New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/22/2024 4:25 PM EST

We have your New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New England Patriots hit the road to face the Buffalo Bills.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New England Patriots +700 (Caesars) / Buffalo Bills -900 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -13.5 - New England Patriots +100 (ESPN BET) / Buffalo Bills -120 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 46.5 - Under -110 (ESPN BET) / Over -110 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 12/22/2024
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills have faced each other four times. In these matchups, the Bills have emerged victorious three times, while the Patriots have secured one win. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning three of the four games, with the visiting team winning only once. When it comes to covering the spread, both teams have managed to do so twice. The games have predominantly been high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in three instances and under just once.

The most recent encounter between these two teams took place on December 31, 2023, where the Buffalo Bills defeated the New England Patriots 27-21. The game saw the Patriots initially take the lead with a 98-yard kickoff return touchdown by Jalen Reagor. However, the Bills responded with a series of scores, including two 1-yard rushing touchdowns by Josh Allen and a defensive touchdown from an interception return by Rasul Douglas. The Patriots struggled with turnovers, committing four in total, which included three interceptions. Despite a late push with a rushing touchdown by Ezekiel Elliott, the Patriots fell short. The Bills, favored by a closing spread of -14.5, did not cover the spread, as the Patriots managed to keep the game within six points.

In terms of key statistics from this game, the Bills had a slight edge in first downs, achieving 19 compared to the Patriots' 16. They also dominated time of possession, holding the ball for 32:52 compared to the Patriots' 27:08. The Patriots' offense was hampered by turnovers, which proved costly in their attempt to secure a win. The Bills' defense capitalized on these mistakes, contributing significantly to their victory. Both teams had similar rushing attempts, but the Bills managed to gain more yards on the ground. The Patriots' passing game was more efficient in terms of yards per attempt, but the interceptions hindered their overall performance.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Preview

The Buffalo Bills are set to host the New England Patriots in a Week 16 AFC East showdown at Highmark Stadium. The Bills, riding high on an impressive 11-3 record, are coming off a thrilling 48-42 victory over the Detroit Lions, a game that showcased their offensive prowess. Quarterback Josh Allen, a leading MVP candidate, delivered a masterful performance with 362 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and two rushing scores, further solidifying his status as one of the league's elite talents. The Bills' offense, which has scored 40 or more points in consecutive games, is firing on all cylinders, making them a formidable opponent for any team.

In stark contrast, the Patriots are enduring a challenging season with a 3-11 record. Their recent 30-17 loss to the Arizona Cardinals extended their losing streak to four games. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential, but the Patriots' offense has struggled to find consistency, ranking near the bottom of the league in both yards and points per game. The Patriots' defense, while respectable in the secondary, has been vulnerable against the run, a weakness the Bills' dynamic rushing attack will look to exploit.

Historically, the Bills have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Patriots, winning three of the last four encounters. The most recent meeting saw the Bills secure a 27-21 victory, capitalizing on the Patriots' turnovers. As the Bills aim to maintain their momentum and strengthen their playoff positioning, the Patriots will need to play a near-perfect game to pull off an upset. With the Bills' high-powered offense and the Patriots' struggles, Buffalo enters this matchup as the clear favorite, poised to continue their dominance in the AFC East.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Pick: Buffalo Bills Moneyline

The Buffalo Bills are poised to continue their dominance in the AFC East as they face the New England Patriots in Week 16. With an impressive 11-3 record, the Bills have been on a tear, showcasing one of the most potent offenses in the league. Led by MVP frontrunner Josh Allen, who has been nothing short of spectacular, the Bills have scored 40 or more points in consecutive games, a feat that underscores their offensive prowess. Allen's recent performance against the Detroit Lions, where he amassed 362 passing yards and four total touchdowns, highlights his ability to lead this high-powered offense to victory.

In contrast, the Patriots are struggling with a 3-11 record, and their recent 30-17 loss to the Arizona Cardinals only adds to their woes. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown potential, but the Patriots' offense has been inconsistent, ranking near the bottom of the league in both yards and points per game. Their defense, while respectable in the secondary, has been porous against the run, a vulnerability that the Bills' dynamic rushing attack, featuring James Cook and Ty Johnson, is likely to exploit.

Historically, the Bills have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Patriots, winning three of the last four encounters. The most recent meeting saw the Bills secure a 27-21 victory, capitalizing on the Patriots' turnovers. With the Bills' offense firing on all cylinders and the Patriots' continued struggles, Buffalo enters this matchup as the clear favorite. The Bills' ability to dominate time of possession and capitalize on opponents' mistakes further solidifies their position as the team to beat. Given these factors, the Buffalo Bills are the strong pick to win this game, making the moneyline on Buffalo a compelling choice for bettors.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Allen Over 2.5 Total Touchdowns -110 (FanDuel)

Josh Allen has been on an extraordinary run, solidifying his MVP candidacy with performances that have been nothing short of spectacular. In the Bills' recent victory over the Detroit Lions, Allen accounted for four total touchdowns, two through the air and two on the ground, showcasing his dual-threat capability. This season, Allen has consistently found the end zone, and with the Patriots' defense ranking near the bottom in points allowed, he is poised to continue this trend. The Patriots have struggled against high-powered offenses, and Allen's ability to exploit both the passing and rushing lanes makes the over on 2.5 total touchdowns a compelling pick.

James Cook Over 75.5 Rushing Yards -115 (DraftKings)

James Cook has emerged as a key component of the Bills' dynamic rushing attack, and his recent performances have been impressive. Against the Lions, Cook rushed for 105 yards, demonstrating his ability to break through defenses. The Patriots' run defense has been a weak point, allowing significant yardage on the ground in recent games. With the Bills' offense firing on all cylinders and the Patriots' vulnerability against the run, Cook is well-positioned to surpass the 75.5 rushing yards mark. His ability to find gaps and gain substantial yardage makes this prop a strong consideration.

Drake Maye Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +120 (Caesars)

Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown potential for the Patriots, but he faces a daunting task against a Bills defense that, despite injuries, has managed to make crucial stops. The Patriots' offense has struggled to find consistency, particularly in the red zone, where they rank 29th in touchdown percentage. Maye's recent performance against the Cardinals saw him throw for just one touchdown, and with the Bills' ability to pressure quarterbacks and force turnovers, it is likely that Maye will find it challenging to throw for multiple scores. The under on 1.5 passing touchdowns offers value given the Patriots' offensive struggles and the Bills' defensive capabilities.