Welcome to week 13's Upset Watch. Last week we went 2-3 on game winner picks for a small profit, but missed on our one cover pick, which of course meant a loss in that department.

This week, with only 13 games on the slate, and an average of under 4 upsets per week over the last 5 weeks in the NFL, we'll be scouring the slate for our best picks, to maintain our record of picking at least one upset every week since the start of 2022.

If you're new to Pickwatch, or have never read Upset Watch, here's what we do:

With over 35% of NFL games ending in an underdog outright win, it's important to know when upsets are most likely to occur, and which teams to pick. Last season, we had our third straight winning season, with a combined winning total of over +$8,000 in that time.

Starting every Wednesday, we select a number of underdogs that have a statistically higher chance of winning or covering than others. These are not pool picks, and we only track the performance of our underdog winner and cover picks. Our aim is to come out of each season profitable, which we've done 3 seasons in a row.

Read on for this week's quick pick list, and click any game on the left for analysis added between Wednesday and Friday (or later where injuries are in play).