NFL Pickwatch - Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/22/2024 10:00 PM EST

We have your Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Mavericks hit the road to face the Denver Nuggets.

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Mavericks +125 (BetMGM) / Denver Nuggets -140 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -3.0 - Dallas Mavericks -110 (Caesars) / Denver Nuggets -110 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 227.5 - Under -115 (BetMGM) / 226.5 - Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/22/2024
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)
TV: ESPN

Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

On the road, the Dallas Mavericks have 2 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Dallas Mavericks have 2 wins and 2 losses this season.
This season, the Dallas Mavericks have hit 7 overs and 8 unders.

Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

At home, the Denver Nuggets have 5 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Denver Nuggets have 6 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Denver Nuggets have hit 9 overs and 4 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets have faced each other four times, with the Nuggets emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games have consistently favored the home team, as all four matches were won by the team playing on their home court. In terms of betting outcomes, the Nuggets covered the spread twice, while the Mavericks managed to do so once. The games have been evenly split between hitting the over and under on the total points line, with two games going over and two staying under. These matchups have showcased a competitive edge, with the Nuggets generally having the upper hand, particularly when playing at home.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on November 10, 2024, with the Dallas Mavericks narrowly defeating the Denver Nuggets 122-120. This game was a tightly contested affair, with the Mavericks overcoming a 10-point deficit to secure the win. Kyrie Irving was instrumental in the Mavericks' victory, leading all scorers with 43 points, including a crucial 31-foot three-point shot in the fourth quarter that put Dallas ahead. Luka Doncic also contributed significantly with 24 points. On the Nuggets' side, Nikola Jokic delivered an impressive performance, recording a triple-double with 37 points, 18 rebounds, and 15 assists. Both teams had an equal number of turnovers, and the Mavericks' shooting accuracy from the field was slightly better at 53.3% compared to the Nuggets' 50.6%.

In terms of shooting efficiency, the Mavericks made 53.3% of their field goal attempts and 30.3% of their three-point shots, while the Nuggets shot 50.6% from the field and an impressive 48.3% from beyond the arc. The Mavericks had a slight edge in free throw shooting, converting 73.7% of their attempts compared to the Nuggets' 69.2%. Rebounding was closely contested, with the Nuggets grabbing 45 total rebounds to the Mavericks' 42. The game was characterized by high offensive ratings for both teams, with the Nuggets posting a 126.6 offensive rating and the Mavericks a 124.5. Despite the close scoreline, the Mavericks' ability to capitalize on key moments, particularly through Irving's scoring prowess, was pivotal in their victory.

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Preview

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets are set to clash in a pivotal NBA Cup group stage matchup, with both teams facing significant challenges due to key player absences. The Mavericks will be without their superstar Luka Doncic, who is sidelined with a right wrist strain. Doncic's absence is a considerable blow to Dallas, as he has been the team's leading scorer and playmaker, averaging 28.1 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 7.6 assists per game this season. Despite his absence, the Mavericks have shown resilience, with Kyrie Irving stepping up as a primary offensive force. Irving, who has been in excellent form, will be crucial in leading the Mavericks' charge against Denver.

On the other side, the Nuggets are dealing with uncertainty surrounding their own star, Nikola Jokic. The three-time MVP has missed recent games due to personal reasons, and his status remains day-to-day. Jokic's potential absence would be a significant setback for Denver, as he has been delivering another stellar season, averaging a triple-double with 29.7 points, 13.7 rebounds, and 11.7 assists per game. The Nuggets have managed to stay competitive without him, thanks to contributions from players like Jamal Murray, who has taken on a more aggressive role in Jokic's absence.

Both teams are navigating through a challenging period, with the Mavericks holding an 8-7 record and the Nuggets at 8-5. The Mavericks have struggled on the road, with a 2-4 record, while the Nuggets have been strong at home, boasting a 5-2 record. This game is crucial for both teams' NBA Cup aspirations, as a loss would eliminate them from advancing to the knockout round. The Mavericks will rely on their depth, with players like P.J. Washington and Klay Thompson expected to contribute significantly. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will look to maintain their high-paced offensive style, which ranks ninth in the league per 100 possessions.

As both teams prepare for this high-stakes encounter, the focus will be on how they adapt to the absence of their star players. The Mavericks' ability to capitalize on key moments, as demonstrated in their recent victory over the Nuggets, will be essential. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will aim to leverage their home-court advantage and the depth of their roster to secure a crucial win. With both teams capable of explosive offensive performances, this matchup promises to be an exciting and closely contested battle.

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Pick: Total Points Over

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face the Denver Nuggets, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on the total points line an enticing pick. Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess, even amidst the absence of their star players. The Mavericks, led by Kyrie Irving, have shown they can still put up significant points without Luka Doncic. Irving's recent performances, including a 43-point game against the Nuggets, highlight his ability to lead the Mavericks' offense effectively. Additionally, the Mavericks have consistently scored in triple digits this season, showcasing their offensive depth with players like Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington stepping up.

On the other hand, the Nuggets, even without Nikola Jokic, have maintained a high-paced offensive style, ranking ninth in the league per 100 possessions. Jamal Murray has embraced a more aggressive role, contributing significantly to the team's scoring efforts. The Nuggets' recent games have also seen high point totals, with their ability to score efficiently from beyond the arc, as evidenced by their impressive 48.3% three-point shooting in their last matchup against the Mavericks.

Historically, encounters between these two teams have been closely contested and high-scoring. The last meeting ended with a 122-120 scoreline, further supporting the potential for another high-scoring game. Both teams have hit the over in several games this season, with the Nuggets achieving this in nine of their contests. Given the offensive capabilities and recent trends, the over on the total points line appears to be a strong pick for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 Assists -115 (FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic has been a pivotal playmaker for the Denver Nuggets, averaging an impressive 11.7 assists per game this season. Despite his recent absence due to personal reasons, Jokic's ability to distribute the ball effectively remains unmatched. His potential return to the lineup against the Mavericks could see him continue his trend of high assist numbers, especially given the Nuggets' need to capitalize on their home-court advantage. With the Mavericks missing Luka Doncic, Jokic's role as a facilitator becomes even more crucial, making the over on 10.5 assists a compelling pick.

Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3Fgm 104 (FanDuel)

Kyrie Irving has been a standout performer for the Dallas Mavericks, particularly in the absence of Luka Doncic. His shooting prowess was on full display in the recent matchup against the Nuggets, where he scored 43 points, including several crucial three-pointers. Irving's current shooting splits of 54.5/53.8/85.7 percent highlight his efficiency from beyond the arc. With the Mavericks relying heavily on Irving's offensive output, the over on 2.5 three-point field goals made is a strong proposition, especially given his recent form and the team's need for perimeter scoring.

P.J. Washington Over 6.5 Rebounds -115 (DraftKings)

P.J. Washington has been a consistent force on the boards for the Mavericks, leading the team with 8.1 rebounds per game. His performance against the Oklahoma City Thunder, where he recorded 17 rebounds, underscores his ability to dominate the glass. With Luka Doncic sidelined, Washington's role in securing rebounds becomes even more critical for the Mavericks' success. Given his recent performances and the Mavericks' need to control the boards against a strong Denver frontcourt, the over on 6.5 rebounds presents a favorable opportunity.