Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/3/2025 7:30 PM EST

We have your Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat host the Washington Wizards at the Kaseya Center.

Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat -375 (Fanduel), Washington Wizards +300 (ESPN BET).
Best Spread Odds: Miami Heat -8.5 (-110) (Caesars), Washington Wizards +9.0 (-110) (BetRivers).
Best Total Odds: Over 218.5 (-110) at Fanduel, Under 219.5 (-110) at BetRivers.

Game Info

Date: March 3, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV: -

Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat Preview

The Miami Heat (28-31) are looking to bounce back after a tough overtime loss to the New York Knicks, while the Washington Wizards (11-48) aim to build on their recent win against the Charlotte Hornets. Miami has struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, and will be without key players like Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez Jr. due to injuries. The Wizards, on the other hand, have shown some improvement, winning two of their last three games, with contributions from Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly.

Miami's defense remains a strong point, ranking 7th in the NBA by allowing just 110.9 points per game. However, their offense has been inconsistent, averaging 110.3 points per game. Washington's offense has struggled, ranking near the bottom of the league with 108.4 points per game, but they will look to capitalize on Miami's recent struggles.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 matchups, the Miami Heat have dominated, winning 7 of those games. The most recent meetings include a 118-98 victory for Miami at the Mexico City Arena on November 2, 2024, and a 119-107 win at the Capital One Arena on March 31, 2024. The Wizards' last win against the Heat came on March 10, 2024, with a narrow 110-108 victory at the Kaseya Center. Historically, Miami has had the upper hand in this matchup, leveraging their strong defense and home-court advantage.

Pick: Miami Heat -8.5

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The Miami Heat are favored by 8.5 points, and this spread seems reasonable given their dominance in recent head-to-head matchups and the Wizards' struggles this season. Miami's defense should be able to stifle Washington's offense, and despite their recent inconsistencies, the Heat's home-court advantage and superior roster depth make them the better pick to cover the spread.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Tyler Herro Over 26.5 Points

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Tyler Herro has been a consistent scorer for the Heat, averaging 24.1 points per game this season. With injuries to key players like Andrew Wiggins, Herro will likely take on an even larger offensive role. His ability to score from beyond the arc and drive to the basket makes this a strong pick.

2. Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds

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Bam Adebayo is averaging 9.9 rebounds per game and will be a key presence in the paint against a Wizards team that struggles on the boards. With Miami's defense forcing missed shots, Adebayo should have plenty of opportunities to grab rebounds.

3. Bilal Coulibaly Over 12.5 Points

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Bilal Coulibaly has been stepping up for the Wizards, scoring above his season average of 12.6 points in his last three games. With Jordan Poole out, Coulibaly will have more opportunities to contribute offensively.

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