Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/3/2025 7:00 PM EST

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Florida Panthers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in a highly anticipated Atlantic Division matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Florida Panthers -120 at BetMGM, Tampa Bay Lightning +110 at DraftKings.
Best Spread Odds: Florida Panthers -1.0 (+170) at BetRivers.
Best Total Odds: Over 5.5 (-120) at ESPN BET, Under 5.5 (+105) at BetRivers.

Game Info

Date: March 3, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida
TV: -

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers Preview

The Florida Panthers (37-21-3) enter this game riding a three-game winning streak and holding the second spot in the Atlantic Division. They have been dominant offensively, ranking fifth in the league with 3.3 goals per game. The Panthers are also strong at home with a 19-10-2 record. However, they will be without star forward Matthew Tkachuk, who is sidelined with a groin injury.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (35-20-4) are on an impressive eight-game winning streak and sit third in the Atlantic Division. They boast the league's second-best offense, averaging 3.59 goals per game, and have been efficient on the power play with a 27.16% success rate. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been solid in net, posting a 2.41 GAA and a 91.1% save percentage. However, Tampa Bay has been inconsistent on the road with a 14-13-2 record.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning have faced each other 174 times in NHL history. The Panthers hold a slight edge with 84 wins compared to the Lightning's 80, with 10 games ending in a draw. In their last 10 meetings, the Panthers have dominated with a 7-3-0 record, outscoring the Lightning by a goal differential of +10. Notably, the Panthers have won six of their last eight matchups against the Lightning, including playoff games.

Pick: Over 5.5 Total Goals

Both teams have been scoring at a high rate recently. Tampa Bay has averaged 4.25 goals per game in their last eight contests, while Florida has scored at least three goals in nine of their last ten games. Additionally, these teams have hit the over in five of their last ten meetings. With both offenses firing on all cylinders and strong power play units, the over 5.5 total goals at -120 offers value.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Brayden Point Over 0.5 Goals

Brayden Point leads the Lightning with 31 goals this season and has been a consistent offensive threat. With Florida missing Matthew Tkachuk, Point could capitalize on the Panthers' defensive adjustments.

2. Sam Reinhart Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Reinhart has been a key player for the Panthers, leading the team with 31 goals. He has averaged 3.5 shots on goal over his last ten games, making this a strong prop to consider.

3. Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 28.5 Saves

Florida ranks third in the league in shots per game (31.6), and Vasilevskiy will likely face a high volume of shots. His ability to handle pressure makes this a solid pick.

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