Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/5/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Minnesota Twins hit the road to face the Kansas City Royals.

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Kansas City Royals -130 [Fanduel]
Best Spread Odds: Kansas City Royals -1.0 +114 [BetRivers]
Best Total Odds: Over 8.0 -115 [Fanduel]

Game Info

Date: 2025-09-05
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
TV: FDSKC, MNNT

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Preview

The Minnesota Twins (62-78 overall, 27-42 on the road) are looking to snap a four-game losing streak as they visit the Kansas City Royals (71-69 overall, 38-34 at home) at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are coming off a narrow 4-3 victory over the Los Angeles Angels, while the Twins recently dropped four straight to the Chicago White Sox.

On the mound for the Kansas City Royals will be Michael Wacha, who holds an 8-11 record with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Wacha has been effective in limiting baserunners, and his team has a 5-5 record when he starts as the moneyline favorite. The Royals' pitching staff ranks 3rd in ERA in the league, which could pose a challenge for the Twins' offense.

For the Minnesota Twins, Pablo Lopez is expected to start, carrying a 5-3 record with a strong 2.82 ERA. The Twins have a 7-4 ATS record in Lopez's starts this season. However, they have struggled when he starts as the moneyline underdog, losing both such games this season.

Offensively, the Royals are led by Bobby Witt Jr., who boasts a .295 batting average, 41 doubles, 5 triples, 21 home runs, and 77 RBIs. Maikel Garcia is another key contributor with a .292 batting average and 150 hits. The Royals' offense ranks 12th in batting average (.245) and 17th in slugging percentage (.393).

The Twins' offense has a .239 batting average (17th) and a .398 slugging percentage (15th). Byron Buxton leads the team with 29 home runs and a .273 batting average, while Luke Keaschall recently had a four-hit game. Despite their power, the Twins have struggled with strikeouts, ranking 15th in the league with 1,159.

Injuries for the Royals include Seth Lugo (15-Day IL, back) and Jonathan India (10-Day IL, wrist). The Twins are dealing with injuries to David Festa (15-Day IL), Christian Vázquez (10-Day IL, shoulder), and Ryan Jeffers (Day-To-Day, head).

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The head-to-head series between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals has been tightly contested, with the teams splitting their last ten meetings 5-5. While the Twins hold a marginal advantage in average scoring in their matchups this season, a significant trend in their recent head-to-head games is the prevalence of lower-scoring contests, with 8 out of the last 10 games hitting the under.

Looking at specific recent matchups, the Twins secured a 5-3 victory on August 10, 2025, while the Royals took a 2-0 win on August 9, 2025. The Royals have historically performed well at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents with losing records, winning 22 of their last 24 such games.

Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline

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The Kansas City Royals are the favored team in this matchup, and for good reason. They hold a strong home record of 38-34 and have been particularly dominant against struggling AL Central opponents at Kauffman Stadium. Their pitching staff, ranking 3rd in ERA, provides a significant advantage against a Twins offense that has been inconsistent, especially on the road where they hold a 27-42 record.

The Twins are currently on a four-game losing streak, indicating a dip in their recent form. While Pablo Lopez is a solid starter for Minnesota, the Royals' overall team performance, combined with their home-field advantage and the sharp money leaning towards them (54.43% home sharp win percentage), makes the Kansas City Royals Moneyline a compelling pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout performer for the Kansas City Royals this season, leading the team with a .295 batting average, 41 doubles, 5 triples, and 21 home runs. His ability to hit for extra bases makes the Over 1.5 Total Bases an attractive prop. Kauffman Stadium also boasts a high park factor for triples (181), which aligns perfectly with Witt Jr.'s skill set. Facing Pablo Lopez, Witt Jr.'s power and consistent hitting should allow him to accumulate at least two total bases.

Maikel Garcia Over 0.5 Hits (-265)

Maikel Garcia has been a reliable contact hitter for the Royals, accumulating 150 hits this season with a .292 batting average and a .356 on-base percentage. The odds for him to get at least one hit are heavily juiced, reflecting the high probability of this outcome. Garcia's consistency at the plate makes him a strong candidate to record a hit in this game.

Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits (-250)

Despite the Minnesota Twins' recent struggles, Byron Buxton remains a significant offensive threat. He leads the Twins with 29 home runs and holds a .273 batting average with a .559 slugging percentage. Buxton's ability to make solid contact and drive the ball makes him a good bet to get at least one hit against the Royals' pitching. The favorable odds for this prop further support the likelihood of Buxton reaching base.