Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/27/2025 1:05 PM EDT

We have your Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Nationals hit the road to face the New York Yankees.

Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Yankees -275 on BetMGM
Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.5 (-125) on BetRivers
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-104) on Fanduel

Game Info

Date: August 27, 2025
Time: 1:05 PM EDT
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: MASN

Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees (72-60) are set to host the Washington Nationals (53-79) in a Wednesday afternoon matchup at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees enter this game on a three-game winning streak, having won the first two games of this series against the Nationals, and are looking to complete the sweep. They currently sit third in the AL East, just half a game behind the Boston Red Sox, and are playing with urgency as they push for a postseason berth.

New York's offense has been a powerhouse this season, leading the league in slugging percentage (.453) and home runs (219), while ranking third in on-base percentage (.330). Giancarlo Stanton has been a key contributor to their recent success, batting .472 with seven home runs and 18 RBIs in his last 13 games. The Yankees' pitching staff also boasts a strong .230 batting average against, ranking fourth in the league.

Starting for the Yankees will be ace left-hander Max Fried (13-5, 3.14 ERA). Fried is coming off an impressive outing where he threw six scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox, and he is expected to pose a significant challenge for the Nationals' lineup. The Yankees have several players on the injured list, including key pitchers Jonathan Loáisiga, Ryan Yarbrough, Brent Headrick, Oswaldo Cabrera, Gerrit Cole, and Clarke Schmidt, along with position players Ismael Munguia, Austin Slater, Eric Reyzelman, and Jake Cousins.

The Washington Nationals, on the other hand, are struggling, having lost their last four games and holding a 4-6 record in their last ten. Their offense has cooled down recently, averaging just 3.4 runs per game with a .239 batting average over their last five contests. Nationals pitching has also been inconsistent, posting a 5.93 ERA and allowing 1.6 home runs per game in that same stretch.

Right-hander Cade Cavalli (1-0, 2.82 ERA) will take the mound for Washington. This will be just Cavalli's sixth career start, and while he has shown flashes of potential, including a seven-inning shutout against Philadelphia, he allowed three runs over six innings in his last outing. The Nationals will be without Luis Garcia due to injury.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Yankees have historically performed well against the Washington Nationals, especially when playing at home. The Yankees hold a 5-2 straight-up (SU) record in their last seven home games against Washington. Conversely, the Nationals have struggled on the road against the Yankees, with a 2-5 SU record in their last seven games at Yankee Stadium.

Looking at recent matchups, the Yankees have won the first two games of this series:

August 26, 2025: New York Yankees 5, Washington Nationals 1 (Under 9.5 total runs)
August 25, 2025: New York Yankees 10, Washington Nationals 5 (Over 9.5 total runs)

In the 2023 season, the teams split their series at Yankee Stadium:

August 24, 2023: Washington Nationals 6, New York Yankees 5 (Over 8.5 total runs)
August 23, 2023: New York Yankees 9, Washington Nationals 1 (Over 8.5 total runs)
August 22, 2023: Washington Nationals 2, New York Yankees 1 (Under 8.5 total runs)

The total has gone OVER in four of Washington's last five games against an American League opponent. The Yankees have also won each of their last eight Wednesday day games against American League opponents with a winning record.

Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 Runline

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The New York Yankees are a strong pick to cover the -1.5 runline in this matchup. They are currently in excellent form, riding a three-game winning streak and showing a clear sense of urgency in their pursuit of the AL East title. Their offense is firing on all cylinders, leading the league in key power metrics, and they are facing a Nationals team that has been struggling both offensively and on the mound recently. The presence of ace Max Fried on the mound for the Yankees, who is coming off a dominant performance, further solidifies their advantage. While Cade Cavalli has potential, he is still early in his career and will be tested by a potent Yankees lineup at a hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees' strong home record against the Nationals also supports this pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Paul DeJong (Washington Nationals) - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5

Paul DeJong has been consistently hitting the over on his Hits + Runs + RBIs prop. He has hit the over in 80% of his last five games and an impressive 90% over his last ten games. Looking at his performance against the Yankees this season, he has hit the over in 100% of his one appearance, with a mean of 2.0. While his career numbers against Max Fried are not stellar, his recent form and performance against this opponent in 2025 suggest he can contribute at least one hit, run, or RBI. You can find the best odds for this prop at -155 on DraftKings.

Riley Adams (Washington Nationals) - Bases Over 0.5

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Riley Adams has demonstrated strong recent performance, hitting the over on his Bases prop in 100% of his last five games. His hit rate remains high over longer stretches, with an 80% hit rate in his last ten games and 86.67% in his last 15 games. Against the Yankees this season, Adams has hit the over in 100% of his two appearances, averaging 1.0 base. Despite a challenging career matchup against Max Fried, Adams' current form and success against the Yankees in 2025 make the over 0.5 bases an appealing pick. The best odds for this prop are -160 on ESPN BET.

Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) - Walks Over 0.5

Aaron Judge is a prime candidate to draw a walk in this game, especially given his plate discipline and the Yankees' potent offense. He has hit the over on his Walks prop in 60% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. Historically, Judge has shown a strong ability to get on base against the Nationals, hitting the over in 100% of his two appearances against them in 2025 (averaging 1.0 walk) and 100% of his three appearances in 2024 (averaging 1.33 walks). Facing a young pitcher in Cade Cavalli, Judge is likely to be patient and work the count. The best odds for this prop are -140 on Caesars.