Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/6/2025 8:00 PM EST

We have your Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Mavericks hit the road to face the Memphis Grizzlies.

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Mavericks +152 (FanDuel) / Memphis Grizzlies -180 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -5.5 - Dallas Mavericks -110 (BetMGM) / -5.0 - Memphis Grizzlies -110 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 232.5 - Under -110 (Caesars) / 231.5 - Over -105 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 1/6/2025
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: FedExForum (Memphis, TN)
TV: NBA League Pass

Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

On the road, the Dallas Mavericks have 10 wins and 9 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Dallas Mavericks have 7 wins and 8 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Dallas Mavericks have 20 wins and 15 losses.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

At home, the Memphis Grizzlies have 14 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Memphis Grizzlies have 19 wins and 6 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Memphis Grizzlies have 23 wins and 13 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies have faced off five times, with the Mavericks securing three victories and the Grizzlies winning twice. Notably, the visiting team has emerged victorious in four of these encounters, while the home team has only won once. In terms of betting outcomes, the Mavericks have covered the spread in three games, whereas the Grizzlies have done so in two. The games have seen a mix of scoring outcomes, with the total score going over the set line twice and under three times. These matchups have been competitive, with several games featuring numerous lead changes and close final score spreads.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on December 3, 2024, where the Memphis Grizzlies defeated the Dallas Mavericks 121-116. In this playoff matchup, Ja Morant led the Grizzlies with 31 points, including a crucial three-pointer in the fourth quarter. Luka Doncic was the standout performer for the Mavericks, scoring 37 points and hitting a significant step-back jumper late in the game. Despite the Mavericks shooting a higher overall field goal percentage at 48.1% compared to the Grizzlies' 46.4%, Memphis capitalized on turnovers, scoring 26 points off 19 Dallas turnovers. The game was tightly contested, with 19 lead changes, highlighting the competitive nature of the matchup.

In this recent game, the Grizzlies' effective use of turnovers and strong performances from key players like Morant and Desmond Bane, who added 19 points, were pivotal in their victory. The Mavericks, despite their shooting efficiency and contributions from players like P.J. Washington with 18 points, struggled with turnovers and free throw shooting, converting only 68.2% of their attempts. The Grizzlies' ability to convert turnovers into points and maintain a high free throw percentage at 92.9% were critical factors in their win. As these teams prepare to face each other again, the dynamics of past games suggest a closely contested battle, with both teams having shown the ability to win on the road.

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Preview

The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup at the FedExForum, with both teams navigating through challenging stretches due to key injuries. The Mavericks, currently on a four-game losing streak, are grappling with the absence of their star players, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. Doncic, sidelined with a left calf strain, and Irving, out with a lumbar back sprain, have left a significant void in Dallas' offensive lineup. This has placed additional pressure on players like Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington to step up and deliver in their absence. Thompson, averaging 14.2 points per game, and Washington, contributing 12.6 points and 7.4 rebounds, will need to lead the charge against a formidable Grizzlies team.

On the other side, the Memphis Grizzlies are also dealing with their own set of challenges. Star guard Ja Morant is listed as questionable with a Grade 1 AC joint sprain, and the team is missing key contributors like Marcus Smart and Santi Aldama. Despite these setbacks, the Grizzlies have managed to maintain a strong home record of 14-4, showcasing their resilience and depth. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a standout performer, leading the team in points, steals, and blocks per game. His presence on both ends of the floor will be crucial as the Grizzlies aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage.

Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, with the Grizzlies boasting a league-best scoring offense, averaging 123.2 points per game. However, their defense has been a point of concern, ranking 21st in scoring defense. The Mavericks, despite their current slump, have demonstrated their offensive capabilities, ranking eighth in scoring offense. The absence of Doncic and Irving, however, has tested their depth and ability to execute under pressure.

As the Mavericks and Grizzlies prepare to face off, the game promises to be a battle of attrition, with both teams looking to overcome their injury woes and secure a crucial victory. The Grizzlies' ability to convert turnovers into points and maintain a high free throw percentage could prove decisive, while the Mavericks will need to rely on their bench strength and defensive tenacity to stay competitive. With both teams eager to break their respective slumps, this matchup is set to be a thrilling encounter, with the Grizzlies holding a slight edge due to their home-court advantage and recent form.

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Pick: Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline

The Memphis Grizzlies are poised to secure a victory against the Dallas Mavericks, and the moneyline pick for this matchup strongly favors the Grizzlies. Despite both teams grappling with significant injuries, the Grizzlies have demonstrated resilience and depth, particularly on their home court where they boast an impressive 14-4 record this season. This home-court advantage is a critical factor, as the Grizzlies have consistently performed well in front of their fans, showcasing their ability to adapt and overcome adversity.

Memphis has been a formidable force offensively, leading the league with an average of 123.2 points per game. This high-scoring capability is complemented by their proficiency in converting turnovers into points, a skill that could prove decisive against a Mavericks team struggling with injuries to key players like Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. The absence of these stars has left Dallas vulnerable, as evidenced by their current four-game losing streak and their reliance on secondary players to fill the void.

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a standout performer for the Grizzlies, leading the team in points, steals, and blocks per game. His presence on both ends of the floor will be crucial in exploiting the Mavericks' weakened lineup. Additionally, the Grizzlies' ability to maintain a high free throw percentage, converting 92.9% of their attempts in their recent victory over the Mavericks, underscores their efficiency in capitalizing on scoring opportunities.

While the Mavericks have shown offensive potential, ranking eighth in scoring offense, their defensive vulnerabilities and the absence of their star players present a significant challenge. The Grizzlies' recent form, coupled with their home-court advantage and superior offensive metrics, positions them as the favorites to win this matchup. Therefore, the Memphis Grizzlies moneyline is the prudent pick for this encounter, as they look to extend their strong home performance and capitalize on the Mavericks' current struggles.

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies Top Player Prop Picks

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds -102 (FanDuel)

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a pivotal force for the Memphis Grizzlies, especially in the absence of key players like Ja Morant. With the Grizzlies facing a depleted Dallas Mavericks team, Jackson's role becomes even more crucial. The Mavericks, without Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, have struggled defensively, which could allow Jackson to dominate the boards. Memphis ranks second in rebounds per game, averaging 48.7, and Jackson's ability to control the glass will be essential in this matchup. Given the Mavericks' current vulnerabilities, Jackson is well-positioned to exceed the 7.5 rebounds line.

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3Fgm +116 (FanDuel)

Klay Thompson will be a key player for the Mavericks as they attempt to navigate their offensive challenges without Doncic and Irving. Thompson, known for his sharpshooting, will need to step up and provide scoring from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies' defense, while strong in certain areas, has shown susceptibility to perimeter shooting. Thompson's ability to get hot from three-point range, coupled with the increased offensive responsibility, makes the over on 3.5 three-point field goals a compelling pick. His recent performances suggest he is capable of hitting this mark, especially against a Grizzlies team that may focus more on interior defense.

Jaylen Wells Over 2.5 Assists -142 (Caesars)

Jaylen Wells has been a consistent contributor for the Memphis Grizzlies, particularly in facilitating the offense. With the Grizzlies' emphasis on teamwork and ball movement, Wells has thrived in creating opportunities for his teammates. Memphis ranks second in assists per game, and Wells' role in this system is crucial. Against a Mavericks team that is struggling defensively, Wells is likely to find ample opportunities to distribute the ball effectively. His recent performances, including a high assist rate, support the expectation that he will surpass the 2.5 assists line, making this a strong prop bet.