Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 3/3/2025 8:30 PM EST

We have your Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Sacramento Kings visit the Dallas Mavericks in a crucial Western Conference matchup.

Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Kings -113 (BetRivers), Mavericks +106 (Fanduel).
Best Spread Odds: Mavericks +1.5 (-108, Fanduel), Kings -1.0 (-109, BetRivers).
Best Total Odds: Over 231.5 (-109, BetRivers), Under 231.5 (-108, Fanduel).

Game Info

Date: March 3, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: -

Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks Preview

The Sacramento Kings enter this game on a three-game winning streak, including a recent 113-103 victory over the Houston Rockets. They are 6-2 in their last eight games and currently sit in 8th place in the Western Conference standings. However, the status of Domantas Sabonis, who exited early in their last game due to a hamstring issue, remains uncertain. If Sabonis is unavailable, Jonas Valanciunas is expected to step up in the center position.

The Dallas Mavericks, on the other hand, have struggled recently, losing three of their last four games, including a 132-117 defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks. Injuries have plagued the Mavericks, with key players like Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and Dereck Lively sidelined. Kyrie Irving has been the team's standout performer, averaging 28 points per game over the last five contests. The Mavericks are clinging to the 10th spot in the West and need a win to stay in the playoff race.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Kings and Mavericks have faced each other 185 times in the regular season, with the Mavericks holding a 103-82 advantage. However, the Kings have won the last two matchups this season, including a thrilling 129-128 overtime victory in Dallas on February 10, 2025. Over the last six meetings, the Kings have won four times, showcasing their recent dominance in this matchup.

Pick: Sacramento Kings - Moneyline

The Kings are the more in-form team heading into this matchup, having won three straight games and six of their last eight. The Mavericks, on the other hand, are dealing with significant injuries and have struggled defensively, allowing 132 points in their last game. If Domantas Sabonis is available, his presence in the paint could be a decisive factor. Even if Sabonis is out, the Kings' depth and recent success against the Mavericks make them the better pick. Back the Kings on the moneyline at -113.

Top Player Prop Picks

Kyrie Irving Over 25 Points

Kyrie Irving has been the Mavericks' offensive leader, averaging 28 points per game over his last five contests. With the Mavericks missing key players, Irving will likely shoulder a significant scoring load. Expect him to surpass 25 points in this game.

DeMar DeRozan Over 24 Points

DeMar DeRozan has been a consistent scorer for the Kings, averaging 23 points per game this season. With the Mavericks' defensive struggles, DeRozan is poised for a strong performance, making the over on 24 points a solid pick.

Jonas Valanciunas Over 13 Points (If Sabonis is Out)

If Domantas Sabonis is unavailable, Jonas Valanciunas will likely see an increased role in the Kings' offense. Valanciunas has scored 15 points in each of his last two games and should comfortably exceed 13 points if given extended minutes.

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