Week 6 of the NFL season begins tonight as the Washington Commanders will head to Chicago to take on the Bears. The game will start at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Let's be honest with ourselves here, this game sucks. Both the Bears and the Commanders are two of the most unexciting teams in the NFL, and offensively, I am offended every time I have to watch either of these teams attempt to put together a normal offensive game plan.

I do like Justin Fields, though.

With only one game, I have decided to give you the three-best props from the top sportsbook in the country, BetMGM. If you decide to tail our picks, we ask that you do so responsibly.

Let's pick out some winners.

 

Brian Robinson Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

I usually sit out unders on player props for a few reasons. First of all, I like to root for fun, and secondly, the over is never dead, at any point of the game. However, I think this is a fairly large number for Robinson.

As you may know, Robinson made his NFL debut last week as he returned to the field for the first time since being shot in the offseason. Not only is he being eased back into action, which is tough because they have to ease him back into "football shape," which if you have ever played football, you know how it feels to get back to action after a few weeks off. It almost feels like that recurring dream of trying to run away from something, but your legs just simply will not move fast enough.

Anyway, he also is in the middle of a crowded running back room as Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic will get the majority of the reps. In his debut last week, Robinson had 22 yards on nine carries, and he only saw 18 snaps. It is a short week, there are a lot of backs that needed touches, and I have to think Robinson still needs some time to get used to playing in the NFL.

 

Justin Fields Under 170 passing Yards (-115)

This is a comically low number for an NFL passing prop, but the Bears are just putrid throwing the ball. I still do not want to blame it all on Fields as Chicago has given him nothing to work with on the offensive line and in the skill rooms, but he has not looked great in his short career so far.

The Bears are only throwing the ball 17.6 times per game, which is the lowest amount in the NFL, and they are also dead-last in completion percentage, total passing yards per game, INT thrown percentage, and QB sack percentage. Again, this is not all on Fields, but he absolutely needs to start showing the Bears something, or this marriage is going to be over soon.

Washington does not have a great secondary as they are allowing 7.2 yards per pass, and they have an opponents' INT-thrown percentage of just 0.61%, which ranks 29th in the NFL. Fields has gone over this number in back-to-back games, but those were the only two games he has gone over the number this season. Even though the number is so low, I think it is an overreaction to the Commanders' struggles in the secondary.

Chicago is going to run the hell out of the ball tonight, especially with Fields, who is averaging 8.4 rushes per game.

 

Touchdown Scorer Of The Night: Curtis Samuel (+230)

 

I think Samuel may be one of the most underrated players in the NFL. I loved him coming out of Ohio State for his versatility, and it is finally starting to show this season. He has yet to fully break out in the NFL, but with the start of the season that he had, Samuel is showing why he can be a dangerous weapon for the Commanders.

In the first two games of the season, Samuel had two total touchdowns, which are the only two touchdowns on the year for him, but he is still averaging 8.3 targets per game over the last three games, and he plays the second-most snaps on this offense, just behind his fellow former Buckeye, Terry McLaurin.

His versatility is key here. Not only is he getting a healthy amount of targets, but he can also take some handoffs or sweeps. that just increases the odds of Samuel finding the end zone, and I love the value we are getting here.

 

Best Overall Bet: Under 38 (-110)

You ever hear the one about the prime-time game going under the total?

Well, the under did not hit on Monday Night Football between the Raiders and the Chiefs, which marks the second time the Chiefs have ruined my favorite profitable under trend this year, but if you have been riding the under on primetime such as myself, we are still 11-4 on the year, and this game is so disgusting on paper that it would be crazy for me to not take the under tonight.

The Commanders will once again be without Samuel Cosmi, Logan Thomas, and Jahan Dotson tonight, which greatly impacts Carson Wentz and the passing game. I expect both teams to keep the ball on the ground tonight as both offenses are dealing with similar, yet different problems.

The total has gone under in five of the last seven for Washington, and seven of the last 10 games at Soldier Field have gone under the number.

 

Photo Credit: Embed from Getty Images