Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/4/2024 8:15 PM EST

We have your Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to face the Kansas City Chiefs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +350 (BetMGM) / Kansas City Chiefs -450 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: -9.5 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers -115 (FanDuel) / -8.5 - Kansas City Chiefs -110 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 44.5 - Under -110 (BetMGM) / Over -110 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 11/4/2024
Time: 8:15 PM EST
Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
TV: ESPN

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have faced each other once, with the game taking place on October 2, 2022. In this matchup, the Kansas City Chiefs emerged victorious, defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a final score of 41-31. The Chiefs, playing as the visiting team, managed to secure the win, while the Buccaneers, as the home team, were unable to capitalize on their home-field advantage. The Chiefs also covered the spread, as they were the underdogs with a closing spread of +2.0. The game went over the closing over-under line of 47.0, with a total score of 72 points. This single encounter saw the Chiefs outperform the Buccaneers in terms of both the final score and against the spread.

In the detailed breakdown of the most recent game, the Chiefs' offense was led by Patrick Mahomes, who completed 23 of 37 passes for 249 yards and three touchdowns. The Chiefs' ground game was also effective, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire contributing a rushing touchdown and a receiving touchdown. Kansas City accumulated a total of 417 yards, with 189 of those coming from rushing attempts. The Chiefs controlled the game clock with a possession time of 38:38, which was a significant factor in their victory. On the other hand, the Buccaneers, led by Tom Brady, completed 39 of 52 passes for 385 yards and three touchdowns. Despite Brady's strong performance, the Buccaneers struggled with their rushing game, managing only three yards on six attempts. The Buccaneers also turned the ball over twice, which hindered their ability to keep pace with the Chiefs.

The Chiefs' defense played a crucial role in their victory, recovering two fumbles and allowing only 31 points. Kansas City's ability to convert on third downs was a key factor, as they succeeded on 12 of 17 attempts, resulting in a 70.59% conversion rate. The Buccaneers, while efficient in their passing game, were unable to match the Chiefs' overall offensive output and time of possession. The Chiefs' disciplined play was evident in their low penalty count, with only four penalties for 32 yards, compared to the Buccaneers' five penalties for 40 yards. This game highlighted the Chiefs' balanced offensive attack and their ability to capitalize on the Buccaneers' defensive lapses, setting the stage for their victory in this matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs Preview

The upcoming clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Kansas City Chiefs promises to be a compelling matchup, with both teams navigating through contrasting narratives this season. The Chiefs, despite grappling with injuries and a less-than-stellar start from Patrick Mahomes, have managed to maintain an unblemished record. Their resilience has been bolstered by key acquisitions like Kareem Hunt and DeAndre Hopkins, who are gradually finding their rhythm within the offense. Mahomes, while off to the worst statistical start of his career, has shown flashes of his usual brilliance, and the Chiefs' defense has stepped up in crucial moments, as evidenced by their recent victory over the Raiders.

On the other hand, the Buccaneers are facing a challenging period, having lost their star wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to injuries. This has placed additional pressure on quarterback Baker Mayfield, who has been prolific in terms of touchdown passes but has also struggled with interceptions. The Bucs' defense, ranked among the bottom five in several metrics, will need to tighten up against a Chiefs team that is steadily improving offensively. Despite these setbacks, the Buccaneers have shown resilience in the past, and head coach Todd Bowles remains optimistic about finding solutions within the team.

As the Buccaneers travel to Arrowhead Stadium, they will be looking to capitalize on any lapses from the Chiefs, who have yet to play their best football. The game is set to be a test of depth and adaptability for both teams, with the Chiefs aiming to extend their unbeaten streak and the Buccaneers striving to overcome their recent skid. With both teams capable of explosive plays, this matchup could turn into a high-scoring affair, especially if the Buccaneers' offense can find ways to compensate for the absence of their top receivers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Kansas City Chiefs is poised to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Both teams have shown the capability to put up significant points, despite facing challenges this season. The Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, have managed to maintain an undefeated record, even as Mahomes navigates through the worst statistical start of his career. However, the Chiefs' offense is steadily improving, with new additions like Kareem Hunt and DeAndre Hopkins beginning to find their footing. In their recent victory over the Raiders, Mahomes threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns, while Travis Kelce ended his touchdown drought, highlighting the potential for explosive plays.

On the other side, the Buccaneers, despite losing key receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, have seen Baker Mayfield lead a potent passing attack. Mayfield threw for 330 yards and three touchdowns in their recent game against the Falcons, demonstrating his ability to keep the offense moving. The Buccaneers' defense, however, has struggled, ranking among the bottom five in several metrics and allowing 27 or more points in their last four games. This defensive vulnerability could be exploited by a Chiefs team that is finding its rhythm offensively.

Historically, when these two teams met in 2022, the game resulted in a high-scoring 41-31 victory for the Chiefs, with both teams combining for 72 points. Given the current form of both offenses and the defensive lapses, particularly on the Buccaneers' side, this game has all the makings of another shootout. With the Chiefs' offense improving and the Buccaneers' defense struggling, the over on the total points is a strong pick for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs Top Player Prop Picks

DeAndre Hopkins Over 28.5 Receiving Yards -110 (bet365)

DeAndre Hopkins has recently joined the Kansas City Chiefs, and while he is still acclimating to the team's offensive system, his presence is already being felt. In his debut, Hopkins managed to secure two receptions for 29 yards, indicating that he is quickly becoming a reliable target for Patrick Mahomes. Given the Buccaneers' defensive struggles, particularly in the secondary, Hopkins is poised to exceed the modest line of 28.5 receiving yards. The Chiefs' offense is steadily improving, and with Mahomes looking to diversify his passing options, Hopkins is likely to see more targets, making the over on this prop a strong play.

Travis Kelce Over 90.5 Receiving Yards -110 (Caesars)

Travis Kelce has finally ended his touchdown drought, and his performance against the Raiders, where he caught 10 passes for 90 yards and a touchdown, suggests that he is back to being a focal point in the Chiefs' offense. With the Buccaneers' defense ranking among the bottom five in several metrics, Kelce is in a prime position to exploit their weaknesses. The Chiefs have been leaning on Kelce to make crucial plays, and with Mahomes' trust in him, Kelce is likely to surpass the 90.5 receiving yards mark. His ability to find open spaces and Mahomes' tendency to target him in key situations make this prop an attractive option.

Baker Mayfield Over 330.5 Passing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Baker Mayfield has been prolific in the passing game, despite the Buccaneers' recent struggles. In their last outing against the Falcons, Mayfield threw for 330 yards and three touchdowns, showcasing his ability to lead a potent passing attack even without his top receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The Chiefs' defense, while effective, will face a challenge containing Mayfield, who has been forced to air it out due to the Bucs' defensive lapses. With the Buccaneers likely playing from behind, Mayfield will have ample opportunities to rack up passing yards, making the over on this prop a compelling choice.