New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/19/2025 7:35 PM EDT

We have your New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Yankees hit the road to face the Tampa Bay Rays.

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Yankees -126 on FanDuel
Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.0 (+100) on BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 8.0 (-110) on FanDuel

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-19
Time: 7:35 PM ET
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field
TV: FDSSU

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The New York Yankees (67-57) are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays (61-64) in an AL East showdown. The Yankees are coming off a strong performance, having won seven of their last 10 games, including a recent sweep of the Cardinals. Their offense has been particularly potent, averaging 5.2 runs per game and leading the league in slugging percentage and home runs. Carlos Rodón (12-7, 3.25 ERA) will start for the Yankees, bringing a solid track record and recent success to the mound. His team has won 50% of his starts when favored on the moneyline (12-12). The Tampa Bay Rays, currently fourth in the AL East, are looking to bounce back from a 7-1 loss to the Giants. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, with an average of 3.9 runs scored per game and 4.6 runs conceded. Shane Baz (8-9, 4.93 ERA) will be on the mound for the Rays. Baz has allowed 13 runs in 16 innings recently, and his team has an 11-12-0 ATS record in his 23 starts with a set spread. The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Baz's starts this season, going 4-4 in those games. This game will be played at George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Yankees' spring training home, which is serving as the Rays' temporary home field due to Hurricane Milton's damage to Tropicana Field. This familiar setting could benefit the Yankees. The Yankees' bullpen is considered formidable, with a collective 3.41 ERA, providing a significant advantage in late innings.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Yankees hold an 84-76 all-time advantage over the Tampa Bay Rays in their head-to-head matchups. The Yankees have secured 31 of their victories on the road, while the Rays have won 39 of their 76 matchups at home. In the 2025 season series, the Yankees lead 7-4 against the Rays and have won their last three straight games against them. The Yankees' average scoring in these matchups is slightly higher at 4.16 runs per game compared to the Rays' 3.85 runs per game.

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

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The New York Yankees are the favored team in this matchup, and for good reason. Their offense is red-hot, leading the league in slugging percentage and home runs, and they've been scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game recently. Carlos Rodón, their starting pitcher, has been consistently strong with a 3.25 ERA and has won his last two decisions. The Yankees have a 53.72% sharp win percentage on the moneyline, indicating strong professional interest. On the other hand, the Tampa Bay Rays have been inconsistent, with Shane Baz struggling on the mound, allowing 13 runs in his last 16 innings. The Yankees have a significant edge in pitching and offensive momentum. While the Rays have a strong stolen base game, the Yankees' overall offensive power and Rodón's ability to limit hits should be enough to secure a victory. The Yankees have won seven of their last 10 games and are fighting to maintain their playoff position, giving them added motivation. The familiarity with George M. Steinbrenner Field, their spring training home, also plays into their favor.

Top Player Prop Picks

Carlos Rodón Over 6.5 Strikeouts

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Carlos Rodón has been a strikeout machine this season, boasting a 10.1 K/9 rate. He has exceeded this strikeout total in 8 of his last 11 starts. The Tampa Bay Rays' lineup presents an ideal matchup for Rodón, as they strike out at an average of 8.54 times per game. Rodón's sweeping slider has been particularly effective against right-handed hitters, generating a 41% whiff rate this season. Given his recent form and the Rays' tendency to strike out, Rodón is well-positioned to go over 6.5 strikeouts. You can find these odds at -115.

Ben Rice Over 1.5 Total Bases

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Ben Rice has emerged as a significant offensive force for the Yankees, hitting .324 with three doubles and two home runs over his last 10 games. He has exceeded 1.5 total bases in 6 of his last 10 games. He faces Shane Baz, who has surrendered a .450 slugging percentage to left-handed hitters this season. Rice's disciplined approach, with only 3 strikeouts in his last 37 at-bats, makes him a dangerous hitter against Baz, who has shown command issues. With Rice hitting in the heart of the Yankees' order and playing in a ballpark that can be hitter-friendly, the +140 odds offer significant value for him to get at least two total bases.

Aaron Judge To Hit a Home Run

Aaron Judge is a key power hitter for the New York Yankees, and the team leads the league in home runs. Judge has hit a home run against Shane Baz in their past matchups. While the specific park factors for George M. Steinbrenner Field are not available, the general offensive surge of the Yankees and Judge's power make this a compelling prop. The Yankees' offense has been on fire, scoring 24 runs in their last three games, which creates more opportunities for Judge to drive in runs or hit a long ball. The odds for Judge to hit a home run are +275.

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