Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 02/04/2025

We have your Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Ottawa Senators at Amalie Arena.

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -175 (ESPN BET), Ottawa Senators +152 (Caesars).
Best Spread Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+150, DraftKings), Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-170, BetMGM).
Best Total Odds: Over 5.5 (-120, ESPN BET), Under 5.5 (+102, BetRivers).

Game Info

Date: February 4, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN+

Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Ottawa Senators enter this matchup riding a five-game win streak, boasting a 29-20-4 record. Their recent form has been impressive, with a 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games, averaging 2.8 goals per game while allowing just 2.1. Key contributors include Tim Stutzle, who has 17 goals and 36 assists, and Joshua Norris, who has tallied four goals and two assists in his last 10 games. The Senators have also been strong on special teams, with a penalty kill percentage of 81.7% and a power play percentage of 23.3%. The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, hold a 27-20-4 record and have struggled recently, going 4-5-1 in their last 10 games. They are averaging 2.5 goals per game during this stretch while allowing the same. Brandon Hagel has been a standout for the Lightning with 22 goals and 32 assists, while Jake Guentzel has contributed five goals and four assists in his last 10 games. Tampa Bay's power play has been effective at 26.4%, but their penalty kill percentage of 78.8% leaves room for improvement.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last meeting earlier this season, the Ottawa Senators edged out the Tampa Bay Lightning in a thrilling 5-4 victory. Drake Batherson led the Senators with two goals in that game. Over their last 10 matchups, the Senators have a slight edge, winning six games compared to the Lightning's four. The Senators have also been more effective in games where their opponents serve more penalty minutes, going 16-7-3 in such scenarios this season.

Pick: Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-170)

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The Senators' recent form and five-game win streak make them a strong pick to cover the spread. Their defensive solidity, combined with Tampa Bay's recent struggles, particularly against Atlantic Division opponents (3-9-0), gives Ottawa the edge to keep this game close. Additionally, the Senators' ability to capitalize on power plays and their strong penalty kill could be decisive factors in this matchup.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Tim Stutzle Over 0.5 Assists

Stutzle has been a key playmaker for the Senators, with 36 assists this season. Given his recent form and the Lightning's defensive vulnerabilities, he is well-positioned to record at least one assist in this game.

2. Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 Points

Hagel has been a consistent performer for the Lightning, with 54 points this season. He has the ability to contribute offensively, even in a tough matchup against the Senators.

3. Drake Batherson Over 0.5 Goals

Batherson scored twice in the last meeting between these teams and has been a reliable scorer for Ottawa. His ability to find the back of the net makes this a strong prop bet.

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