New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 2:35 PM EDT

We have your New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Yankees hit the road to face the Texas Rangers.

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Texas Rangers +118 (Fanduel), New York Yankees -130 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.5 (-144) (Fanduel)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.0 (-105) (Caesars), Under 8.5 (-125) (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-06
Time: 2:35 PM EDT
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: RSN

New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers Preview

The New York Yankees (60-54) are looking to snap a five-game losing streak as they face the Texas Rangers (60-55) in the final game of their three-game series at Globe Life Field. The Yankees were shut out 2-0 in the last game, managing only two hits, despite the return of Aaron Judge to the lineup. New York has struggled on the road this season, holding a 26-32 record away from home and losing their last six away games.

On the mound for the Yankees will be Carlos Rodón (11-7, 3.34 ERA), who boasts a 1.06 WHIP and 10.4 K/9 through 134 2/3 innings this season. However, Rodón has had a string of tough starts recently, posting a 4.64 ERA over his last six outings. For the Texas Rangers, Jack Leiter (7-6, 4.10 ERA) will make his 20th start. Leiter has a 1.32 WHIP and 8.4 K/9 through 96 2/3 innings, and his home ERA of 3.66 is nearly a full run better than his road ERA of 4.60. The Rangers have been hot at home, winning eight straight games and 12 of their last 13 in their own ballpark, and have won three of Leiter's last four starts, scoring at least seven runs in each of those wins.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Texas Rangers have dominated the current series against the New York Yankees, winning the first two games. They secured an 8-5 victory in the series opener on Monday, followed by a commanding 2-0 shutout win on Tuesday, holding the Yankees to just two hits. The Yankees are now hoping to avoid a sweep in this final game of the series.

Pick: Under 8.5 Total Runs

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Despite the public leaning towards the Over, there's strong contrarian value on the Under for this matchup. The Rangers have won the first two games of this series, including a 2-0 shutout, indicating a potential for lower-scoring affairs. While Carlos Rodón has had a few rough starts, his season-long ERA of 3.34 suggests he's capable of a bounce-back performance. Furthermore, the Texas Rangers have struggled significantly against left-handed pitchers this season, posting the fourth-lowest wRC+ (77) in MLB against southpaws, which bodes well for Rodón. On the other side, Jack Leiter has shown better form at home, and both teams feature strong bullpens, with the Yankees making key acquisitions like David Bednar and Camilo Doval, and the Rangers' bullpen holding a solid 4.06 xFIP over the past month. This points to a game where pitching could largely dictate the outcome, keeping the total runs below the line.

Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Jung (Texas Rangers) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Josh Jung has been consistently hitting the ball well, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop a compelling pick. He has hit over this line in 100% of his last 5 games and 100% of his last 10 games. Over his last 20 games, he's hit the over 75% of the time. Furthermore, Jung has performed exceptionally well against the Yankees, hitting the over in 100% of his 4 matchups against them in 2025, averaging 1.5 hits per game. In 2024, he hit the over in 83.33% of his 6 games against them. Playing at home this season, he's hit the over 63.64% of the time. You can find the best odds for Josh Jung Over 0.5 Hits at -155 on Fanduel.

Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees) - Over 0.5 Bases

Giancarlo Stanton presents a strong case for the Over 0.5 Bases prop. He has been on a hot streak, hitting over this line in 80% of his last 5 games, 90% of his last 10 games, and 85% of his last 20 games. His season-long hit rate for this prop stands at 75.68%. While his 2025 performance against the Rangers is 50% over in 2 games, his 2024 record against them shows a 66.67% hit rate over 6 games, averaging 3.33 bases. As a visitor, he's hit the over 77.78% of the time this season. The best odds for Giancarlo Stanton Over 0.5 Bases are -190 on ESPN BET.

Josh Smith (Texas Rangers) - Over 0.5 Bases

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Josh Smith is another Texas Ranger to consider for the Over 0.5 Bases prop. He has hit over this line in 80% of his last 5 games and 70% of his last 10 games. His season-long hit rate for this prop is 63.37%. Against the Yankees, Smith has hit the over in 60% of his 5 games in 2025, averaging 1.2 bases, and an impressive 83.33% in 6 games in 2024, averaging 2.0 bases. When playing at home this season, he's hit the over 59.09% of the time. You can find the best odds for Josh Smith Over 0.5 Bases at -116 on Pinnacle.

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