After the Week 12 results in the NFL, the final few weeks will be exciting, with many close races for the playoffs.

If you were betting on the Favorites to win in Week 12, you were successful, as they went 10-4 Straight Up. However, betting Against the Spread did not work out as well; while some favorites came away victorious, most struggled to cover, going 5-9 ATS. At the start of the season, the NFL saw more high-scoring games, but it has recently shifted in the opposite direction, including in Week 12, when the Under went 10-4.

If you're looking for some help picking games, Pickwatch tracks hundreds of Experts who cover a wide variety of sports. The NFL season is getting exciting, and the NCAAF is in its final week of the regular season. Pickwatch has analysis on each of these leagues, and you can see hundreds of Expert Picks, including moneylines, spreads, and totals.

To get all of our Expert Picks, you must have a Pickwatch Pro subscription. To see the team-by-team expert rankings and additional data, you need to have an Expert subscription. Lastly, if you want access to valuable sports betting tools, in addition to Expert Picks data, try the BetSmart subscription FREE for 14 days.

Expert of the Week: Mike Florio

The benefit of following Pickwatch is that it covers wide variety of Experts: from lesser-known Experts who specialize in niche areas to the most well-known names in sports media.

That includes the latest Expert of the Week, one of the most well-known NFL analysts: Mike Florio of NBC and ProFootballTalk. Florio’s career spans over 25 years, having started by writing for the now-defunct NFLtalk.com. That site was bought by ESPN, where he briefly wrote news and rumor reports for the network.

Florio’s most notable accomplishment is the creation of ProFootballTalk.com, also known as “PFT,” in November 2009. It has become one of the premier sources for the latest news and information on the NFL. What started as a simple blog-style site covering the NFL has morphed into a media empire.

NBC acquired the site in 2009, with Florio still leading, as he hosts PFT Live, which is broadcast on Peacock, and contributes to Football Night In America on NBC. In October 2025, PFT had approximately 872,000 visits to its website and currently has 1.9 million followers on its X (formerly Twitter) account.

Florio has a long history of success in the betting space, and Pickwatch was been tracking him since 2014 on over 3,000 bets. In over a decade of picks, Florio has a win rate over 50% on NFL ATS bets, and has posted huge returns by hitting at least 70% of his weekly bets nine times, and at least 80% five times. Last year was one of his best finishes, as his 54.9% hit rate on NFL ATS had him ranked 19th for the year.

He carries that momentum into 2025, with his current 54% win rate on NFL ATS, which ranks him No. 7 Overall among all experts.

Mike Florio NFL Picks Breakdown

Week 12 Record (ATS): 9-4-1, 69.2% (10th Overall)
Overall Record (ATS: 91-82-2, 54% (7th Overall)
Mike Florio Pickwatch Expert Page

Week 12 Overview

It was a stellar week for Florio as he went 9-4-1 (69.2%) Against The Spread, helping him finish in the top ten for the third time this year. This puts him in a position to finish in the top ten this season, as he is currently seventh overall.

Florio started the week by cashing in on the Texans (+5.5), who beat the Bills on Thursday night. His biggest success came on the late game on Sunday, as he went 3-0-1 ATS on the late afternoon slate, including the Cowboys (+3) in an important divisional matchup against the Eagles.

Going against the consensus proved to be an excellent strategy for Florio. He went against the consensus on several bets, including the Bengals (+7), which was picked by only 33% of experts, and Titans +13.5, which was chosen by just 27% of experts.

Additional Sports & Leagues

While Florio focuses only on the NFL, many of our other experts cover a wide range of sports. Whether you want to bet on college football, the NHL, or the NBA, Pickwatch tracks the top experts in those sports and many more.

Unlock Expert Picks and More Today

Sign up for a Pickwatch subscription today to get Expert Picks from Gagnon and hundreds of other experts across all major sports and leagues worldwide.

With a Pickwatch Pro subscription, you get access to all the picks from the top experts, and with a Pickwatch Expert subscription, you also get team-by-team rankings and additional expert data.