Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Guardians Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/13/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Guardians prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Marlins hit the road to face the Cleveland Guardians.

Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Guardians Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Cleveland Guardians -130 on Caesars
Best Spread Odds: Cleveland Guardians -1.0 at +107 on DraftKings
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 at -120 on ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-13
Time: 6:40 PM EDT
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
TV: ESPN

Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are set to host the Miami Marlins in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Guardians enter this game on a hot streak, having won nine of their last eleven contests, including a narrow 4-3 victory over the Marlins in the series opener on August 12th. Despite their offense ranking 24th in MLB in runs per game, Cleveland has consistently found ways to win, largely thanks to a formidable bullpen that boasts the seventh-best ERA in baseball at 3.61. Starting for the Guardians will be right-hander Gavin Williams, who holds a 7-4 record with a 3.17 ERA this season and has been particularly effective at Progressive Field with a 3.40 ERA at home.

On the other side, the Miami Marlins are looking to rebound after their recent loss to Cleveland and a challenging stretch where they dropped four of five games against the Braves. Miami's road record stands at 29-31 this year. They will send right-hander Eury Perez to the mound, who has a 4-3 record with a 3.25 ERA. This will be Perez's first career start against the Guardians. Progressive Field, with its overall park factor of 97 and a home run factor of 85, tends to be a pitcher-friendly venue, which could favor both starting pitchers.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The most recent encounter between these two teams was on August 12, 2025, where the Cleveland Guardians secured a 4-3 victory over the Miami Marlins. In that game, Guardians' third baseman José Ramírez had a historic performance, hitting two home runs to mark his 27th multi-homer game, surpassing franchise legends Jim Thome and Albert Belle. Kyle Manzardo also contributed with a home run for Cleveland. The Marlins managed to tie the game in the fifth inning with three runs, highlighted by an RBI single from Dane Myers and a double from Heriberto Hernández.

Looking at individual player performances in recent head-to-head matchups:

Cleveland's Brayan Rocchio has shown strong form against the Marlins in 2025, hitting the over on his Bases, Hits + Runs + RBIs, and Hits props in their single encounter.
Gabriel Arias, another Guardian, also hit the over on his Bases, Hits + Runs + RBIs, and Hits props against Miami in 2025.
Kyle Manzardo has a perfect 100% over hit rate for Hits against the Marlins in both 2024 (2 games) and 2025 (1 game).
For the Marlins, Xavier Edwards hit the over on his Hits + Runs + RBIs prop in his 2025 game against Cleveland.

Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline

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The Cleveland Guardians are the clear pick in this matchup. Their recent form is undeniable, winning nine of their last eleven games, and they hold the home-field advantage at Progressive Field. The sharp money is also heavily leaning towards Cleveland, indicating confidence in their ability to secure another victory. While the Marlins have a solid pitcher in Eury Perez, the Guardians' overall momentum, strong bullpen, and home-field comfort make them the favored side to win outright.

Top Player Prop Picks

Brayan Rocchio (Cleveland Guardians) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Brayan Rocchio has been consistently getting on base, hitting the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 80% of his last five games and an impressive 90% over his last ten games. He also recorded a hit in his only game against the Marlins this season. With his recent performance and favorable matchup, look for Rocchio to continue his hitting streak. You can find the best odds for Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits at -118 on BetMGM.

Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Gabriel Arias presents another strong hitting prop opportunity. He has hit the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 80% of his last five games and 80% over his last ten games. Furthermore, he recorded a hit in his single appearance against the Marlins this season. Playing at home, where he has a 59.09% over hit rate for hits this season, adds to the appeal of this pick. The best odds for Arias Over 0.5 Hits are -125 on BetRivers.

Kyle Manzardo (Cleveland Guardians) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Kyle Manzardo is a hot bat to watch in this game. He has hit the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 100% of his last five games and 80% over his last twenty games. His historical performance against the Marlins is also perfect, hitting the over in all three of his career games against them (one in 2025, two in 2024). Manzardo also homered in the last game against Miami, indicating his comfort against this opponent. You can get the best odds for Manzardo Over 0.5 Hits at -155 on BetMGM.

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