Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 7/1/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Brewers hit the road to face the New York Mets.

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Mets -128, Brewers +108
Best Spread Odds: Brewers +1.5 (-190), Mets -1.5 (+165)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Citi Field, New York, NY
TV: -

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are looking to bounce back after a recent slump, going 2-3 in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Brewers come into this matchup with momentum, having won 66.7% of their games as favorites this season. The Mets are slight favorites in this game, with a moneyline of -128, but the Brewers have proven to be a resilient underdog, winning 41% of their games in that role this season. This game will feature Freddy Peralta on the mound for the Brewers, a pitcher known for his strikeout ability, while the Mets counter with a solid rotation piece aiming to stabilize their recent struggles.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 meetings, the Brewers and Mets have been evenly matched, with each team securing five wins. The Brewers have had success on the road against the Mets, winning three of their last five games at Citi Field. However, the Mets have shown resilience in close games, often capitalizing on late-inning opportunities. This matchup has historically been low-scoring, with the under hitting in six of their last 10 meetings.

Pick: Mets Moneyline (-128)

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The Mets are slight favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. Despite their recent struggles, they have the home-field advantage and a solid pitching matchup. The Brewers have been strong as underdogs, but the Mets' ability to perform in tight games at Citi Field gives them the edge. Backing the Mets on the moneyline at -128 is a solid play.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110)

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Freddy Peralta has been a strikeout machine this season, consistently hitting this mark in recent starts. Against a Mets lineup that has struggled with strikeouts, this prop offers strong value.

2. Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs (+300)

Pete Alonso has been a power threat all season and has a favorable matchup against Peralta, who has been prone to giving up the long ball. Alonso's ability to capitalize on mistakes makes this a high-upside prop.

3. Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

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Lindor has been heating up at the plate and has a good track record against right-handed pitching. With his ability to hit for extra bases, this prop is worth considering.

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