Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/3/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Dolphins hit the road to face the Buffalo Bills.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Dolphins +225 (DraftKings) / Buffalo Bills -275 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -6.5 - Miami Dolphins -115 (ESPN BET) / Buffalo Bills -105 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 49.5 - Under -110 (BetMGM) / Over -110 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: 11/3/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills have faced each other three times, with the Bills emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between October 2023 and September 2024. In these matchups, the visiting team won twice, while the home team secured a single victory. The Bills consistently covered the spread in all three games, while the Dolphins failed to do so. The total score went over the set line once and under twice, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games in this rivalry. The Bills have demonstrated a strong performance against the Dolphins, both in terms of outright victories and against the spread.

The most recent game took place on September 12, 2024, with the Buffalo Bills defeating the Miami Dolphins 31-13. The Bills, playing as the visiting team, were favored with a closing spread of -2.5 and successfully covered it. The game total of 41 points fell under the closing over-under line of 49.0. Key plays included a 17-yard touchdown pass from Josh Allen to James Cook and a 1-yard rushing touchdown by Cook, who also added a 49-yard rushing touchdown. The Bills' defense was instrumental, forcing three interceptions from Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, one of which was returned for a touchdown by Ja'Marcus Ingram. The Dolphins struggled offensively, particularly in the red zone, converting only one of four attempts.

In terms of statistics, the Bills recorded 247 total yards, with 139 passing and 108 rushing, while the Dolphins managed 351 total yards, with 225 passing and 139 rushing. Despite the higher yardage, the Dolphins' three turnovers, all interceptions, proved costly. The Bills' defense was effective, allowing only 10 points and recording two sacks. The Dolphins had a higher time of possession at 36 minutes, but their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and the turnovers were significant factors in their defeat. The Bills' efficient offense and opportunistic defense were key to their comprehensive victory.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Preview

The Miami Dolphins are set to face a formidable challenge as they travel to Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins, currently sitting at 2-5, are in desperate need of a win to keep their season from spiraling further out of control. Their recent narrow loss to the Arizona Cardinals, where they fell 28-27 on a last-second field goal, highlighted both their offensive potential and their defensive vulnerabilities. Tua Tagovailoa's return from a concussion provided a spark, as he completed 28 of 38 passes for 234 yards and a touchdown. However, the Dolphins' inability to maintain leads and capitalize on scoring opportunities remains a concern.

On the other side, the Buffalo Bills are riding high with a 6-2 record, having dominated the Seattle Seahawks 31-10 in their last outing. The Bills' offense, led by MVP candidate Josh Allen, has been firing on all cylinders. Allen's performance against the Seahawks was impressive, with 283 passing yards and two touchdowns, despite throwing his first interception of the season. The Bills' ground game, spearheaded by James Cook, who rushed for 111 yards and two touchdowns, adds another dimension to their potent attack.

Defensively, the Bills have been stout, allowing just 10 points against Seattle and consistently stifling opponents' offenses. Their ability to force turnovers and control the game tempo has been a hallmark of their success this season. The Dolphins, meanwhile, have struggled defensively, particularly in the red zone, and will need to tighten up to have any chance against Buffalo's high-powered offense.

Historically, the Bills have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings, including a decisive 31-10 victory in Week 2 of this season. The Dolphins' recent struggles in Buffalo, where they have lost eight straight, further underscore the challenge they face. With the Bills looking to solidify their lead in the AFC East and the Dolphins fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive, this game promises to be a pivotal clash in the division.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Pick: Buffalo Bills Moneyline

The Buffalo Bills are poised to continue their dominance over the Miami Dolphins as they prepare to face off at Highmark Stadium. The Bills, with a commanding 6-2 record, have been a force to be reckoned with this season, particularly at home where they have maintained an unblemished 3-0 record while averaging an impressive 39 points per game. Their recent 31-10 victory over the Seattle Seahawks showcased their offensive prowess and defensive resilience, with Josh Allen leading the charge. Allen's performance, which included 283 passing yards and two touchdowns, underscores his MVP-caliber season, despite a rare interception.

Historically, the Bills have had the upper hand against the Dolphins, winning 12 of the last 13 encounters, including a decisive 31-10 victory earlier this season. This trend is further supported by the Bills' ability to cover the spread consistently in these matchups, highlighting their superiority in both outright victories and against the spread. The Dolphins, on the other hand, have struggled in Buffalo, losing eight consecutive games, a streak that reflects their ongoing challenges in this rivalry.

Defensively, the Bills have been formidable, allowing just 10 points against Seattle and consistently stifling opposing offenses. Their ability to force turnovers and control the game tempo has been a hallmark of their success, a factor that will be crucial against a Dolphins team that has struggled with turnovers, particularly in their recent loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Dolphins' defense, which has shown vulnerabilities, especially in the red zone, will face a stern test against Buffalo's high-powered offense.

Given the Bills' recent form, their historical dominance over the Dolphins, and the current trajectory of both teams, the Buffalo Bills are well-positioned to secure another victory. With the Dolphins grappling with a 2-5 record and the Bills looking to solidify their lead in the AFC East, the smart money is on Buffalo to continue their winning ways at home.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Allen Over 283.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (DraftKings)

Josh Allen has been a dominant force for the Buffalo Bills this season, consistently showcasing his ability to lead the offense with precision and power. In their recent victory over the Seattle Seahawks, Allen threw for 283 yards, and his performance against the Dolphins earlier this season saw him exploit Miami's defensive vulnerabilities. The Dolphins have struggled defensively, particularly in the red zone, and Allen's track record against Miami is impressive, having led the Bills to victory in 12 of their last 13 meetings. With the Bills' offense firing on all cylinders and Allen's MVP-caliber form, betting on him to surpass 283.5 passing yards seems a prudent choice.

James Cook Over 75.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

James Cook has emerged as a key component of the Bills' ground game, providing a balanced offensive attack that complements Josh Allen's aerial prowess. Cook's recent performance against the Seahawks, where he rushed for 111 yards and two touchdowns, underscores his ability to exploit defensive gaps. The Dolphins' run defense ranks 16th in the league, and with Miami's defensive line weakened by injuries, Cook is well-positioned to have another standout game. Given his recent form and the Dolphins' struggles to contain the run, Cook is likely to exceed 75.5 rushing yards.

Tyreek Hill Under 72.5 Receiving Yards Receiving Yards -110 (BetMGM)

Tyreek Hill, while a dynamic playmaker, has faced challenges in maintaining high yardage games without Tua Tagovailoa at full strength. Even with Tagovailoa's return, Hill was limited to 72 yards against the Cardinals, and the Bills' defense has historically done well in containing him. In their previous matchup, the Bills' defense effectively neutralized Hill's impact, and with Buffalo's defensive unit allowing just 10 points against Seattle, they are likely to focus on limiting Hill's explosive plays. Considering the Bills' defensive prowess and Hill's recent performances, betting on him to stay under 72.5 receiving yards is a strategic move.