Welcome to week 17's Upset Watch

Week 17 is one of the strangest in the NFL calendar. First, we'll start the week for the first time ever on Wednesday, Christmas day, with two strong matchups between playoff teams. Then we'll have a Thursday game between the Seahawks and Bears, before a day off on Friday to try and recover from the food and football.

Then it's right back again on Saturday, as we have a triple-header featuring some interesting matchups with some playoff ramifications, before 9 Sunday games, punctuated by Monday Night's Lions and 49ers matchup. Phew!

This week's schedule will be:

Tuesday: Wednesday and Thursday game analysis

Wednesday: Christmas day, don't get your hopes up

Thursday evening: Saturday game previews

Friday: As many of the Sunday games as possible

Saturday/Sunday: Finishing off 

ALl of which means a tricky week, and one we need to be 

How Upset Watch works

Each week we select a handful of underdogs who we think are most likely to upset the odds. We accompany these selections with a full analysis of the game, and a list of all games, ordered by our projected probability that the underdog wins.

Our aim is to be in profit by season's end - something we've managed in 7 straight years to a total of $+13,000 in profit. Because of the longer odds of an underdog, anything over a 40% hit rate is likely to yield a profit.

We combine data and trend analysis with good, solid research, to find the underdogs who have a better chance than the odds suggest, and that's what gets results over the long haul.

We can't guarantee you'll win every week, but for 6 years, the method of playing has been profitable every year, so in the long haul, it's a much better chance of winning than betting favorites.

VIP members, read on for our best underdog picks of week 17. Not a VIP member? sign up here!