers' offense has been firing on all cylinders, posting high point totals in recent games, and Mayfield's ability to find the end zone will be crucial in this Wild Card matchup.

Jayden Daniels Over 45.5 Rushing Yards -110 (bet365)

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Jayden Daniels has emerged as one of the most dynamic dual-threat quarterbacks in the league, leading the Washington Commanders in rushing with 891 yards and six touchdowns this season. His ability to make plays with his legs has been a key component of Washington's offensive success, particularly during their five-game winning streak to close the regular season. In their Week 1 matchup against the Buccaneers, Daniels showcased his rushing prowess with 88 yards on the ground. Given Tampa Bay's defensive struggles against mobile quarterbacks and Daniels' proven track record, the over on 45.5 rushing yards is an enticing pick.

Terry McLaurin Over 4.5 Receptions -138 (FanDuel)

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Terry McLaurin has been a reliable target for the Commanders, and his chemistry with both Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota has been evident throughout the season. In the Commanders' recent victory over the Dallas Cowboys, McLaurin was instrumental, catching eight passes, including the game-winning touchdown. With the Buccaneers' defense ranking 29th in the NFL against the pass, McLaurin is poised to have a significant impact in the passing game. His ability to find open spaces and make crucial catches makes the over on 4.5 receptions a strong play, especially in a game where Washington will likely need to rely on their aerial attack to keep pace with Tampa Bay's high-powered offense.