Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/9/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Nationals hit the road to face the Miami Marlins.

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Marlins -120 [ESPN BET] / Washington Nationals +108 [BetRivers]
Best Spread Odds: Miami Marlins -1.5 (-195) [Caesars] / Washington Nationals +1.5 (-190) [BetMGM]
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-125) [ESPN BET] / Under 9.0 (-114) [DraftKings]

Game Info

Date: September 9, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM EDT
Location: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
TV: FDSFL

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins Preview

The Washington Nationals (59-84) travel to loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (66-78) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Nationals enter this game with significant momentum, having won their last three contests and six of their last seven, including a dominant 15-7 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Despite sitting in last place in the NL East, Washington's offense has been red-hot, averaging over five runs per game in their last 10 outings. Key offensive contributors include James Wood, who leads the team with 27 home runs and 87 RBIs, and CJ Abrams, boasting a .267 batting average and an impressive 119 stolen bases. On the mound for Washington will be left-hander Mitchell Parker, who holds a 7-15 record with a 5.87 ERA and 1.48 WHIP this season. Parker has struggled recently, with an 8.22 ERA over his last five starts and a 6.68 ERA on the road.

The Miami Marlins, currently third in the NL East, are looking to bounce back from their recent struggles, having lost six of their last seven games and holding a 3-7 record over their last 10. Their offense, led by Xavier Edwards with 143 hits and Kyle Stowers with a .288 batting average, 73 RBIs, and 25 home runs, has shown flashes of potential, ranking 11th in batting average (.250). However, their pitching staff has been a major concern, with a 4.79 ERA and 1.32 WHIP this season, ranking among the worst in the National League. Right-hander Adam Mazur is slated to start for the Marlins. Mazur is still searching for his first win of the season, carrying an 0-2 record with a 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He recently faced the Nationals, allowing four earned runs and 10 hits over six innings in a 5-2 loss. The Marlins' bullpen has also been a liability, posting a 7.38 ERA over the last 10 games, contrasting sharply with Washington's relief corps, which has a 2.45 ERA in the same period.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The recent head-to-head history between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins shows a competitive rivalry. The Nationals have had the upper hand recently, winning their last four head-to-head meetings against the Marlins, including yesterday's 15-7 victory. In their last 10 overall meetings, both teams hold an even 5-5 record. When playing in Miami, the teams are tied with two wins each in their last four matchups. Historically, the Marlins have claimed 74 wins against the Nationals, with 39 of those coming on their home turf, while the Nationals boast 86 victories overall, with 37 on the road. The "Under" has been a common outcome in their recent contests, hitting in four of their last six meetings. In terms of average scoring in head-to-head matchups, the Marlins average 4.14 runs per game, while the Nationals average a slightly higher 5.03 runs per game.

Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs

widget-odds-mlb-ou-12277-WSH-MIA

This matchup sets up perfectly for a high-scoring affair. Both starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker for the Nationals and Adam Mazur for the Marlins, have struggled significantly this season and particularly in recent outings. Parker enters with an 8.22 ERA over his last five starts and a 7.07 ERA against the Marlins this season, while Mazur allowed 10 hits and four earned runs in his last start against Washington. The Nationals' offense exploded for 15 runs yesterday, and both teams have been averaging over five runs per game in their last 10 contests. Furthermore, the Marlins' bullpen has been highly unreliable, sporting a 7.38 ERA over their last 10 games. Given the offensive momentum and pitching vulnerabilities on both sides, expect plenty of runs to cross the plate. You can find the best odds for Over 8.5 Total Runs at -125 with ESPN BET.

Top Player Prop Picks

Daylen Lile (Washington Nationals) - Over 0.5 Hits

Daylen Lile has been consistently getting on base, hitting the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 100% of his last five games and 90% of his last 10 games. He has also hit the over in all four of his matchups against the Marlins this season. Lile has a strong career batting average of .667 against Marlins' starter Adam Mazur. With a season hit rate of 71.23% and a road hit rate of 75.68%, Lile is projected to continue his hitting streak. The best odds for Lile to go Over 0.5 Hits are -225 at ESPN BET.

CJ Abrams (Washington Nationals) - Over 0.5 Hits

CJ Abrams is another Nationals hitter poised for success. He has hit the over on his 0.5 hits prop in 100% of his last five games and 70% of his last 10 games. His season hit rate stands at 67.72%, and he has performed well on the road, hitting the over in 77.42% of his away games this season. Abrams also has a favorable historical matchup against Adam Mazur, batting .500 in seven plate appearances. Given his consistent performance and strong head-to-head numbers, Abrams is a solid pick. The best odds for Abrams to go Over 0.5 Hits are -245 at DraftKings.

Mitchell Parker (Washington Nationals) - Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Mitchell Parker has struggled with earned runs recently, hitting the over on his 2.5 earned runs prop in 80% of his last five starts and 70% of his last 10 starts. His season average for earned runs is 3.43, and he has a high over hit rate of 83.33% in his road starts this season. Against the Marlins in 2025, Parker has a 7.07 ERA over three matchups, indicating their lineup has found success against him. Given his recent form and struggles against Miami, it's reasonable to expect him to concede more than 2.5 earned runs. The best odds for Parker to go Over 2.5 Earned Runs are -120 at DraftKings.