Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/6/2025 3:10 PM EDT

We have your Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Blue Jays hit the road to face the Colorado Rockies.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -225 (Caesars) / Colorado Rockies +207 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-145) (Caesars) / Colorado Rockies +2.5 (+100) (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: Over 11.5 (+100) (Caesars) / Under 11.5 (-119) (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: August 6, 2025
Time: 3:10 PM EDT
Location: Coors Field, Denver
TV: SNET

Toronto Blue Jays @ Colorado Rockies Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays, leading the AL East with a 67-48 record, are set to conclude their series against the Colorado Rockies, who sit at the bottom of the NL West with a 30-83 record. The Blue Jays have dominated the first two games of this series, outscoring the Rockies by a combined 25-5, and are looking to complete the sweep at hitter-friendly Coors Field (Park Factor 112).

Toronto's offense has been a force this season, ranking in the top eight in batting average (.267), on-base percentage (.337), and slugging percentage (.421). Key players like George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Bo Bichette have been instrumental in their success. On the pitching side, the Blue Jays' staff holds a 4.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Kevin Gausman (7-8, 3.99 ERA, 1.10 WHIP) will take the mound for Toronto. Gausman has shown better form on the road this season, boasting a 3.72 road ERA.

The Colorado Rockies, on the other hand, have struggled significantly, ranking in the bottom tier of MLB in several offensive and pitching categories. Their team batting average is .237, with a .297 OBP and .395 SLG. Hunter Goodman has been a bright spot, leading the team with 106 hits, 64 RBI, and 22 home runs, alongside a .281 batting average. Mickey Moniak has also contributed with 17 home runs and 44 RBI. Colorado's pitching staff has been particularly vulnerable, with a 5.88 ERA and 1.61 WHIP, ranking last in the league in these metrics. Kyle Freeland (2-11, 5.26 ERA, 1.50 WHIP) is scheduled to start for the Rockies, and his home ERA of 5.98 suggests he could face another challenging outing against the potent Blue Jays lineup.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays have historically held the upper hand in their matchups against the Colorado Rockies. Toronto has won six of the last ten head-to-head encounters, including the most recent four games. Specifically, the Blue Jays hold a 5-1 record in their last six meetings against the Rockies and are 3-1 in their last four games played in Colorado.

This season, the Blue Jays are 2-0 against the Rockies, with both games going over the total. Looking at recent history, the "Over" has been a frequent outcome in games between these two teams, hitting in six of their last eight meetings. The Rockies' games have seen a high scoring trend recently, with the "Over" cashing in nine of their last eleven contests, while the Blue Jays have also contributed to this trend with the "Over" hitting in eight of their last ten games.

Recent results include the Blue Jays winning 10-4 and 15-1 in the current series, both going over the total. In 2024, the Blue Jays secured wins of 5-0 and 5-3, both staying under the total, but also suffered a 4-12 loss that went over. In 2023, Toronto won 7-5 and 13-9, with both games going over, while losing 7-8 in another high-scoring affair. The trend clearly points towards Toronto's dominance and a propensity for higher-scoring games when these two teams meet, especially at Coors Field.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Run Line

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The Toronto Blue Jays are a strong pick to cover the run line in this matchup. They are heavily favored for good reason, given their superior record and dominant performance in the first two games of this series, where they outscored the Rockies by a significant margin. The sharp money also heavily favors the Blue Jays, with a 69.26% sharp win percentage on the moneyline.

The pitching matchup further solidifies this pick. Kevin Gausman, despite some season struggles, has a respectable 3.72 road ERA, indicating he performs better away from home. In contrast, Kyle Freeland's 5.98 home ERA suggests he will continue to struggle against Toronto's potent offense. The Blue Jays' offense ranks among the league's best in key hitting categories, while the Rockies' pitching staff is among the worst. Considering Toronto's strong runline record (66-48) compared to Colorado's struggles (46-66), and their historical dominance in head-to-head matchups, the Blue Jays are well-positioned to secure another convincing victory.

Top Player Prop Picks

Warming Bernabel (Colorado Rockies) - Hits Over 0.5

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Warming Bernabel has been a consistent hitter for the Colorado Rockies, making the over on his hits prop an attractive play. He has hit the over in 80% of his last five games and an impressive 90% of his last ten games. For the season, he maintains a 90% hit rate on this prop. Furthermore, in his two appearances against the Toronto Blue Jays this season, he has hit the over on his hits prop 100% of the time, averaging 1.0 hit per game. When playing at home, Bernabel has hit the over in 80% of his games this season. Given his strong recent form and excellent performance against the Blue Jays and at home, taking the over on 0.5 hits for Bernabel at -195 odds via BetRivers is a solid choice.

Brenton Doyle (Colorado Rockies) - Hits Over 0.5

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Brenton Doyle presents another strong opportunity for the hits over prop. He has hit the over in 80% of his last five games and 80% of his last ten games. While his season hit rate is 59.57%, his recent form is very encouraging. Against the Toronto Blue Jays this season, Doyle has hit the over on his hits prop in 100% of his two games, averaging 1.0 hit. In 2024, he hit the over in 66.67% of his three games against the Blue Jays, averaging 1.33 hits. Playing at home, Doyle has hit the over in 72.92% of his games this season. Considering his recent consistency and strong performance against the Blue Jays, the over on 0.5 hits for Doyle at -180 odds via BetRivers is a favorable bet.

Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies) - Pitcher Strikeouts Over 2.5

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Despite Kyle Freeland's overall struggles this season, his strikeout numbers suggest value in the over for his pitcher strikeouts prop. He has hit the over on 2.5 strikeouts in 60% of his last five games, 70% of his last ten games, and 70% of his games this season. In his single appearance against the Toronto Blue Jays in 2024, he hit the over on this prop 100% of the time, recording 3.0 strikeouts. When pitching at home this season, Freeland has hit the over in 66.67% of his starts. Given his consistent ability to hit this strikeout total, even amidst other struggles, the over on 2.5 strikeouts for Freeland at -155 odds via ESPN BET is a compelling pick.

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