Here is the Pickwatch BetSmart Preview for the Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots game in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Game Info

Date: Sunday, January 19, 2025
Time: 3 PM ET
Location: Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN/ABC

Texans vs. Patriots Betting Odds

Point Spread
- Texans +3.5
- Patriots -3.5
Moneyline
- Texans +140
- Patriots -170
Total
- Over/Under 40.5

Season Betting Records

Moneyline
- Texans: 13-5
- Patriots: 15-3
Against the Spread
- Texans: 10-8
- Patriots: 12-5-1
Totals (Over-Under)
- Texans: 6-11-1
- Patriots: 11-7

Houston Texans (13-5) @ New England Patriots (15-3) Preview

New England enters the postseason leaning heavily on defensive structure, situational execution, and playoff experience. At home, the Patriots excel at limiting explosive plays and forcing opponents to sustain long drives — a difficult task in a high-leverage playoff environment. Their offense prioritizes ball security and field position, especially early.

Houston brings speed and upside, particularly on defense, where they’ve shown an ability to disrupt rhythm and force turnovers. Offensively, the Texans are at their best when they play fast and stress defenses horizontally, but consistency has been an issue in hostile environments.

Weather in Foxborough is expected to be cold in the low 30s, with potential wind impacting downfield passing. Injuries to monitor include Houston managing secondary and receiver depth (Nico Collins is ruled Out), while New England is fairly healthy, aside from linebacker Harold Landry listed as Questionable.

This game profiles as a methodical, lower-scoring battle, and has “win ugly” written all over it with a low total. The Patriots are favored by a FG, but the Houston defense has proven they can travel. New England’s vertical intent (air yards) collides with Houston’s ability to limit downfield access, so the big swing snaps are whether Drake Maye can actually hit explosives without taking drive-killing sacks.

Houston’s offense likely needs to manufacture touches and explosives (screens, play-action, shot plays) without Collins, while the Patriots can keep their plan simple: protect the ball, control field position, and let their defense squeeze a Texans offense that can stall on the road.

Texans/Patriots Head-to-Head (H2H) Stats and Analysis

The New England Patriots lead the all-time series 11-4 against the Houston Texans. Here are the last 5 meetings:

Houston Texans 41, New England Patriots 21 — October 13, 2024
New England Patriots 25, Houston Texans 22 — October 10, 2021
Houston Texans 27, New England Patriots 20 — November 22, 2020
Houston Texans 28, New England Patriots 22 — December 1, 2019
New England Patriots 27, Houston Texans 20 — September 9, 2018

BetSmart Betting Rundown

The Pickwatch BetSmart subscription package provides valuable sports betting tools that will help you wager wisely on the Texans vs. Patriots game and start building bankroll. Sign up for a 14-Day Free Trial today and get instant access to our proprietary tools and data, plus our 50% OFF Playoff pricing!

NOTE: All available bets are as of time of publication. Odds and lines change often, so be sure to check each subsequent Pickwatch betting tool for the latest numbers.

Arbitrage

Our Arbitrage Betting Tool is currently identifying 3 arbitrage betting opportunities for guaranteed profit.

Middles

Our Middle Betting Tool is currently identifying 39 middle betting opportunities.

Positive EV

Our Positive EV Betting Tool is currently identifying 27 different positive expected value wagers, and provided data on the expected value percentrage, and how often the bet has hit in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Player Props

Our Prop Finder Tool is currently identifying 415 different player prop bets, and provided data on how often each player has hit the specific prop in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Texans vs. Patriots: Expert Picks

Visit our Expert Picks page to view picks and data from over 200 experts to see where the consensus is on the Texans vs. Patriots moneyline, point spread and total points.