Table includes week 14 in progress after Thursday night game pick

In week 13 we hit a profit of +$130. With a smaller slate and a recent trend of favorites winning more often, we were careful not to over-expose ourselves, instead opting for just 3 underdog winner picks, and an underdog cover. The big risk was to our streak of picking an underdog winner in every week, as making only 3 high-risk picks increased the chance of our first blowout since 2021.

Thankfully, not only did the Packers win at +235 on Sunday, but our other two picks were extremely close to yielding two big upsets too. The Seahawks ran the Cowboys close, as we predicted, on Thursday, and the Broncos were intercepted at the goal line on what would have been a game-winning drive in Houston.

Those fine margins haven't gone our way much this year, but that's life, and given how few underdog winners there have been recently in the NFL, we can take some solace that 

* Week 9, the Chiefs moved to an underdog just before kickoff, and week 10, the Raiders moved to an underdog in the same way.

That's a record of just 20 underdogs winning games out of 87 total NFL games, or just 22.9%. We've predicted 9 of them. Given that context, I'm happy to be still generating positive weeks given that this column only tracks underdogs, and we're up +$265 since week 7.