In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	decimal	Unit Stake	Return	$ Return
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	165	2.65	5	-5	-100
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	120	2.2	5	-5	-100
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	116	2.16	5	-5	-100
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	110	2.1	5	-5	-100
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	100	2	5	-5	-100
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	550	6.5	5	-5	-100
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	205	3.05	5	-5	-100
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	195	2.95	5	-5	-100
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	130	2.3	5	6.5	130
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	130	2.3	5	6.5	130
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	110	2.1	5	5.5	110
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	160	2.6	5	-5	-100
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	140	2.4	5	-5	-100
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	114	2.14	5	-5	-100
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	100	2	5	-5	-100
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	195	2.95	5	9.75	195
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	205	3.05	5	-5	-100
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	130	2.3	5	-5	-100
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	135	2.35	5	6.75	135
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	130	2.3	5	6.5	130
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	100	2	5	5	100
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	350	4.5	5	17.5	350
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	185	2.85	5	9.25	185
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	165	2.65	5	8.25	165
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	165	2.65	5	8.25	165
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	143	2.43	5	7.15	143
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	168	2.68	5	-5	-100
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	120	2.2	5	-5	-100
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	210	3.1	5	10.5	210
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	190	2.9	5	9.5	190
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	105	2.05	5	5.25	105
7	Other	Tampa Bay	Detroit	L	210	3.1	5	-5	-100
7	Other	Jacksonville	LA Rams	L	150	2.5	5	-5	-100
7	Best	Atlanta	San Francisco	L	140	2.4	5	-5	-100
7	Best	Miami	Cleveland	L	120	2.2	5	-5	-100
7	Other	NY Giants	Denver	W	350	4.5	5	17.5	350
7	Best	Indianapolis	LA Chargers	W	120	2.2	5	6	120
8	Other	NY Giants	Philadelphia	L	325	4.25	5	-5	-100
8	Best	Chicago	Baltimore	L	270	3.7	5	-5	-100
8	Best	Dallas	Denver	L	150	2.5	5	-5	-100
8	Best	San Francisco	Houston	L	120	2.2	5	-5	-100
9	Best	Atlanta	New England	L	210	3.1	5	-5	-100
9	Other	Cincinnati	Chicago	L	125	2.25	5	-5	-100
9	Best	Buffalo	Kansas City	W	115	2.15	5	5.75	115
9	Best	Denver	Houston	W	110	2.1	5	5.5	110
10	Other	Arizona	Seattle	L	270	3.7	5	-5	-100
10	Other	Minnesota	Baltimore	L	210	3.1	5	-5	-100
10	Best	Pittsburgh	LA Chargers	L	150	2.5	5	-5	-100
10	Best	Philadelphia	Green Bay	W	125	2.25	5	6.25	125
10	Best	New England	Tampa Bay	W	125	2.25	5	6.25	125
10	Other	Jacksonville	Houston	W	100	2	5	5	100
11	Best	Tampa Bay	Buffalo	L	220	3.2	5	-5	-100
11	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	140	2.4	5	-5	-100
11	Other	Seattle	LA Rams	L	130	2.3	5	-5	-100
11	Other	Carolina	Atlanta	W	185	2.85	5	9.25	185
11	Best	Detroit	Philadelphia	W	125	2.25	5	6.25	125
12	Best	Minnesota	Green Bay	L	240	3.4	5	-5	-100
12	Best	Indianapolis	Kansas City	L	160	2.6	5	-5	-100
12	Other	Cleveland	Las Vegas	W	180	2.8	5	9	180
12	Best	Atlanta	New Orleans	W	125	2.25	5	6.25	125
13	Best	Chicago	Philadelphia	W	310	4.1	5	15.5	310
13	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	W	300	4	5	15	300
13	Best	Houston	Indianapolis	W	190	2.9	5	9.5	190
13	Other	New Orleans	Miami	L	210	3.1	5	-5	-100
13	Other	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	L	160	2.6	5	-5	-100
14	Best	Dallas	Detroit	L	150	2.5	5	-5	-100
14	Best	Houston	Kansas City	W	185	2.85	5	9.25	185
14	Best	Cincinnati	Buffalo	L	210	3.1	5	-5	-100
14	Other	Jacksonville	Indianapolis	W	125	2.25	5	6.25	125
14	Other	Washington	Minnesota	L	110	2.1	5	-5	-100
14	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	120	2.2	5	-5	-100
14	Other	Tennessee	Cleveland	W	180	2.8	5	9	180

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: -0.75 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +31.3 units

Best bets Season record: 19-23 (45.2%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +5.25 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +48.4 units

Other bets season record: 13-17 (43.3%)

Total week profit/loss: +4.5 units

Total Season profit/loss: +69.65 units

Total season record: 32-40 (44.4% +$1,393)

* Bets are placed with Bet365 which means if a team goes ahead by 17 points or more, our bet wins even if they subsequently lose.

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