Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 1/5/2025 1:00 PM EST

We have your Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Commanders hit the road to face the Dallas Cowboys.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Washington Commanders -300 (ESPN BET) / Dallas Cowboys +265 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: 6.5 - Washington Commanders -120 (ESPN BET) / 7.0 - Dallas Cowboys -110 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 44.0 - Under -110 (bet365) / 43.5 - Over -120 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 1/5/2025
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders have faced off three times, with the Cowboys emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between November 2023 and November 2024. In these matchups, the visiting team won twice, while the home team secured a single victory. The Cowboys consistently covered the spread in all three games, while the Commanders failed to do so. Each game went over the projected total, with none falling under. The Cowboys demonstrated a strong offensive performance across these games, consistently outscoring the Commanders and maintaining a solid defensive stance.

The most recent game took place on November 24, 2024, where the Cowboys defeated the Commanders 34-26. The Cowboys, playing as the visiting team, were favored with a closing spread of -10.5 and successfully covered it. The game saw a total score of 60, surpassing the over-under line of 44.5. Dallas accumulated 332 total yards and 19 first downs, while Washington recorded 412 total yards and also 19 first downs. Turnovers played a crucial role, with Washington committing three turnovers, including two interceptions and a fumble, compared to Dallas's single fumble. Key plays included a 99-yard kickoff return touchdown by KaVontae Turpin and a 43-yard kickoff return touchdown by Juanyeh Thomas for Dallas.

In the previous two games, the Cowboys continued their dominance over the Commanders. On January 7, 2024, Dallas won 38-10, covering a 13.5-point spread as the visiting team. The game total of 48 points went over the closing line of 47.5. Earlier, on November 23, 2023, Dallas secured a 45-10 victory at home, covering a 13.5-point spread. The total score of 55 points exceeded the over-under line of 47.5. Throughout these games, Dallas consistently outperformed Washington in key statistical areas, including total yards, touchdowns, and turnovers, while maintaining a strong defensive presence.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Washington Commanders, riding high on a four-game winning streak, are set to face the Dallas Cowboys in a crucial Week 18 matchup. With a record of 11-5, the Commanders have already secured a playoff spot but are eager to clinch the No. 6 seed in the NFC. A victory against the Cowboys or a Green Bay loss to Chicago would ensure this seeding, allowing them to avoid a potentially tougher wild-card matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Washington's success this season has been largely attributed to the stellar performance of rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. Daniels has been a revelation, showcasing his dual-threat capabilities with impressive passing and rushing stats. In their recent overtime win against Atlanta, Daniels threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns while adding 127 rushing yards, including 42 in overtime alone. His ability to connect with top target Terry McLaurin will be crucial, especially given the Cowboys' defensive prowess led by Micah Parsons. Parsons, a three-time All-Pro edge rusher, has been a disruptive force since returning from injury, leading the league in quarterback pressures over the past few weeks.

On the other side, the Dallas Cowboys, with a 7-9 record, have been eliminated from playoff contention. However, they are motivated to end their season on a high note, especially with head coach Mike McCarthy's future uncertain. The Cowboys have shown flashes of brilliance, notably in their Week 12 victory over Washington, where they forced three turnovers and scored two special teams touchdowns. Quarterback Cooper Rush has been steady in place of the injured Dak Prescott, but the Cowboys have yet to announce their starting quarterback for this game, with Trey Lance potentially seeing significant snaps.

Despite their struggles, the Cowboys have a history of performing well against the Commanders, having won and covered the spread in six of their last seven meetings. However, with key players like CeeDee Lamb sidelined, Dallas will need to rely heavily on their running game, led by Rico Dowdle, who has surpassed 1,000 rushing yards this season.

As the Commanders aim to solidify their playoff positioning, they will need to overcome the Cowboys' defensive challenges and maintain their offensive momentum. With both teams having much at stake, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest at AT&T Stadium.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Pick: Washington Commanders Moneyline

The Washington Commanders are poised to extend their winning streak to five games as they face the Dallas Cowboys in a pivotal Week 18 matchup. With a record of 11-5, the Commanders have already secured a playoff berth and are determined to clinch the No. 6 seed in the NFC. Their recent form has been impressive, highlighted by a thrilling overtime victory against Atlanta, where rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels showcased his dual-threat capabilities with 227 passing yards, three touchdowns, and 127 rushing yards. Daniels' ability to connect with top target Terry McLaurin will be crucial, especially against a Cowboys defense that has struggled this season, ranking among the bottom five in total defense.

Despite the Cowboys' historical success against the Commanders, winning and covering the spread in six of their last seven meetings, the current circumstances favor Washington. Dallas, with a 7-9 record, has been eliminated from playoff contention and is dealing with significant injuries, including the absence of leading receiver CeeDee Lamb. The uncertainty surrounding their quarterback situation, with Cooper Rush and Trey Lance both potential starters, further complicates their offensive game plan.

Moreover, the Commanders' defense will not have to contend with the Cowboys' top offensive threats, allowing them to focus on containing the run game led by Rico Dowdle. While Dallas has shown flashes of brilliance, notably in their Week 12 victory over Washington, the Commanders have since found their rhythm, winning four consecutive games and covering the spread in 10 of their last 15 outings.

With the Commanders' top-five offense and the dynamic play of Jayden Daniels, they are well-equipped to exploit the weaknesses in the Cowboys' defense. As Washington aims to solidify their playoff positioning and avoid a tougher wild-card matchup, their motivation and recent form make them the clear favorites to secure a victory at AT&T Stadium.

Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Top Player Prop Picks

Jayden Daniels Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -108 (BetRivers)

Jayden Daniels has been a revelation for the Washington Commanders, showcasing his dual-threat capabilities throughout his rookie season. In their recent overtime win against Atlanta, Daniels threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns, further solidifying his status as a top performer. With the Commanders riding a four-game winning streak and Daniels playing a pivotal role, the expectation is that he will continue his impressive form against a Dallas Cowboys defense that has struggled this season. The Cowboys' defense ranks among the bottom five in total defense, allowing 360.6 total yards per game, which presents a prime opportunity for Daniels to exploit. Given his recent performances and the Commanders' need to secure the No. 6 seed, betting on Daniels to throw over 1.5 touchdowns seems a strong proposition.

Terry McLaurin Over 60.5 Receiving Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Terry McLaurin has been a key target for Jayden Daniels, and his ability to make big plays will be crucial in this matchup against the Cowboys. In their previous encounter, McLaurin capitalized on a defensive miscommunication for an 86-yard receiving touchdown, highlighting his potential to break open the game. With the Cowboys' secondary likely to focus on containing Daniels, McLaurin's role becomes even more significant. The Commanders' top-five offense, averaging 28.9 points per game, will look to McLaurin to stretch the field and create scoring opportunities. Given his past success against Dallas and the Commanders' offensive momentum, McLaurin is well-positioned to surpass the 60.5 receiving yards mark.

Micah Parsons Over 0.25 Sacks -130 (DraftKings)

Micah Parsons has been a disruptive force for the Dallas Cowboys, particularly since returning from a high ankle sprain. His 18% quarterback pressure rate is the second-best in the NFL, and he has recorded 8.5 sacks and 45 quarterback pressures since Week 10. In their previous matchup against the Commanders, Parsons was instrumental in harassing Jayden Daniels, contributing to a career-high two interceptions for the rookie quarterback. With the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note and Parsons leading the charge defensively, the likelihood of him recording at least one sack is high. His ability to disrupt the Commanders' offensive rhythm makes this prop a compelling choice.