Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/17/2025 8:30 PM EST

We have your Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Oklahoma City Thunder hit the road to face the Dallas Mavericks.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Odds Info

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Best Spread Odds: 7.5 - Oklahoma City Thunder -115 (BetMGM) / Dallas Mavericks -105 (BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: 223.5 - Under -105 (Caesars) / 222.5 - Over -110 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 1/17/2025
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
TV: NBA League Pass

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends

On the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 16 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 33 wins and 6 losses this season.
This season, the Oklahoma City Thunder have hit 20 overs and 21 unders.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

At home, the Dallas Mavericks have 12 wins and 8 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses this season.
This season, the Dallas Mavericks have hit 20 overs and 21 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks have faced each other 12 times, with each team securing six victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the home team winning seven times and the visiting team winning five times. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have covered the spread six times each. The games have also been balanced in terms of total points, with six games going over the set total and six games going under. This even distribution of wins, spread coverage, and over/under results highlights the competitive nature of the matchups between these two teams.

In their most recent encounter on December 10, 2024, the Oklahoma City Thunder emerged victorious over the Dallas Mavericks with a final score of 118-104. The Thunder, playing at home, were favored with a point spread of -4.5 and successfully covered the spread with a 14-point win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 39 points, while Jalen Williams added 18 points. The Mavericks' Kyrie Irving scored 24 points, and Luka Doncic contributed 19 points. The Thunder outperformed the Mavericks in rebounds, securing 52 compared to Dallas's 44, and also led in assists with 29 to the Mavericks' 25. Both teams struggled with turnovers, with the Mavericks committing 19 and the Thunder 14. The total score of 222 points fell under the over-under line of 230.

This recent game exemplifies the Thunder's ability to capitalize on their home-court advantage, as they have done in previous matchups. The Thunder's strong performance in rebounds and assists played a crucial role in their victory. The Mavericks, despite having key contributions from Irving and Doncic, were unable to overcome the Thunder's balanced team effort. As the two teams prepare to face each other again, the historical data suggests a closely contested game, with both teams having an equal chance of securing a win based on past performances.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, boasting a remarkable 34-6 record, are set to face the Dallas Mavericks, who stand at 22-19, in a highly anticipated matchup at the American Airlines Center. The Thunder, currently tied for the best record in the NBA, have been on a tear, winning four consecutive games and 19 of their last 20. Their recent dominance was on full display in a commanding 134-114 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers, where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered a stellar 40-point performance. The Thunder's success has been fueled by their ability to control the game on both ends of the floor, averaging 121.7 points over their last ten games while holding opponents to just 104.9 points.

On the other hand, the Mavericks have been grappling with injuries to key players, including Luka Doncic, who remains sidelined with a calf strain, and Kyrie Irving, who is questionable due to a back issue. Despite these setbacks, the Mavericks have shown resilience, with players like Daniel Gafford stepping up, as evidenced by his career-high 27 points and 12 rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans. However, Dallas has struggled recently, losing three straight games and eight of their last ten, highlighting the challenges they face without their star players.

As the Thunder and Mavericks prepare to clash, the game promises to be a test of depth and adaptability. Oklahoma City will look to maintain their momentum and capitalize on their strong road performance, where they have secured 16 wins this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks will aim to leverage their home-court advantage and find ways to counter the Thunder's high-octane offense. With both teams having split their previous two meetings this season, this matchup is poised to be a thrilling encounter, with the potential for high-scoring action as each team seeks to assert their dominance.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Pick: Total Points Over

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The upcoming clash between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. The Thunder, with a stellar 34-6 record, have been an offensive juggernaut, averaging 121.7 points over their last ten games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a key contributor, recently putting up 40 points against the Cleveland Cavaliers, showcasing his ability to lead the Thunder's potent attack. Oklahoma City's offensive prowess is further highlighted by their impressive shooting percentage of 50.4% during this stretch, indicating their efficiency and ability to score at will.

On the other side, the Mavericks, despite their recent struggles and injury woes, have shown they can still put points on the board. They average 115.6 points per game this season, and even without Luka Doncic, they have players like Daniel Gafford stepping up, as evidenced by his 27-point performance against the Pelicans. The Mavericks' ability to score is complemented by their shooting accuracy, with a field goal percentage of 47.7%, which is notably higher than the Thunder's defensive allowance of 42.6%.

Historically, matchups between these two teams have been competitive and high-scoring. In their last meeting, the total points reached 222, just shy of the over-under line of 230, despite both teams struggling with turnovers. With the Thunder's current form and the Mavericks' potential to exploit their home-court advantage, this game is poised to exceed the projected total. The Thunder's road success, coupled with the Mavericks' need to counteract their recent losing streak, sets the stage for an offensive showdown. Therefore, betting on the total points to go over is a strategic choice, supported by both teams' offensive capabilities and recent performances.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks Top Player Prop Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points -113 (FanDuel)

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a dominant force for the Oklahoma City Thunder, consistently delivering high-scoring performances. In their recent victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers, he showcased his scoring prowess with a 40-point game, marking his fifth outing of 40 or more points this season. With the Thunder averaging 121.7 points over their last ten games, Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive contributions have been pivotal. Facing a Dallas Mavericks team that has struggled defensively, especially with key players like Luka Doncic sidelined, Gilgeous-Alexander is poised to exploit these weaknesses. The Mavericks have allowed an average of 115.6 points per game to opponents, providing a favorable environment for Gilgeous-Alexander to exceed the 32.5 points line.

Kyrie Irving Over 4.5 Assists -122 (FanDuel)

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Despite the Dallas Mavericks' recent struggles, Kyrie Irving remains a critical playmaker for the team. With Luka Doncic out, Irving's role in facilitating the Mavericks' offense becomes even more crucial. In their last matchup against the Thunder, Irving managed to score 24 points, and his ability to distribute the ball will be essential in countering Oklahoma City's high-octane offense. The Thunder's defense, while strong, has allowed opponents to find success in ball movement, and Irving's experience and skill set make him a prime candidate to surpass the 4.5 assists line. Given the Mavericks' need to adapt and find scoring opportunities without Doncic, Irving's playmaking will be a focal point in their strategy.

Daniel Gafford Over 8.5 Rebounds +105 (DraftKings)

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Daniel Gafford has emerged as a key contributor for the Mavericks, particularly in the absence of their star players. His recent performance against the New Orleans Pelicans, where he recorded a career-high 27 points and 12 rebounds, underscores his capability to dominate the boards. With the Mavericks facing a Thunder team that excels in scoring, Gafford's presence in the paint will be vital for Dallas to control the tempo and limit second-chance opportunities for Oklahoma City. The Thunder's aggressive offensive style often leads to high rebound opportunities, and Gafford's recent form suggests he is well-positioned to capitalize on this, making the over on 8.5 rebounds an attractive proposition.

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