Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/14/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Washington Nationals.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -196 at FanDuel
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-120) at FanDuel
Best Total Odds: Under 8.5 (+105) at ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: August 14, 2025
Time: 6:45 PM EDT
Location: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
TV: MASN

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-51) head to Nationals Park to kick off a four-game series against the Washington Nationals (48-72). The Phillies, despite a recent two-game losing streak where they were held to just one run, have been in strong form, winning seven of their last ten games. They boast a potent offense, ranking 6th in batting average and 5th in on-base percentage, while their pitching staff is equally impressive with the 6th best ERA in the league.

The Nationals, on the other hand, are looking to build on an 8-7 victory over the Kansas City Royals that snapped a losing streak. However, they've struggled recently, managing only four wins in their last ten outings and showing defensive vulnerabilities, allowing an average of 6.6 runs per game over that stretch. Their home form has also been concerning, with six losses in their last seven games at Nationals Park.

On the mound for the Phillies will be left-hander Jesús Luzardo (11-5, 4.20 ERA), who has been on a hot streak, winning his last three starts and yielding only four runs over that span. He previously struck out 11 Nationals batters in his first start against them this season. For the Nationals, right-hander Brad Lord (3-6, 3.28 ERA) will get the start. Lord has pitched well since joining the rotation post-All-Star break, with the Nationals holding a 3-1 record in his last four starts, where he's allowed just one run in each of those wins.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have held the upper hand in their matchups against the Washington Nationals this season, leading the season series 4-2. The Phillies have won both early-season series between these division rivals. In their first series, Philadelphia's offense exploded for 18 runs across two victories, though the Nationals managed to take the finale with a 5-1 win. The trend continued in their second series at Citizens Bank Park, where the Phillies outscored Washington 14-8 in two wins before dropping the final game 4-2.

Historically, the Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven meetings against the Nationals. A notable trend in their recent contests is the prevalence of lower-scoring games, particularly in the early innings. Five of the six meetings between these two teams this season have seen the first five inning total go Under the projected line. The Nationals have also struggled to score at home against left-handed starters in the first five innings, holding a 1-5-1 record in their last seven such games at Nationals Park, scoring two runs or less in each of those instances.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

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The Philadelphia Phillies are the clear favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They come into this game with a strong 69-51 record, significantly better than the Nationals' 48-72. The Phillies have dominated the season series, holding a 4-2 advantage, and have shown the ability to score runs in bunches against Washington. While they've had a couple of quiet offensive games recently, their overall offensive and pitching metrics are among the league's best. Jesús Luzardo has been in excellent form, winning his last three starts, and previously had a dominant 11-strikeout performance against the Nationals this season. The sharp money is also heavily on the Phillies, with a 63.59% visitor sharp win percentage. Betting on the Phillies to win straight up at -196 offers solid value given their superior team form, head-to-head dominance, and strong pitching matchup.

Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Bell (Washington Nationals) Over 1.5 Total Bases

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Josh Bell has a favorable historical matchup against Phillies starter Jesús Luzardo. In nine career plate appearances against Luzardo, Bell has collected three hits, including two doubles and a home run, resulting in a .333 batting average and an impressive .889 slugging percentage. This strong past performance suggests Bell could have a productive day at the plate against the left-hander.

James Wood (Washington Nationals) Over 0.5 Total Bases

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Another Nationals hitter with a strong history against Jesús Luzardo is James Wood. In a small sample size of three plate appearances, Wood has two hits, including a double, for a .667 batting average and a 1.000 slugging percentage. Given his success in previous encounters, Wood is a good candidate to record at least one base hit in this game.

Trea Turner (Philadelphia Phillies) Over 1.5 Total Bases

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Phillies shortstop Trea Turner has shown success against Nationals starter Brad Lord. In three plate appearances, Turner has two hits, resulting in a .667 batting average and .667 slugging percentage. As a key component of the Phillies' potent offense, Turner's ability to get on base and drive the ball makes him a strong pick to exceed 1.5 total bases in this contest.

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