In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	Unit Stake	Return
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	165	5	-5
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	120	5	-5
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	116	5	-5
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	110	5	-5
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	100	5	-5
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	550	5	-5
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	205	5	-5
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	195	5	-5
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	130	5	6.5
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	130	5	6.5
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	110	5	5.5
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	160	5	-5
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	140	5	-5
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	114	5	-5
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	100	5	-5
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	195	5	9.75
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	205	5	-5
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	130	5	-5
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	135	5	6.75
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	130	5	6.5
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	100	5	5
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	350	5	17.5
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	185	5	9.25
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	165	5	8.25
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	165	5	8.25
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	143	5	7.15
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	168	5	-5
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	120	5	-5
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	210	5	10.5
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	190	5	9.5
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	105	5	5.25
7	Other	Tampa Bay	Detroit	L	210	5	-5
7	Other	Jacksonville	LA Rams	L	150	5	-5
7	Best	Atlanta	San Francisco	L	140	5	-5
7	Best	Miami	Cleveland	L	120	5	-5
7	Other	NY Giants	Denver	W*	350	5	17.5
7	Best	Indianapolis	LA Chargers	W	120	5	6
8	Other	NY Giants	Philadelphia	L	325	5	-5
8	Best	Chicago	Baltimore	L	270	5	-5
8	Best	Dallas	Denver	L	150	5	-5
8	Best	San Francisco	Houston	L	120	5	-5
9	Best	Atlanta	New England	L	210	5	-5
9	Other	Cincinnati	Chicago	L	125	5	-5
9	Best	Buffalo	Kansas City	W	115	5	5.75
9	Best	Denver	Houston	W	110	5	5.5
10	Other	Arizona	Seattle	L	270	5	-5
10	Other	Minnesota	Baltimore	L	210	5	-5
10	Best	Pittsburgh	LA Chargers	L	150	5	-5
10	Best	Philadelphia	Green Bay	W	125	5	6.25
10	Best	New England	Tampa Bay	W	125	5	6.25
10	Other	Jacksonville	Houston	W*	100	5	5
11	Best	Tampa Bay	Buffalo	L	220	5	-5
11	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	140	5	-5
11	Other	Seattle	LA Rams	L	130	5	-5
11	Other	Carolina	Atlanta	W	185	5	9.25
11	Best	Detroit	Philadelphia	W	125	5	6.25
12	Best	Minnesota	Green Bay	L	240	5	-5
12	Best	Indianapolis	Kansas City	L	160	5	-5
12	Other	Cleveland	Las Vegas	W	180	5	9
12	Best	Atlanta	New Orleans	W	125	5	6.25
13	Best	Chicago	Philadelphia	W	310	5	15.5
13	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	W	300	5	15
13	Best	Houston	Indianapolis	W	190	5	9.5
13	Other	New Orleans	Miami	L	210	5	-5
13	Other	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	L	160	5	-5
14	Best	Dallas	Detroit	L	150	5	-5
14	Best	Houston	Kansas City	W	185	5	9.25
14	Best	Cincinnati	Buffalo	L	210	5	-5
14	Other	Jacksonville	Indianapolis	W	125	5	6.25
14	Other	Washington	Minnesota	L	110	5	-5
14	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	120	5	-5
14	Other	Tennessee	Cleveland	W	180	5	9
15	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	L	225	5	-5
15	Best	New England	Buffalo	W*	110	5	5.5
15	Best	Denver	Green Bay	W	120	5	6
15	Other	LA Chargers	Kansas City	W	190	5	9.5
15	Other	Miami	Pittsburgh	L	180	5	-5

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: +6.5 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +37.8 units

Best bets Season record: 21-24 (46.6%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +4.5 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +42.9 units

Other bets season record: 14-18 (43.8%)

Total week profit/loss: +11 units

Total Season profit/loss: +80.65 units

Total season record: 35-42 (45.6% +$1,613)

* Bets are placed with Bet365 which means if a team goes ahead by 17 points or more, our bet wins even if they subsequently lose.

Game Picks

About Upset Watch

Weighted Stats

Game Picks

Weekly Profit Record