New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/10/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your New England Patriots at Chicago Bears prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New England Patriots hit the road to face the Chicago Bears.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New England Patriots +250 (BetRivers) / Chicago Bears -300 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -6.5 - New England Patriots -112 (DraftKings) / Chicago Bears -108 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 38.5 - Under -105 (FanDuel) / Over -115 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/10/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Chicago Bears and New England Patriots have faced each other once, with the Bears emerging victorious. This matchup took place on October 24, 2022, where the Bears defeated the Patriots 33-14. In this game, the visiting team, Chicago, won, marking the only instance in this period where the visitor triumphed over the home team. The Bears also covered the spread, which was set with New England as the favorite, and the game went over the projected total points, indicating a higher scoring affair than anticipated. This singular encounter provides a limited but clear picture of the recent dynamics between these two teams, with Chicago holding the upper hand both in terms of outright victory and against the spread performance.

In the detailed breakdown of the October 2022 game, the Bears showcased a dominant performance, particularly in their rushing attack, amassing 243 yards on 45 attempts. Chicago's offense was efficient, achieving 24 first downs and controlling the game with a time of possession of over 37 minutes. Justin Fields contributed significantly with a rushing touchdown and a passing touchdown to Khalil Herbert. Cairo Santos was instrumental, adding three field goals to the Bears' tally. On the defensive side, Chicago capitalized on New England's mistakes, forcing four turnovers, including three interceptions. The Patriots struggled offensively, managing only 260 total yards and 12 first downs, with their scoring limited to the second quarter through a passing touchdown from Bailey Zappe to Jakobi Meyers and a rushing touchdown by Rhamondre Stevenson.

The statistical contrast between the two teams in this matchup was stark, with Chicago's rushing dominance and New England's turnover woes being the defining factors. The Bears' ability to control the clock and convert on third downs at a rate of over 61% further emphasized their command of the game. Meanwhile, the Patriots' inability to sustain drives and protect the football hindered their efforts, as evidenced by their four turnovers and a mere 50% third-down conversion rate. This game serves as a critical reference point for the upcoming matchup, highlighting the areas where each team excelled or faltered in their previous encounter.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Preview

As the New England Patriots prepare to face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, both teams are looking to assert themselves in this mid-season clash. The Patriots, coming off a challenging season, are eager to prove their mettle against a Bears team that has shown flashes of brilliance. Historically, the Bears have had the upper hand in recent matchups, including a decisive victory in their last encounter in October 2022, where they dominated with a 33-14 win. In that game, Chicago's rushing attack was particularly effective, amassing 243 yards, which was a key factor in their victory.

For the Patriots, the focus will be on overcoming their previous struggles against the Bears' defense, which capitalized on turnovers in their last meeting. New England's offense, led by their quarterback, will need to be more efficient and protect the football to avoid a repeat of the four turnovers that plagued them in their previous matchup. The Patriots' ability to sustain drives and convert on third downs will be crucial, as they look to improve upon their 50% third-down conversion rate from the last game against Chicago.

On the other side, the Bears will aim to replicate their past success by leveraging their strong rushing game and maintaining control of the clock. Quarterback Justin Fields will be a pivotal figure, as his dual-threat capability can pose significant challenges for the Patriots' defense. The Bears' ability to control the tempo and capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they did with three field goals in their last meeting, will be essential in securing another victory.

With both teams having shown vulnerabilities and strengths, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest. The Bears' recent history of success against the Patriots gives them a psychological edge, but New England's determination to turn the tide cannot be underestimated. As the game unfolds, the battle in the trenches and the ability to execute under pressure will likely determine the outcome of this intriguing Week 10 showdown.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Pick: Total Points Over

As we look ahead to the upcoming clash between the New England Patriots and the Chicago Bears, the case for betting on the total points to go over is compelling. Historically, when these two teams met in October 2022, the game was a high-scoring affair, with the Bears securing a 33-14 victory. This matchup not only exceeded the projected total points but also highlighted the offensive capabilities of both teams, particularly the Bears' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The Bears' offensive prowess was on full display in their previous encounter, where they amassed 243 rushing yards and controlled the game with a time of possession exceeding 37 minutes. Quarterback Justin Fields was instrumental, contributing both a rushing and a passing touchdown, while kicker Cairo Santos added three field goals to the tally. This offensive efficiency suggests that the Bears have the potential to put up significant points once again.

On the other side, the Patriots, despite their struggles in the last meeting, have shown the ability to score, as evidenced by their 31-point performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season. With a dynamic quarterback leading their offense, the Patriots are capable of bouncing back and contributing to a high-scoring game. Their focus will be on improving their efficiency and reducing turnovers, which could unlock their scoring potential.

Given the offensive strengths and recent performances of both teams, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is substantial. The Bears' ability to control the tempo and the Patriots' potential to exploit scoring opportunities make the over a promising pick for this matchup. As both teams aim to assert themselves in this mid-season contest, expect a competitive and high-energy game that could easily surpass the total points line.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Top Player Prop Picks

Cairo Santos Over 7.5 Kicking Points +110 (bet365)

Cairo Santos has been a reliable asset for the Chicago Bears, and his performance in their previous encounter against the New England Patriots underscores his potential to exceed the 7.5 kicking points line. In the October 2022 matchup, Santos was instrumental in the Bears' victory, contributing three field goals to the team's tally. Given the Bears' offensive efficiency, particularly their ability to control the clock and sustain drives, Santos is likely to have multiple opportunities to score. With the Bears' rushing attack expected to be a focal point once again, Santos could find himself in prime position to capitalize on field goal attempts, making the over a promising pick.

Joey Slye Under 5.5 Kicking Points -115 (bet365)

Joey Slye's kicking points line is set at 5.5, and the under appears to be a prudent choice given the Patriots' recent offensive struggles against the Bears. In their last meeting, the Patriots managed only 14 points, with their scoring limited to the second quarter. The Bears' defense was effective in forcing turnovers, which hindered New England's ability to sustain drives and create scoring opportunities. If the Bears' defense can replicate this performance, Slye may find his chances limited, making it challenging to surpass the 5.5 kicking points line. The Patriots' focus on reducing turnovers and improving efficiency will be crucial, but the Bears' defensive prowess could keep Slye's scoring in check.

Justin Fields Over 1.5 Total Touchdowns (Passing + Rushing) -110 (FanDuel)

Justin Fields has demonstrated his dual-threat capability, which makes the over on 1.5 total touchdowns an enticing proposition. In the previous matchup against the Patriots, Fields contributed both a rushing and a passing touchdown, showcasing his versatility and ability to impact the game in multiple ways. The Bears' offensive strategy, which emphasizes a strong rushing attack, complements Fields' skill set, allowing him to exploit defensive weaknesses. With the Patriots' defense having shown vulnerabilities in their last encounter, Fields is well-positioned to find the end zone through both the air and on the ground, making the over a compelling pick for this prop.