Week 15 Preview: Expert NFL Picks - Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars

15 Dec, 2013 by Shaun Lowrie


Don't look now, but the last few weeks have set the Bills back quite a way. Doug Marrone's job isn't quite at risk yet, but a poor finish to the season would basically put him on the hot seat from week one of 2014. On the flip side, with 4 wins out of the last 5 games, Gus Bradley looks like he has harnessed some of the moderate ability within the Jags and turned it into a machine that is greater than the sum of it's parts. Remember how little talent is on this Jags team, because if Bradley leads them to 7-9, that will be one of the best head coaching jobs of the season.
MOUNT UP...

Buffalo @ Jacksonville(13.00pm ET)

**Matchup Difficulty: 62.5% **(the higher the score, the better the experts' success rate when picking these two teams. An 'average' matchup would be 62%)

**Consensus:  **Jacksonville 81%

**Top 5 Overall:  **Buffalo 60%
Key Injuries:
Buffalo:
Kiko Alonso, LB Questionable*

*Alonso was a turnover machine earlier in the year and the Bills' leading tackler with 139 on the season, second most in the league.
Miami:
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Doubtful
Cecil Shorts III, WR, Questionable
Jordan Todman, RB, Probable*
John Cyprien, S, Doubtful**

* Todman will start in the (likely) scenario that MJD does not play.
**Cyprien has 89 tackles on the season, second only to Paul Posluzny.
Best Pick Index:

_Table is sorted by overall success rate when picking these two teams on the road and at home. _

Buffalo

Jacksonville

Rank

Expert

Affiliation

Road %

Home %

Overall

Pick

1

Erik Frenz

Bleacher Report

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

2

Matt Bowen

Bleacher Report

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

3

Jason La Canfora

CBS

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

4

Josh Katzowitz

CBS

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

5

Pete Prisco

CBS

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

6

K.C. Joyner

ESPN

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

7

Keyshawn Johnson

ESPN

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

8

Merill Hoge

ESPN

100.00%

83.33%

91.7%

JAX

9

Seth Wickersham

ESPN

100.00%

83.33%

91.7%

JAX

10

Brian Baldinger

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

No Pick

11

Chris Brockman

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

12

Gregg Rosenthal

NFL

100.00%

83.33%

91.7%

BUF

13

Heath Evans

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

14

Marc Sessler

NFL

100.00%

83.33%

91.7%

JAX

15

Matt Smith

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

16

Rich Eisen

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

17

Steve Mariucci

NFL

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

18

Nathan Jahnke

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

19

Frank Schwab

Yahoo

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

20

Lindsay H. Jones

USA Today

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

21

Pete O'Brien

USA Today

83.33%

100.00%

91.7%

JAX

22

Tyson Langland

Bleacher Report

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

23

Ryan Wilson

CBS

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

24

Will Brinson

CBS

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

25

Eric Allen

ESPN

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

26

Ron Jaworski

ESPN

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

27

John Halpin

FOX

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

BUF

28

Dan Hanzus

NFL

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

29

Henry Hodgson

NFL

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

30

Steve Wyche

NFL

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

31

Michael David Smith

PFT

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

BUF

32

Gordon McGuinness

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

33

Neil Hornsby

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

34

Rick Drummond

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

35

Steve Palazzolo

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

36

Don Banks

Sports Illustrated

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

37

Jarrett Bell

USA Today

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

JAX

38

Nate Davis

USA Today

83.33%

83.33%

83.3%

BUF

39

Brad Gagnon

Bleacher Report

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

40

Ty Schalter

Bleacher Report

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

BUF

41

Zach Kruse

Bleacher Report

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

42

Jamey Eisenberg

CBS

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

43

Cris Carter

ESPN

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

44

Mark Schlereth

ESPN

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

45

Tom Jackson

ESPN

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

46

Michael Fabiano

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

47

Chris Law

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

48

Melissa Stark

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

49

Michael Silver

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

50

Sterling Sharpe

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

51

Warren Sapp

NFL

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

No Pick

52

Mike Florio

PFT

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

53

Vinnie Iyer

Sporting News

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

54

Jim Corbett

USA Today

66.67%

100.00%

83.3%

JAX

55

Marshall Faulk

NFL

80.00%

83.33%

81.7%

No Pick

56

Chris Hansen

Bleacher Report

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

57

Knox Bardeen

Bleacher Report

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

BUF

58

Matt Miller

Bleacher Report

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

59

Michael Schottey

Bleacher Report

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

60

Dave Richard

CBS

50.00%

100.00%

75.0%

JAX

61

John Breech

CBS

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

62

Prediction Machine

CBS

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

BUF

63

Adam Schefter

ESPN

50.00%

100.00%

75.0%

BUF

64

Chris Mortensen

ESPN

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

65

Mike Golic

ESPN

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

66

Pick ‘em

ESPN

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

67

Adam Meyer

FOX

50.00%

100.00%

75.0%

BUF

68

Joel Beall

FOX

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

69

Whatifsports

FOX

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

BUF

70

Elliot Harrison

NFL

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

71

Kevin Patra

NFL

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

JAX

72

Michael Irvin

NFL

50.00%

100.00%

75.0%

No Pick

73

NFL FAN PICKS

NFL

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

74

Shaun O'Hara

NFL

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

BUF

75

Pickwatch

Pickwatch

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

76

Ben Stockwell

ProFootballFocus

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

77

Sam Monson

ProFootballFocus

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

JAX

78

Yahoo Users

Yahoo

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

79

Black Tie

NFL

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

BUF

80

Tom Pelissero

USA Today

50.00%

100.00%

75.0%

JAX

81

Simon Samano

USA Today

83.33%

66.67%

75.0%

JAX

82

Accuscore

Accuscore

66.67%

83.33%

75.0%

JAX

83

Mike Freeman

Bleacher Report

50.00%

83.33%

66.7%

JAX

84

Ryan Fowler

FOX

50.00%

83.33%

66.7%

BUF

85

Kurt Warner

NFL

50.00%

83.33%

66.7%

No Pick

86

Mike Ditka

ESPN

33.33%

100.00%

66.7%

JAX

87

Chris Wesseling

NFL

66.67%

66.67%

66.7%

JAX

88

Adam Rank

NFL

50.00%

80.00%

65.0%

BUF

89

Dave Damashek

NFL

60.00%

66.67%

63.3%

BUF

90

Les Carpenter

Yahoo

60.00%

60.00%

60.0%

No Pick

91

Andrea Hangst

Bleacher Report

33.33%

83.33%

58.3%

JAX

92

Khaled Elsayed

ProFootballFocus

16.67%

83.33%

50.0%

BUF

93

Coin Toss

None

33.33%

16.67%

25.0%

JAX

For more updates from Pickwatch, follow us on twitter or Facebook. Check back for more previews of week 15's matchups, helping you to decide who to trust in this week's biggest games. Missing picks will be updated... well, they'll be updated when the picks are actually made!

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Shaun Lowrie is the founder and editor of Pickwatch, a site designed to give you a new perspective on experts in the NFL media by tracking their performance when picking games or predicting draft picks, team performance, or player potential. You can contact him at [email protected] or on twitter at @pickwatch