We have some more weekday college football action as the Virginia Cavaliers will head to Atlanta to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in a nasty ACC showdown. The game is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

I went 1-1 with my picks in college ball last night, but my lone loss of the night came by one point, so it is safe to assume that I am 100% back, and the way I am feeling after snapping out of my brief, but brutal cold streak, has the people saying that I may never lose a bet again.

Anyway, y'all know the drill by now. I am here to give you the best bet of the night for college football. If you do decide to follow our picks, first of all, congrats on your newfound wealth, but please remember to always bet responsibly.

*Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

 

Oct. 20, 7:30 p.m.

Spread

ML

Total

Virginia

+3 (-115)

+125

O 47 (-110)

Georgia Tech

-3 (-105)

-150

U 47 (-110)

 

Virginia Cavaliers:

 

The Virginia offense has been wildly disappointing as they rank 123rd in finishing drives, 106th in Pass Success, and they are 88th in success rate. However, they have a clear formula on offense as they are 48th in rush success and 51st in line yards.

As a whole, this offense is one of the worst in the country and might rival tonight's opponent as the worst in the Power 5. Virginia is only putting up 14.6 points per game, 4.7 yards per play, and 0.207 points per play.

Many thought quarterback Brennan Armstrong would be another ACC quarterback that would surprise people, but he has struggled mightily this season, with seven interceptions to only five touchdowns, and his numbers are way down across the board. As I said, they are much better at running the ball, even though the stats don't necessarily support it.

The Hoos are ranked 95th in yards per rush (3.5) and 108th in rushing yards per game (109.2), however, running back Perris Jones is picking up 5.0 yards per carry, and Armstrong is still very effective with his legs, as he is picking up just under seven yards per rush. They also have a strong offensive line that will be going up against a Georgia Tech run defense that is one of the worst in the country.

 

 

Defensively, Virginia is ranked 37th in Defensive Success Rate, 37th in rush success, and they are only allowing 3.9 yards per run as well as 5.8 yards per play.

The problems come in their secondary, as they are allowing 7.5 yards per pass, and the Cavs are ranked 77th in Pass Success. Over their last two games, Virginia has given up 275 passing yards and 9.2 yards per pass against Louisville's backup quarterback, and they were able to limit Duke to just 5.4 yards per pass, but the offense failed again, proving that Virginia's success as a team is basically a roll of the dice.

 

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets:

 

The start of the season for the Yellow Jackets went as poorly as you could hope for as they limped out to a 1-3 record, with their lone win coming against Western Carolina, a game in which they only won 35-17. However, Ga Tech has won two-straight games, one of which was at Pitt, and the other coming against Duke, a team Virginia lost to earlier in the season.

Now, when I say this team is hot, I mean that they are just simply outscoring mid-teams. If you look at their full body of work, this is not a good football team. Sure, Jeff Sims is an exciting college football quarterback who does have some decent arm talent, but his passing yards per attempt and adjusted passing yards per attempt both sit at 6.1, and he is completing only 58.8% of his passes for five touchdowns.

 

 

Sims has also lost a step in the rushing game, as he is well below his career averages, besides attempts, which he is up to 84 rushes in just six games. As a whole, this offense ranks 125th in Rush Success, 120th in Pass Success, 126th in Pass Blocking, 119th in Finishing Drives, and they are only scoring 13.8 points per game, which just is not acceptable for a Power 5 program.

They have absolutely shown some signs of life these last few weeks, but this is not an offense you can fully trust.

The same can be said about the defense, which ranks 118th in Rush Success, 125th in Line Yards, and 103rd in Pass Rush, but they at least show signs of life on that side of the ball as they are 59th in Pass Success, 57th in Havoc, 39th in Finishing Drives (key stat alert), and they are a top-50 team in PFF's tackling grade.

 

The Pick:

These two teams are very similar in the sense that they both stink. This game is truly for Sickos only. Thankfully for all of you on the prowl for a winner, I am a very sick individual.

The books are screaming for me to back the Cavs in this spot, but I really like Georgia Tech here. I know that Virginia has the advantage on offense because of their successful rushing attack and Georgia Tech is one of the worst run defenses in the country, but mid-rushing teams always seem to have one problem, and that is converting their drives.

Well, the Hoos are ranked 123rd in finishing drives, with the Jackets' defense being ranked 39th in the same stat, and 59th in Havoc. Virginia has also lost five straight in Atlanta, and they are 0-5 in their last five road games overall. Even with Sims dealing with a leg injury, he is expected to be full-go, and because of that, I like the Jackets as a home favorite in this spot.

Pick: Georgia Tech -3 (-110)

 

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