Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/11/2025 7:40 PM EDT

We have your Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Nationals hit the road to face the Kansas City Royals.

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Kansas City Royals -148 (Fanduel) / Washington Nationals +130 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: Kansas City Royals -1.0 (+100) (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-120) (ESPN BET) / Under 9.0 (-120) (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: August 11, 2025
Time: 7:40 PM EDT
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TV: -

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals Preview

The Washington Nationals (47-70) travel to Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (58-60) in what shapes up to be an intriguing matchup. The Nationals are coming off a series win against the San Francisco Giants, taking two straight, but their overall recent form has been shaky, with a 3-8 record in their last 11 contests. Washington's offense averages 4.3 runs per game, ranking 20th in the league, and their pitching staff holds a 5.38 ERA, placing them 29th.

For the Royals, they return home after a nine-game road stand where they finished 4-5, and have dropped four of their last six games overall, including two of three to the Minnesota Twins. Kansas City's offense averages 3.70 runs per game (29th in MLB), but their pitching staff boasts a strong 3.58 ERA, ranking 2nd in the league.

On the mound for the Nationals will be Cade Cavalli (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who impressed in his 2025 debut with 4.1 innings of no-run ball against the Athletics, generating plenty of whiffs with triple-digit velocity. The Royals will counter with Bailey Falter (7-6, 4.14 ERA). Falter is making his second start with the Royals and first at home after a challenging road debut where he allowed 7 earned runs in 4.0 innings. He has been hittable, with a .273 xBA allowed and a 4.81 xERA. Adding to the Royals' concerns, their bullpen has been heavily utilized recently, with key relievers like Carlos Estevez, Lucas Erceg, and Angel Zerpa having worked on consecutive days, which could impact their ability to protect a late lead.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Historically, the Washington Nationals have shown a strong ability to cover the run line when playing on the road against the Kansas City Royals, having done so in six straight road games.

Pick: Washington Nationals +1.5

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Despite their overall record, the Washington Nationals present a compelling case to cover the spread in this matchup. The Nationals have a strong historical trend of covering the run line in road games against the Royals, doing so in their last six encounters. Furthermore, the pitching matchup favors Washington, with Cade Cavalli coming off an impressive debut where he showcased swing-and-miss stuff and high velocity. On the other side, Bailey Falter has been hittable, and the Royals' bullpen is fatigued after recent heavy usage. While the Royals are favored, the Nationals' ability to hang around in games, especially on the road against Kansas City, makes them a solid pick to cover the +1.5 run line. Sharp money on the spread also slightly leans towards the Nationals covering.

Top Player Prop Picks

Cade Cavalli - Pitcher Strikeouts Over 3.5

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Cade Cavalli had an eye-opening 2025 debut, recording 6 strikeouts in his only appearance this season. His performance was marked by significant whiffs and velocity touching triple digits. Given his swing-and-miss stuff and the Royals' offensive struggles, Cavalli is well-positioned to exceed this strikeout total if he maintains his debut form. You can find the best odds for this prop at -140 on ESPN BET.

Bailey Falter - Earned Runs Over 2.5

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Bailey Falter's recent performance suggests he could struggle against the Nationals. In his last 5 games, he's averaged 3.2 earned runs, and 2.7 over his last 10. His recent road debut for the Royals saw him give up 7 earned runs in just 4.0 innings, and he's been noted as hittable with a .273 xBA allowed and a 4.81 xERA. This trend indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing more than 2.5 earned runs. The best odds for this prop are +100 on Caesars.

Nathaniel Lowe - Runs Under 0.5

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Nathaniel Lowe has consistently stayed under the 0.5 runs line in recent games. He has hit the under in 100% of his last 5 and last 10 games, with a mean of 0.0 runs in both periods. Over his last 15 games, he's hit the under 86.67% of the time. His season average for runs is 0.43, which further supports the under. The best odds for this prop are -170 on Caesars.

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