Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/5/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Kansas City Royals hit the road to face the Boston Red Sox.

Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Boston Red Sox -245 [FanDuel] / Kansas City Royals +205 [Caesars]
Best Spread Odds: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-114) [BetRivers] / Kansas City Royals +1.5 (+100) [FanDuel]
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-115) [ESPN BET] / Under 8.0 (-114) [BetRivers]

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-05
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
TV: NESN, FDSKC

Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park for the second game of their series. The Red Sox are coming off an impressive 8-5 victory in the series opener on Monday night, extending their winning streak to six games and their recent run to eight wins in their last ten outings. This hot streak has propelled Boston to within three games of the AL East division lead and put them atop the American League wild card standings by 2.5 games.

Boston's offense has been clicking, as evidenced by their 11 hits and 8 runs in the last game, with Jarren Duran leading the charge with a three-run homer. On the mound for the Red Sox will be left-hander Garrett Crochet, who boasts an impressive 12-4 record with a 2.23 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 141.1 innings pitched this season. Crochet has been particularly dominant, allowing two earned runs or fewer in his last four starts, and the Red Sox have won nine of his last ten starts, with seven of those victories coming by at least two runs.

The Kansas City Royals, despite dropping the first game, have also shown some recent positive form, winning four of their last six games. In Monday's game, they managed to score four runs in the eighth inning, showcasing some fight, but ultimately fell short. For Tuesday's matchup, the Royals will send rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert to the mound. Bergert holds a 1-0 record with a 2.78 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 35.2 innings this season, but his results have been mixed.

Fenway Park, known for its hitter-friendly environment, especially for doubles and overall runs, could play a role in this contest. However, sharp bettors are reportedly leaning towards a lower-scoring game, influenced by pitching form, pace, and weather conditions, which all favor the under. This aligns with the "Silent Sharp Unders" system, which has historically shown a strong return on investment.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Looking back at the head-to-head matchups between the Kansas City Royals and the Boston Red Sox from 2017 to 2025, the Red Sox have held a significant advantage. Boston has won 32 of the 49 games played between the two teams, while Kansas City has secured 17 victories. This translates to a 65.3% win rate for the Red Sox in this historical series.

In terms of scoring, the Red Sox have averaged 5.80 runs per game against the Royals, while allowing 4.57 runs per game. Conversely, the Royals have averaged 4.57 runs scored and allowed 5.80 runs per game when facing Boston. This consistent offensive edge for Boston and their ability to limit the Royals' scoring has been a key factor in their historical dominance in this rivalry.

Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5

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The Boston Red Sox are in excellent form, riding a six-game winning streak and showing strong offensive production. Their starting pitcher, Garrett Crochet, has been outstanding, with a 2.23 ERA and a track record of leading his team to decisive victories, with seven of his last ten starts resulting in wins by at least two runs. This aligns perfectly with the -1.5 run line.

While the Royals have shown some recent improvements, their starting pitcher, Ryan Bergert, is a rookie with less experience, and the Red Sox offense is currently firing on all cylinders. The combination of Boston's hot streak, Crochet's dominant pitching, and their historical success against the Royals makes the Red Sox covering the -1.5 spread a compelling pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Bobby Witt Jr. Under Total Bases

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Kansas City's Bobby Witt Jr. faces a tough matchup against Garrett Crochet. In his career against Crochet, Witt Jr. has struck out in 3 of his 6 plate appearances, resulting in a 50% strikeout rate. While he does have 2 hits and a double in those limited appearances, Crochet's overall dominance against the Royals' current roster, holding them to a .176 batting average and a high strikeout rate, suggests Witt Jr. could struggle to accumulate bases in this game. Given Crochet's form, it's reasonable to expect him to limit Witt Jr.'s offensive opportunities.

Salvador Perez Under Total Bases

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Salvador Perez also has a challenging history against Garrett Crochet. In 8 plate appearances, Perez has struck out 4 times, leading to a 50% strikeout rate. While he has managed 2 hits, Crochet has largely kept the Royals' lineup in check. With Crochet's ability to generate swings and misses, and his overall low batting average against the Royals' roster, Perez is likely to find it difficult to get on base and collect multiple bases in this contest.

Jarren Duran Over Total Bases

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Jarren Duran is coming off a strong performance in the series opener, hitting a three-run homer and contributing significantly to the Red Sox's offense. The Red Sox offense as a whole is hot, and Fenway Park is known to be a hitter-friendly venue, particularly for extra-base hits like doubles. While specific pitcher-batter data for Duran against Ryan Bergert is unavailable, Duran's current form and the favorable park factors suggest he is in a good position to accumulate total bases in this game. His recent success indicates he's seeing the ball well and could continue to be a key offensive contributor for Boston.

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