NFL Pickwatch - Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/11/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Sacramento Kings hit the road to face the San Antonio Spurs.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Sacramento Kings -125 (DraftKings) / San Antonio Spurs +105 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Sacramento Kings -110 (Caesars) / 2.0 - San Antonio Spurs -107 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 222.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / 222.0 - Over -110 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 11/11/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, TX)
TV: NBA League Pass

Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

On the road, the Sacramento Kings have 4 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Sacramento Kings have 5 wins and 2 losses this season.
This season, the Sacramento Kings have hit 5 overs and 5 unders.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends

At home, the San Antonio Spurs have 3 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the San Antonio Spurs have 2 wins and 5 losses this season.
This season, the San Antonio Spurs have hit 5 overs and 5 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Sacramento Kings and San Antonio Spurs have faced each other three times, with the Kings emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between November 2023 and March 2024. In these matchups, the home team won twice, while the visiting team secured one victory. The Kings managed to cover the spread once, whereas the Spurs covered it twice. Notably, all three games went over the set over-under line, indicating high-scoring affairs. The Kings consistently outperformed the Spurs, maintaining a perfect record in these contests.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on March 7, 2024, with the Sacramento Kings narrowly defeating the San Antonio Spurs 131-129. The Kings, playing at home, were the favorites with a point spread of -12.0, but the Spurs managed to cover the spread despite the loss. The game was characterized by a high offensive output, with both teams shooting over 50% from the field. The Kings had a slight edge in field goal percentage at 51.0% compared to the Spurs' 50.5%. Sacramento's De'Aaron Fox led the scoring with 33 points, while Domantas Sabonis contributed significantly with 31 points and 17 rebounds. The Spurs' Devin Vassell was the top scorer for his team with 30 points. Both teams had a similar number of turnovers, with the Spurs committing 12 and the Kings 13.

In the earlier matchups, the Kings continued their dominance over the Spurs. On February 22, 2024, the Kings won 127-122 at home, with the Spurs covering the spread as underdogs. The game saw a total score of 249, surpassing the over-under line of 243.0. In their first meeting of the season on November 17, 2023, the Kings won 129-120 on the road, covering the spread as favorites. The total score of 249 again exceeded the over-under line of 238.5. Across these games, the Kings demonstrated consistent offensive prowess, while the Spurs struggled to secure a win despite competitive performances.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Preview

The Sacramento Kings are riding high after a thrilling 127-118 overtime victory against the Phoenix Suns, a game that showcased their resilience and depth. DeMar DeRozan led the charge with an impressive 34 points, while De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis both recorded double-doubles, highlighting the team's balanced offensive attack. However, the Kings face a quick turnaround as they head to San Antonio to take on the Spurs, a team they have dominated in recent matchups, winning eight of their last nine encounters.

Despite their recent success, the Kings will need to adjust quickly, especially with the potential absence of Malik Monk, who suffered an ankle injury against the Suns. Monk's energy and scoring off the bench have been crucial for Sacramento, and his absence could test the team's depth. Nevertheless, the Kings have shown they can rely on their starters, with Fox and Sabonis consistently delivering strong performances.

On the other side, the San Antonio Spurs are looking to bounce back after a narrow 111-110 loss to the Utah Jazz. The Spurs have struggled without head coach Gregg Popovich, who is currently sidelined due to illness. Victor Wembanyama has been a bright spot for San Antonio, posting 24 points and 16 rebounds against the Jazz, but the team has been plagued by turnovers and inconsistent play. The Spurs will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to contain Sacramento's potent offense if they hope to secure a win.

Historically, matchups between these two teams have been high-scoring affairs, with the Kings consistently finding ways to exploit the Spurs' defense. Sacramento's ability to score in transition and capitalize on turnovers could be key factors in this game. As the Kings aim to continue their winning streak, the Spurs will be eager to defend their home court and turn the tide in their favor.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Pick: Total Points Over

When evaluating the upcoming matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the San Antonio Spurs, the trend towards high-scoring games is a compelling factor in favor of betting on the total points going over. Historically, encounters between these two teams have consistently resulted in high offensive outputs. In their last three meetings, the total points scored have exceeded the set over-under line each time, with scores of 131-129, 127-122, and 129-120, respectively. This pattern underscores the offensive capabilities of both teams and their tendency to engage in shootouts.

The Kings are coming off a 127-118 overtime victory against the Phoenix Suns, a game that highlighted their offensive depth and resilience. DeMar DeRozan's 34-point performance, along with double-doubles from De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis, exemplifies the team's ability to score prolifically. Despite the potential absence of Malik Monk due to an ankle injury, the Kings have demonstrated that they can rely on their starters to maintain a high-scoring pace.

On the other hand, the Spurs, despite their recent struggles, have shown flashes of offensive potential, particularly with Victor Wembanyama's impressive 24-point, 16-rebound performance against the Utah Jazz. However, their defensive vulnerabilities, as evidenced by their recent loss to the Jazz and their ongoing issues with turnovers, suggest that they may struggle to contain Sacramento's potent offense.

Given these factors, the expectation is for another high-scoring affair. The Kings' ability to capitalize on turnovers and score in transition, combined with the Spurs' defensive lapses, sets the stage for a game that is likely to surpass the total points line. Therefore, betting on the total points over appears to be a well-supported choice for this matchup.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Top Player Prop Picks

De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 Assists 110 (FanDuel)

De'Aaron Fox has been a pivotal playmaker for the Sacramento Kings, consistently delivering strong performances. In their recent overtime victory against the Phoenix Suns, Fox not only contributed significantly with 21 points but also showcased his ability to facilitate the offense with 11 rebounds and 8 assists. His role as a primary ball-handler and distributor is crucial, especially with the potential absence of Malik Monk, which could increase Fox's responsibilities in orchestrating the team's offense. Given the Spurs' recent defensive struggles, particularly their issues with turnovers and containing dynamic guards, Fox is well-positioned to exceed the 5.5 assists line. His track record against the Spurs, combined with the Kings' offensive momentum, makes this prop a compelling choice.

Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds -111 (FanDuel)

Domantas Sabonis has been a rebounding machine for the Kings, consistently pulling down double-digit boards. In the recent matchup against the Suns, Sabonis recorded a double-double with 20 points and 12 rebounds, further solidifying his reputation as a dominant force on the glass. The Spurs have shown vulnerabilities in rebounding, allowing an average of 52.3 boards per game in their last three contests. With Sabonis's ability to control the paint and the Spurs' ongoing struggles in this area, the over on 12.5 rebounds is a strong play. His consistent rebounding performance, coupled with the Kings' need to capitalize on second-chance opportunities, supports this prop pick.

Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 Rebounds -106 (FanDuel)

Victor Wembanyama has been a standout performer for the Spurs, particularly in the rebounding department. In their recent game against the Utah Jazz, Wembanyama posted an impressive 16 rebounds, showcasing his ability to dominate the boards. Despite the Spurs' overall struggles, Wembanyama's size and athleticism give him a significant advantage in securing rebounds, especially against a Kings team that will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back. With the Kings likely to rely heavily on their starters, Wembanyama's presence in the paint will be crucial for the Spurs. His recent performances and the Kings' potential fatigue make the over on 11.5 rebounds a promising bet.