NFL Pickwatch - Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/7/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Phoenix Suns hit the road to face the Miami Heat.

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Phoenix Suns +180 (bet365) / Miami Heat -215 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -6.0 - Phoenix Suns -112 (FanDuel) / -5.5 - Miami Heat -120 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 220.0 - Under -110 (FanDuel) / Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 12/7/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
TV: NBA League Pass

Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

On the road, the Phoenix Suns have 4 wins and 5 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Phoenix Suns have 2 wins and 7 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Phoenix Suns have 12 wins and 9 losses.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

At home, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 8 wins and 5 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Miami Heat have 10 wins and 10 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and the Phoenix Suns have faced each other three times, with the Suns emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between January 2024 and November 2024. In these matchups, the home team won twice, while the visiting team secured a win once. The Suns covered the spread in two of the games, while the Heat managed to cover the spread in one. The total score went over the set line once and stayed under twice, indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring games in this matchup. The Suns have consistently been the favorites in these contests, as indicated by their moneyline odds.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on November 6, 2024, with the Phoenix Suns narrowly defeating the Miami Heat 115-112. The Suns were the home team and the favorites, with a point spread of -5.0. Despite the close scoreline, the Heat managed to cover the spread. The game went over the set over-under line of 222.5, with a total score of 227.0. Kevin Durant led the Suns with 32 points, while Jusuf Nurkic contributed significantly with 20 points and 18 rebounds. The Heat's Tyler Herro was the top scorer for his team with 28 points. The Suns had a higher field goal percentage at 50% compared to the Heat's 43.5%, and they also outperformed the Heat in three-point shooting, with a percentage of 41.9% against Miami's 38.2%.

In the other two games, the Suns continued their dominance. On January 29, 2024, the Suns defeated the Heat 118-105 in Miami, covering the spread as the visiting favorites. The game stayed under the over-under line of 230.5, with a total score of 223.0. Earlier that month, on January 5, 2024, the Suns won 113-97 at home, again covering the spread as favorites. This game also went under the over-under line of 227.5, with a total score of 210.0. Across these games, the Suns demonstrated superior shooting efficiency and rebounding, which were key factors in their victories.

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Preview

The Phoenix Suns are set to face the Miami Heat in a matchup that promises to be a compelling contest between two teams looking to find their rhythm in the early stages of the NBA season. The Suns, currently holding a 12-9 record, have been navigating a challenging period marked by injuries to key players, including superstar Kevin Durant, who will be absent due to an ankle injury. Despite this setback, the Suns have shown resilience, with Devin Booker and Bradley Beal stepping up to lead the team. Booker's recent performances have been noteworthy, consistently delivering high-scoring games, although the Suns have struggled on the road, losing their last four away games.

On the other side, the Miami Heat, with a balanced 10-10 record, are coming off a dominant victory over the Los Angeles Lakers, showcasing their offensive potential. Tyler Herro has been a standout performer for the Heat, leading the team in scoring and proving to be a crucial component of their offensive strategy. The Heat's home court advantage at the Kaseya Center could play a significant role, as they have a positive record at home this season. Miami's lineup, featuring the likes of Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, is expected to challenge the Suns' defense, especially with the absence of Durant and Jusuf Nurkic, who is also sidelined.

Historically, the Suns have had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Heat, winning all three matchups over the past two seasons. However, with the current dynamics and the Heat's recent form, this game could tilt in favor of the home team. The Heat's ability to exploit the Suns' vulnerabilities, particularly in the absence of their key players, will be crucial. As both teams aim to improve their standings, this game is set to be a test of depth and adaptability, with the Heat looking to capitalize on their home advantage and the Suns striving to overcome their road woes.

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Pick: Miami Heat Moneyline

The Miami Heat are poised to capitalize on their home court advantage against a Phoenix Suns team grappling with significant injuries. The absence of Kevin Durant, a pivotal player for the Suns, cannot be overstated. His scoring prowess and leadership have been sorely missed, as evidenced by the Suns' 1-7 record without him this season. Additionally, the Suns are without their starting center, Jusuf Nurkic, further depleting their lineup and leaving them vulnerable in the paint.

Conversely, the Miami Heat are riding high after a commanding 41-point victory over the Los Angeles Lakers, a game that showcased their offensive depth and versatility. Tyler Herro, leading the Heat in scoring, has been in exceptional form, and his ability to stretch the floor with his shooting will be a critical factor against the Suns. The Heat's balanced attack, featuring key contributions from Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, presents a formidable challenge for a Suns defense that has struggled on the road, losing their last four away games.

Historically, while the Suns have had the upper hand in recent matchups, the current dynamics favor the Heat. Miami's home record of 5-4 this season, coupled with the Suns' road woes, underscores the Heat's potential to secure a victory. The Heat's ability to exploit the Suns' weakened roster, particularly in the absence of Durant and Nurkic, positions them as the favorites in this encounter. With the Heat's offensive firepower and the Suns' ongoing struggles, the Miami Heat Moneyline is a compelling pick for this matchup.

Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Top Player Prop Picks

Devin Booker Over 5.5 Assists +115 (DraftKings)

Devin Booker has been a pivotal player for the Phoenix Suns, especially in the absence of Kevin Durant. With Durant sidelined, Booker has taken on a more significant role in facilitating the offense, which is reflected in his recent performances. The Suns have been relying heavily on Booker to create scoring opportunities, not just for himself but for his teammates as well. Given the Suns' current lineup challenges, Booker's ability to distribute the ball effectively will be crucial against a Miami Heat team that boasts a strong defensive presence. The odds of +115 for Booker to exceed 5.5 assists present a valuable opportunity, considering his increased playmaking responsibilities in recent games.

Tyler Herro Over 23.5 Points -104 (FanDuel)

Tyler Herro has been a standout performer for the Miami Heat, leading the team in scoring with an impressive average of 24.1 points per game. His offensive prowess was on full display in the Heat's recent victory over the Los Angeles Lakers, where he scored 31 points. Herro's ability to score from beyond the arc and his proficiency in creating his own shots make him a constant threat to opposing defenses. With the Suns missing key defensive players like Kevin Durant and Jusuf Nurkic, Herro is poised to exploit these gaps and continue his scoring streak. The odds of -104 for Herro to surpass 23.5 points are favorable, given his current form and the Suns' defensive vulnerabilities.

Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 Assists -125 (DraftKings)

Jimmy Butler's role as a facilitator for the Miami Heat is often overshadowed by his scoring and defensive capabilities. However, Butler's ability to distribute the ball effectively is a critical component of the Heat's offensive strategy. With an average of 3.1 assists per game, Butler has shown that he can orchestrate plays and find open teammates, especially in high-pressure situations. Against a Suns team that is struggling with injuries and defensive consistency, Butler's playmaking skills will be essential. The odds of -125 for Butler to exceed 4.5 assists reflect his potential to impact the game beyond scoring, making this a compelling prop bet for the matchup.