Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/14/2024 7:30 PM EST

We have your Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Air Force Falcons hit the road to face the Baylor Bears.

Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Air Force Falcons +550 (ESPN Bet) / Baylor Bears -800 (ESPN Bet)
Best Spread Odds: -15.5 - Air Force Falcons -108 (DraftKings) / Baylor Bears -112 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 41.5 - Under -110 (Caesars) / Over -108 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 9/14/2024
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: McLane Stadium (Waco, TX)
TV: FS1

Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears Preview

As the Air Force Falcons prepare to face the Baylor Bears in Waco, Texas, both teams are eager to rejuvenate their struggling offenses. Baylor, coming off a 23-12 defeat against the then-No. 11 Utah Utes, managed only 223 yards of total offense. The Bears found themselves trailing 23-0 in the first half, a deficit that proved insurmountable. Baylor's head coach, Dave Aranda, acknowledged the team's struggles, attributing the poor performance to a focus on factors beyond the immediate opponent. A critical moment in the game occurred when Baylor's quarterback, Finn, fumbled after being sacked, leading to a Utah touchdown that doubled their lead early in the game. This loss is part of a troubling trend for Baylor, which has seen a decline since winning the Big 12 title in 2021, with records of 6-7 in 2022 and 3-9 last year.

On the other side, the Air Force Falcons are also looking to bounce back after a 17-7 loss to San Jose State. The Falcons' offense, traditionally known for its potent rushing attack, was held to just 197 yards, averaging a mere 3.1 yards per carry. Their only touchdown came from a short 14-yard drive following an interception by Jerome Gaillard Jr. Quarterback John Busha struggled, completing only 7 of 20 passes for 54 yards and throwing two interceptions. Air Force head coach Troy Calhoun emphasized the need for the team to focus on improving their own play as they head into this challenging matchup against Baylor.

Historically, Air Force and Baylor have faced each other four times, with the Falcons securing their only victory in the 2022 Armed Forces Bowl. As both teams aim to turn their seasons around, this game presents an opportunity for either side to gain momentum and confidence moving forward.

Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears Pick: Baylor Bears Moneyline

In this matchup between the Air Force Falcons and the Baylor Bears, the odds and recent performances suggest a strong case for picking the Baylor Bears on the moneyline. Baylor, despite their recent struggles, is playing at home in McLane Stadium, which provides a significant advantage. The Bears are coming off a tough loss against a formidable Utah team, where they managed to gain 223 yards. Although they fell behind early, the experience of facing a top-ranked opponent could serve as a valuable learning opportunity for Baylor as they look to rebound.

Air Force, on the other hand, is also coming off a loss, having been held to just 197 yards by San Jose State. Their traditionally strong rushing attack was stifled, averaging only 3.1 yards per carry, and their passing game struggled significantly with quarterback John Busha completing just 7 of 20 passes for 54 yards and two interceptions. This lack of offensive production could be a critical factor against a Baylor team eager to prove themselves at home.

Historically, Baylor has had the upper hand in this matchup, with Air Force securing only one victory in their four previous meetings. Given Baylor's need to turn their season around and the home-field advantage, the Bears are well-positioned to capitalize on Air Force's offensive struggles. With the odds favoring Baylor as 15.5-point favorites, the moneyline pick for the Bears seems a prudent choice as they aim to rejuvenate their season with a victory.

Air Force Falcons at Baylor Bears Top Player Prop Picks

John Busha Under 54.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (DraftKings)

John Busha's recent performance against San Jose State, where he completed only 7 of 20 passes for a mere 54 yards, suggests that the Air Force Falcons' passing game is struggling significantly. With two interceptions in that game, Busha's confidence and efficiency in the passing attack appear to be lacking. Given Baylor's need to tighten their defense after a tough loss to Utah, it's likely they will focus on stifling Busha's passing opportunities. The odds favoring Baylor as 15.5-point favorites further indicate that Air Force may struggle offensively, making the under on Busha's passing yards a compelling choice.

Cade Harris Over 50.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (Caesars)

Cade Harris led the Air Force Falcons with 50 yards on eight carries in their recent game against San Jose State. Despite the team's overall offensive struggles, Harris demonstrated his ability to gain yards on the ground. With Air Force traditionally known for its potent rushing attack, Harris is likely to be a focal point in their offensive strategy against Baylor. Given Baylor's recent defensive vulnerabilities, Harris has a strong chance to exceed his previous performance and surpass the 50.5 rushing yards mark, making the over a favorable pick.

Dequan Finn Under 223.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Dequan Finn's performance against Utah, where Baylor managed only 223 total yards, highlights the challenges he faces in leading the Bears' offense. With Baylor's offensive line struggling to protect him, as evidenced by the early fumble that led to a Utah touchdown, Finn may find it difficult to amass significant passing yards against Air Force. The Falcons, despite their own offensive issues, will likely focus on pressuring Finn and limiting his passing opportunities. Considering Baylor's recent offensive woes and Air Force's potential defensive adjustments, the under on Finn's passing yards is a prudent choice.