Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/13/2025 2:10 PM EDT

We have your Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Pittsburgh Pirates hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -235 at BetMGM / Pittsburgh Pirates +215 at Caesars
Best Spread Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-112) at BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-105) at Caesars / Under 7.5 (-114) at Fanduel

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-13
Time: 2:10 PM EDT
Location: American Family Field
TV: -

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers, with an impressive 75-44 overall record and a dominant 41-20 at home, are set to host the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers are currently leading the NL Central and are on an exceptional 11-game winning streak, having won 14 of their last 15 games. Their offense has been a key factor in their success, ranking second in batting average (.259) and third in on-base percentage (.330) across the league. Their pitching staff also boasts a strong 3.58 ERA, placing them second overall.

On the other side, the Pittsburgh Pirates come into this matchup with a 51-70 record, sitting fifth in the NL Central. They have struggled on the road this season, holding a 17-41 away record, and are currently on a four-game losing streak. The Pirates' pitching staff has a collective 3.99 ERA, ranking 16th in the league, but they are notably strong at limiting home runs, ranking sixth. The Pirates will be monitoring the status of center fielder Oneil Cruz, who exited yesterday's game with a head injury and is listed as day-to-day. Brewers' infielder Brice Turang is also day-to-day with a finger injury.

The pitching matchup features Milwaukee's right-hander Brandon Woodruff (4-0, 2.29 ERA) against Pittsburgh's right-hander Mitch Keller (5-10, 3.86 ERA). Woodruff has been nearly unhittable since returning from shoulder surgery in early July, holding opponents to a .139 batting average and pitching at least six innings in five of his six starts this season. Keller, while steady recently with a 3.50 ERA over his last eight starts, has historically struggled against the Brewers.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers have had a significant edge over the Pittsburgh Pirates in recent encounters, winning five of their last six meetings. Notably, Milwaukee has won by two or more runs in each of the past four matchups between these two teams. Yesterday's game saw the Brewers dominate with a 14-0 victory over the Pirates, following a 7-1 win the day before.

Looking at the pitching matchup's history, Brewers' starter Brandon Woodruff holds a strong 7-3 record with a 3.40 ERA in 17 career games (15 starts) against the Pirates. Conversely, Pirates' starter Mitch Keller has a career record of 1-5 with a 4.99 ERA in 10 starts against the Brewers. In their most recent head-to-head in May 2025, Keller allowed one run over six innings in a no-decision against Milwaukee.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

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The Milwaukee Brewers are in exceptional form, riding an 11-game winning streak and coming off a dominant 14-0 victory over the Pirates. Their offense is firing on all cylinders, and their pitching staff has been stellar. Brandon Woodruff, with his impressive 2.29 ERA and strong historical performance against Pittsburgh, gives the Brewers a significant advantage on the mound. The Pirates, on the other hand, are struggling on the road and have a history of difficulties against the Brewers, particularly against Woodruff. Given Milwaukee's momentum, home-field advantage, and the favorable pitching matchup, backing the Brewers to cover the -1.5 run line at BetRivers is a confident pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Brice Turang (Milwaukee Brewers) - Hits Over 0.5

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Brice Turang has been consistently getting on base, hitting the over on his hits prop in 80% of his last five games and 90% of his last ten games. Over the last 20 games, he has maintained a 75% hit rate for this prop. When playing at home this season, he has hit the over in 71.19% of his games. Furthermore, in 2025 matchups against the Pirates, Turang has hit the over on this prop in 77.78% of his appearances. Historically, he has a .286 batting average against Mitch Keller in 14 plate appearances. You can find the best odds for Turang to get over 0.5 hits at -210 on Fanduel.

Joey Ortiz (Milwaukee Brewers) - Bases Over 0.5

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Joey Ortiz has shown strong recent performance, hitting the over on his total bases prop in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. His season-long hit rate for this prop is 52.59%. Against the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2025, Ortiz has been particularly effective, hitting the over in 66.67% of his games with an average of 2.44 bases. His career numbers against Mitch Keller are exceptional, boasting a .625 batting average with 5 hits, including a double and a triple, in just 9 plate appearances. The best odds for Ortiz to get over 0.5 bases are -135 at Pinnacle.

Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers) - Hits Over 0.5

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Christian Yelich is a strong candidate for hits, having gone over his 0.5 hits line in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. His season hit rate for this prop is 66.96%. Against the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2025, Yelich has been perfect, hitting the over in 100% of his appearances with an impressive average of 1.78 hits. In his career against Mitch Keller, Yelich holds a .389 batting average with 7 hits in 21 plate appearances. You can bet on Yelich to get over 0.5 hits with the best odds at -225 on BetMGM.

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