Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/18/2025 7:15 PM EDT

We have your Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Chicago White Sox hit the road to face the Atlanta Braves.

Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Atlanta Braves -200 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+100) (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-115) (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-18
Time: 7:15 PM EDT
Location: Truist Park
TV: -

Chicago White Sox @ Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves host the Chicago White Sox in what promises to be an intriguing MLB matchup. The Braves, with a season win percentage of 0.452, have shown a stronger offensive output, averaging 4.32 runs per game compared to the White Sox's 3.77 runs per game. Defensively, the Braves allow 4.39 runs per game, slightly better than the White Sox's 4.44 runs per game. The Braves also boast a higher batting average (.243) and slugging percentage (.392) than the White Sox (.229 BA, .368 SLG).

On the mound for the Braves will be Spencer Strider, who holds a 5-10 record with a 4.69 ERA. For the White Sox, Yoendrys Gómez (2-1, 5.56 ERA) is set to start. Truist Park, the venue for this game, has an average park factor of 100, suggesting neutral conditions for both hitters and pitchers. The Braves are dealing with several key injuries, including Chris Sale and Austin Riley on the 60-Day IL, which could impact their lineup depth. The White Sox also have a number of players on the IL, including Dan Altavilla and Miguel Castro.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

When looking at the direct matchups between the projected starting pitchers and the opposing rosters, we find some interesting historical data. Braves pitcher Spencer Strider has faced current Chicago White Sox hitters in 10 plate appearances, allowing 3 hits, including 2 doubles, with a .300 batting average against. He has also recorded 6 strikeouts in these limited appearances. For the White Sox, Yoendrys Gómez has faced current Atlanta Braves hitters in 8 plate appearances, giving up 1 hit and walking 2 batters, resulting in a .167 batting average against. Notably, Matt Olson of the Braves has faced Gómez twice, going hitless with one strikeout.

Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

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The Atlanta Braves are the favored team in this matchup, and for good reason. Our analysis indicates the Braves have a 66% chance of winning this game. The sharp money is heavily backing the Braves on the moneyline, with 64.76% of sharp bets on Atlanta. While Spencer Strider's ERA is higher than ideal, the White Sox offense has struggled this season, and Strider has a high strikeout rate against the current White Sox roster in limited appearances. Given the Braves' overall stronger offensive metrics and the home-field advantage at Truist Park, betting on the Atlanta Braves to win outright at -200 odds via ESPN BET presents a solid value.

Top Player Prop Picks

Michael Harris II - Over 0.5 Hits

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Michael Harris II has been in excellent form recently, consistently hitting the over on his hits prop. He has hit the over in 100% of his last 5 games and 100% of his last 10 games, averaging 2.0 and 1.9 hits respectively. Over his last 20 games, he's hit the over 85% of the time. For the season, he's hit the over in 63.11% of his games, and at home, that percentage rises to 61.02%. Given his recent hot streak and strong home performance, taking Michael Harris II to get over 0.5 hits at -250 odds on Caesars is a confident play.

Matt Olson - Over 0.5 Hits

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Matt Olson is another Braves hitter showing consistent production at the plate. He has hit the over on his hits prop in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. His hit rate over the last 20 games stands at 75%, and for the entire season, he's hit the over 73.39% of the time. Playing at home, Olson's performance is even better, hitting the over in 78.33% of his games. With these strong trends, backing Matt Olson to record over 0.5 hits at -210 odds on BetMGM is a compelling choice.

Spencer Strider - Over 4.5 Hits Allowed

While Spencer Strider is a dominant pitcher, he has shown a tendency to allow hits. He has gone over 4.5 hits allowed in 80% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games. Over his last 15 starts, he's hit the over 66.67% of the time, and for the season, he's gone over this line in 68.75% of his appearances. At home, Strider has allowed over 4.5 hits in 75% of his starts. Considering these trends, the over on Spencer Strider's hits allowed prop at 4.5 with -133 odds on Pinnacle is a favorable bet.

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