Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 7/21/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Detroit Tigers hit the road to face the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -122 | Detroit Tigers +108
Best Spread Odds: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-210) | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+175)
Best Total Odds: Over 7 (-110) | Under 7 (-110)

Game Info

Date: 2025-07-21
Time: 6:40 PM EDT
Location: PNC Park
TV: -

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Detroit Tigers, fresh off a Sunday victory that ended their own losing streak, are set to visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates are eager to snap their second-half skid and enter this matchup as favorites, with moneyline odds reflecting their slight edge. Offensively, the Tigers boast a wOBA that ranks 14th in the league. From a pitching perspective, Detroit's bullpen holds the 20th-lowest FIP, while Pittsburgh's bullpen performs slightly better with the 14th-lowest FIP. With Paul Skenes slated to start for the Pirates, this game has the potential to be a low-scoring affair, especially given the Pirates' historical betting trends where the under has been a strong play when they are home favorites and coming off a loss.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Specific historic head-to-head game results or trends directly between the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates were not available in the provided research. However, general betting trends for the Pittsburgh Pirates indicate a tendency for lower-scoring games. The under has hit in 14 of 23 instances when the Pirates are home favorites, and it has also been a prevalent outcome, hitting in 39 of 60 games (with one push), following a Pittsburgh loss.

Pick: Under 7.0 Total Runs

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Given the total runs line set at 7.0, the "Under" presents a compelling pick for this interleague contest. This aligns strongly with the Pittsburgh Pirates' historical betting trends, which show a clear pattern of lower-scoring games under similar circumstances. The under has a solid track record, hitting in 14 of 23 games when the Pirates are playing as home favorites. Furthermore, following a loss, the under has been a profitable bet in 39 of their last 60 games. The expected presence of Paul Skenes on the mound for the Pirates further bolsters the case for a low-scoring game, as his pitching prowess is likely to suppress the Tigers' offensive production. Both bullpens also demonstrate respectable FIP numbers, suggesting they can effectively limit runs late in the game.

Top Player Prop Picks

Paul Skenes - Fastball Velocity: 98.0 - 98.9 MPH

This prop offers odds of +165. As Paul Skenes takes the mound, his fastball velocity will be a key metric to monitor. This range represents a strong possibility for his average or peak velocity during the game, making it a solid consideration for prop bettors.

Paul Skenes - Fastball Velocity: 99.0 - 99.9 MPH

With odds of +370, this prop suggests a slightly less frequent, but still plausible, velocity range for Skenes' fastball. Given his reputation for high velocity and the potential for him to dial it up, this could be a valuable pick for those looking for a higher payout.

Paul Skenes - Fastball Velocity: 100.0 MPH or Faster

This high-risk, high-reward prop comes with significant odds of +2000. While consistently hitting 100 MPH or faster is a rare feat for any pitcher, Skenes possesses the elite arm talent to touch triple digits. This makes it an intriguing longshot for bettors seeking a substantial return on their wager, especially if Skenes is feeling particularly dominant.

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