2023 was a mixed bag, and the root cause of that can be seen in the chart above: Covers!

Our winner picks were, as always, strong. In fact, at no point of 2023 were we down more than $130 in that category. A mid-season winning streak from week 13 onwards saw us generate almost $800 in profit in just 6 weeks. We also had a pretty good postseason, and of course, nailed the Chiefs as underdogs in the Super Bowl to cap off another profitable season. The nature of the beast means that we'll most likely lose more picks than we win over the course of a season, but we won 42.4% of our picks at an average of +154 odds.

But our cover picks were a mixed bag, and the reason we didn't push for a bigger profit again. A 4 week losing streak between weeks 3-6 set us back big time, and while we recovered most of it, I canned all but 2 cover picks from week 13 onwards. I'll be careful with covers this year, and it's likely I'll use them sparingly, but equally, this is the kind of thing I recommend using your own judgement on!

Overall, 2023 was another profitable year in the pantheon of Upset Watch. Our first ever 'big hole', and we got out of it with sensible picks, calm decision-making, and focusing on the best opportunities.

So as we head into 2024 with a clean slate, we're hoping for less of a re-run of the first half of the season, and more a continuation of our excellent form at the back end of 2023-4!