Here is the Pickwatch BetSmart Preview for the New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos game in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.

New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Game Info

Date: Sunday, January 25, 2025
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Location: Empower Field at Mile High — Denver, Colorado
TV: CBS

Patriots vs. Broncos Betting Odds

Point Spread
- Patriots -3.5 (-118)
- Broncos +3.5 (-104)
Moneyline
- Patriots -220
- Broncos -185
Total
- Over/Under 42.5

Thinking about betting on the Underdog? Be sure to check out our Upset Watch column before you decide!

Season Betting Records

Moneyline
- Patriots: 16-3
- Broncos: 15-3
Against the Spread
- Patriots: 13-5-1
- Broncos: 8-9-1
Totals (Over-Under)
- Patriots: 12-7
- Broncos: 8-10

New England Patriots (16-3) @ Denver Broncos (15-3) Preview

Denver hosts the AFC Championship in one of the league’s most difficult playoff environments, where altitude, cold air, and crowd noise consistently impact visiting offenses.

The Broncos’ formula has been steady all postseason: protect the football, lean on a physical run game, and let their defense dictate field position. At home, Denver has been far more aggressive defensively, particularly on early downs, forcing opponents into long-yardage situations that play directly into their pass rush.

New England arrives with postseason experience and a defense that thrives on disguising coverage and forcing quarterbacks to hesitate. Offensively, the Patriots have leaned on ball control and situational efficiency rather than explosive plays, which can keep them competitive in hostile environments. However, sustaining long drives at altitude becomes more difficult as the game wears on, especially if Denver controls tempo early.

Weather is expected to be cold in the low 20s to high teens, with thin air but potential winds around 15-20 mph, but no snow expected. With the Patriots used to cold weather in Massachusetts, the conditions likely don't favor either team, although the altitude and thin air could potentially favor the Broncos.

If New England can avoid early deficits and force Denver into a more pass-heavy script, they can keep this within one possession deep into the fourth quarter. Denver’s edge comes if they establish the run, shorten the game, and let altitude and crowd noise compound fatigue.

Patriots/Broncos Head-to-Head (H2H) Stats and Analysis

The Denver Broncos lead the all-time series 31-24 against the New England Patriots. Here are the last 5 meetings:

New England Patriots 26, Denver Broncos 23 — December 24, 2023
Denver Broncos 18, New England Patriots 12 — October 18, 2020
New England Patriots 41, Denver Broncos 16 — November 12, 2017
New England Patriots 16, Denver Broncos 3 — December 18, 2016
Denver Broncos 20, New England Patriots 18 — January 24, 2016 (AFC Championship)

BetSmart Betting Rundown

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NOTE: All available bets are as of time of publication. Odds and lines change often, so be sure to check each subsequent Pickwatch betting tool for the latest numbers.

Arbitrage

Our Arbitrage Betting Tool is currently identifying 4 arbitrage betting opportunities for guaranteed profit. Odds and lines change frequently, however, so be sure to check back often leading up to kickoff.

Middles

Our Middle Betting Tool is currently identifying 48 middle betting opportunities.

Positive EV

Our Positive EV Betting Tool is currently identifying 18 different positive expected value wagers, and provided data on the expected value percentrage, and how often the bet has hit in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Player Props

Our Prop Finder Tool is currently identifying 488 different player prop bets, and provided data on how often each player has hit the specific prop in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Patriots vs. Broncos: Expert Picks

Visit our Expert Picks page to view picks and data from over 200 experts to see where the consensus is on the Patriots vs. Broncos moneyline, point spread and total points.