Welcome to 2024's Upset Watch!

If you're new to Pickwatch, or have never read Upset Watch, here's what we do:

Each week we select a handful of underdogs who we think are most likely to upset the odds. We accompany these selections with a full analysis of the game, and a list of all games, ordered by our projected probability that the underdog wins.

Our aim is to be in profit by season's end - something we've managed in 7 straight years to a total of $+13,000 in profit.

We combine data and trend analysis with good, solid research, and that's what gets results.

VIP members, read on for our best underdog picks of week 1. Not a VIP member? sign up here!