Sacramento Kings @ Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/5/2025 9:00 PM EST

We have your Sacramento Kings @ Denver Nuggets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Denver Nuggets host the Sacramento Kings at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado.

Sacramento Kings @ Denver Nuggets Pick

Best Moneyline Odds:
Denver Nuggets: -198 at DraftKings
Sacramento Kings: +185 at Caesars
Best Spread Odds: Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-105) at ESPN BET
Best Total Odds: Over 236.5 (-110) at FanDuel, Under 238.0 (-108) at DraftKings

Game Info

Date: March 5, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
TV: NBCS-CA, ALT, KUSA

Sacramento Kings @ Denver Nuggets Preview

The Denver Nuggets (39-22) return home after a four-game road trip to face the Sacramento Kings (32-28), who are riding a four-game winning streak. Denver has been dominant at home with a 20-9 record, while Sacramento has been solid on the road at 17-14. Both teams are among the hottest in the league, with Denver averaging 121.1 points per game (3rd in the NBA) and Sacramento averaging 116.9 points per game (6th in the NBA). Nikola Jokic continues to lead the Nuggets with his MVP-caliber performances, while the Kings rely on their balanced attack led by Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 matchups, the Denver Nuggets have won 6 games, while the Sacramento Kings have won 4. Denver has also won the last three meetings, including a 132-123 victory on January 23, 2025, at Ball Arena. Historically, Denver has been dominant at home against Sacramento, with the Kings going 2-11 in their last 13 road games in Denver. The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 16 meetings between these teams.

Pick: Denver Nuggets -5.5

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The Denver Nuggets are the pick against the spread at -5.5. Denver has been strong at home, and their recent head-to-head dominance over Sacramento, including three straight wins, makes them a solid choice. Additionally, Denver's offensive efficiency, led by Nikola Jokic, should exploit Sacramento's 21st-ranked defense in points allowed. Sacramento's recent form is impressive, but Denver's home-court advantage and superior depth give them the edge.

Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points (-110)

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Nikola Jokic has been averaging 28.9 points per game this season and scored 20+ points in his last five games. With Sacramento's defense ranking 21st in points allowed, Jokic is poised for another big scoring night.

Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115)

Sabonis is averaging 14.1 rebounds per game and has been a dominant force on the boards. Denver's strong rebounding unit will challenge him, but Sabonis has consistently hit this mark in recent games.

Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-120)

Murray is shooting 40.2% from beyond the arc and has been a reliable perimeter threat. Sacramento's defense ranks 30th in opponent three-point percentage, making this a favorable matchup for Murray to hit multiple threes.

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