Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/7/2025 10:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Golden State Warriors.

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat +340 (BetMGM) / Golden State Warriors -425 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -9.5 - Miami Heat -108 (DraftKings) / Golden State Warriors -110 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 218.5 - Under -110 (ESPN BET) / 218.0 - Over -110 (Caesars)

Special offers available for this game

Underdog: Free Pick for NEW Customers: Steph Curry Total Points > 0.5

Game Info

Date: 1/7/2025
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)
TV: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 7 wins and 10 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 8 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Miami Heat have 17 wins and 17 losses.

Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

At home, the Golden State Warriors have 10 wins and 9 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Golden State Warriors have 12 wins and 8 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Golden State Warriors have 18 wins and 17 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors have faced each other four times, with each team securing two victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the visiting team winning twice and the home team also winning twice. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have covered the spread twice. The games have predominantly leaned towards the under, with three of the four matchups falling below the projected total score, while only one game went over. These contests have showcased a balanced competition between the two teams, with neither side consistently dominating the other.

The most recent encounter between the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors took place on March 26, 2024, where the Warriors emerged victorious with a 113-92 win. Klay Thompson led the Warriors with 28 points, including a crucial three-pointer in the fourth quarter. Stephen Curry added 17 points, highlighted by a long-range three-pointer, while Jonathan Kuminga contributed 18 points, featuring an alley-oop dunk. The Warriors displayed superior shooting efficiency, hitting 55.3% from the field compared to the Heat's 40.2%. They also had an edge in assists and rebounds, with 31 assists and 43 rebounds, capitalizing on the Heat's turnovers to score 14 points. Bam Adebayo was the standout performer for the Heat, scoring 24 points, but it wasn't enough to overcome the Warriors' balanced attack.

In their previous matchups, the teams have shown varied performances. On December 28, 2023, the Miami Heat defeated the Warriors 114-102, with the Heat covering the spread as underdogs. Earlier in the 2022-2023 season, the Heat won another game against the Warriors on November 1, 2022, with a 116-109 scoreline, again covering the spread. Conversely, the Warriors secured a win on October 27, 2022, with a 123-110 victory, covering the spread as favorites. These games have highlighted the competitive nature of the matchups, with both teams having moments of dominance and resilience.

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Preview

The Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup at the Chase Center. Both teams are eager to bounce back from recent setbacks, with the Heat looking to end a three-game losing streak and the Warriors aiming to recover from a tough loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Heat, currently ninth in the Eastern Conference with a 17-17 record, have struggled without their star player Jimmy Butler, who remains sidelined. Despite this, Tyler Herro has been a consistent performer, leading the team with 26 points in their recent double-overtime loss to the Kings. Jaime Jacquez Jr. also impressed with a triple-double performance, showcasing his ability to step up in Butler's absence.

On the other hand, the Warriors, sitting eighth in the Western Conference with an 18-17 record, have been grappling with inconsistency. Their recent 129-99 defeat to the Kings highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. However, with Steph Curry leading the charge, the Warriors remain a formidable force, especially at home where they have a 10-9 record. Curry's scoring prowess will be crucial as the Warriors look to exploit the Heat's defensive lapses.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the teams have been evenly matched over the past few seasons, each securing two wins in their last four encounters. The Warriors' recent victory over the Heat in March 2024 was marked by Klay Thompson's standout performance, and they will be looking to replicate that success. However, the Heat have shown resilience in past meetings, with notable victories in December 2023 and November 2022, where they managed to cover the spread as underdogs.

As both teams prepare for this crucial game, the Warriors appear slightly better positioned to capitalize on their home-court advantage. With key players like Curry and Thompson in form, and the Heat missing Butler, the Warriors will aim to assert their dominance and secure a much-needed win to bolster their standing in the Western Conference.

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Pick: Golden State Warriors Moneyline

The Golden State Warriors are poised to secure a victory against the Miami Heat in their upcoming matchup at the Chase Center. The Warriors, currently holding an 18-17 record, have shown resilience at home with a 10-9 record, which gives them a slight edge in this contest. Despite their recent 129-99 loss to the Sacramento Kings, the Warriors have the advantage of playing on their home court, where they have historically performed better.

Steph Curry, the linchpin of the Warriors' offense, is expected to lead the charge. His scoring ability will be crucial in exploiting the Heat's defensive weaknesses, especially with Miami missing their star player, Jimmy Butler. The absence of Butler has been a significant blow to the Heat, who are on a three-game losing streak and have struggled to find consistency without their leader. Tyler Herro has stepped up in Butler's absence, but the Heat's recent performances, including a double-overtime loss to the Kings, highlight their vulnerability.

Moreover, the Warriors have a favorable matchup history against the Heat, having split their last four encounters evenly. Their most recent victory over Miami in March 2024 showcased their ability to capitalize on the Heat's turnovers and defensive lapses. With Klay Thompson and Curry in form, the Warriors are well-positioned to replicate that success.

Given the Warriors' home-court advantage, the absence of key players for the Heat, and the Warriors' potential to exploit Miami's defensive shortcomings, the Golden State Warriors are the favored pick to win this matchup. Their ability to bounce back from setbacks and leverage their offensive strengths makes them a formidable opponent for the Heat, who are still searching for stability without Butler.

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Top Player Prop Picks

Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3Fgm -108 (FanDuel)

Stephen Curry's prowess from beyond the arc is well-documented, and this matchup against the Miami Heat presents a prime opportunity for him to shine. With the Warriors playing at home, where they have a slightly better record, Curry's shooting will be crucial. The Heat, missing their defensive anchor Jimmy Butler, have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their recent games. Curry, who is not listed on the injury report, is expected to lead the charge for Golden State. Given his ability to exploit defensive lapses and the Heat's recent struggles, betting on Curry to exceed 4.5 made three-pointers seems a solid choice.

Jaime Jaquez Over 3.5 Assists -120 (DraftKings)

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been stepping up in Jimmy Butler's absence, showcasing his playmaking abilities. In the recent double-overtime loss to the Kings, Jaquez recorded a triple-double, including 10 assists, highlighting his capacity to distribute the ball effectively. With the Heat facing a Warriors team that has shown defensive inconsistencies, Jaquez is likely to continue his role as a facilitator. His recent performances suggest that he can surpass the 3.5 assists line, making this a promising prop bet.

Draymond Green Over 2.5 Turnovers +124 (DraftKings)

Draymond Green's role as a primary playmaker for the Warriors often puts him in positions where turnovers are a risk. Against a Miami team that, despite its struggles, still averages a respectable number of steals per game, Green's propensity for turnovers could be highlighted. The odds of +124 for Green to exceed 2.5 turnovers offer value, especially considering the Heat's ability to pressure ball handlers. With the Warriors looking to bounce back from a tough loss, Green's aggressive play could lead to a higher turnover count, making this a viable prop bet.