How to watch:
FOX, NFL Network, Amazon Prime subscription
The concerns that Tom Brady isn’t fitting in with the Bruce Arians offense have disappeared now that Tampa Bay has scored 30+ points in three straight games and Brady threw five touchdown passes against the Chargers. The Bucs defense has also played quite well this year, allowing fewer than 20 points in two of the past three games. Chicago’s strong defense will slow Tampa Bay’s offense down a bit, but the Bears have scored only 19.3 points per game over the past three weeks and won’t do better than that against the Bucs, so Tampa Bay is the pick here.
Pick: Bucs (confidence 3/10)
As a Bears fan, it's depressing knowing how this goes. Tampa are far from perfect, but they are simply too good to contain for a whole game. It's also super important to note that the Bears defense is the reason people are going to pick them, yet the Bucs outrank them in a wild number of categories such as run defense, sacks, turnovers... I don't trust Nick Foles and I don't trust the Bears against Tom Brady.
Pick: Bucs to win and cover (-3.5)