Another solid week for straight up picks, which are now +$270 on the season (8-9), was let down by a single play.

Had Zach Ertz caught Josh Dobbs's simple throw on the goal line on the penultimate play of the game between Arizona and San Francisco, our cover pick would have been a win instead of a loss. That would have been a swing of $190 to the good, and taken us to our first big profit of 2023.

The signs are encouraging, however, and our data improves every week of the season and adds context to wins and losses by every team. As we head towards the end of the first quarter, the big one feels like it is just around the corner...