Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/15/2024 1:05 PM EST
We have your Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cincinnati Reds hit the road to face the Minnesota Twins.
Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Odds Info
Best Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati Reds +140 (ESPN BET) / Minnesota Twins -165 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Cincinnati Reds -150 (BetRivers) / Minnesota Twins +130 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 9.0 - Under -118 (BetRivers) / 8.5 - Over -115 (DraftKings)
Game Info
Date: 9/15/2024
Time: 1:05 PM EST
Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
TV: Roku
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
- On the road, the Cincinnati Reds have 37 wins and 38 losses this season.
- As the favorite, the Cincinnati Reds have 38 wins and 48 losses this season.
- This season, the Cincinnati Reds have hit 65 overs, 75 unders and pushed 10 times.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
- At home, the Minnesota Twins have 41 wins and 33 losses this season.
- As the favorite, the Minnesota Twins have 64 wins and 44 losses this season.
- This season, the Minnesota Twins have hit 76 overs, 71 unders and pushed 1 times.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Over the past two seasons, the Cincinnati Reds and the Minnesota Twins have faced off five times, with the Reds securing three victories and the Twins winning two. Notably, the visiting team has emerged victorious in four of these encounters, while the home team has only managed one win. In terms of betting outcomes, the Reds have covered the spread in three games, whereas the Twins have done so twice. The games have seen a mix of scoring, with the total score going over the set line three times and staying under twice. Across these matchups, the Reds have demonstrated a slight edge, both in terms of outright wins and against the spread.
The most recent game between these two teams took place on September 14, 2024, where the Cincinnati Reds delivered a commanding performance against the Minnesota Twins, winning 11-1. The Twins initially took the lead in the first inning with Byron Buxton's infield single allowing Matt Wallner to score. However, the Reds responded emphatically in the fourth inning, scoring nine runs, highlighted by Noelvi Marte's ground rule double and TJ Friedl's home run. The Reds continued to dominate with additional runs in the fifth and eighth innings. Cincinnati's pitching staff was equally impressive, allowing only five hits and one earned run while recording eight strikeouts. The Reds' offensive prowess was evident with 15 hits and two home runs, showcasing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
In this recent matchup, the Reds were the underdogs with a moneyline of +125, while the Twins were favored at -150. Despite the odds, Cincinnati's performance was dominant, both offensively and defensively. The game saw a total score of 12, surpassing the over-under line of 8.5, resulting in an "over" outcome. The Reds' victory also covered the spread, which was set at -1.5 in favor of the Twins. This game further solidified the Reds' recent success against the Twins, as they have now won three of their last five meetings, including two consecutive victories.
Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Preview
The Cincinnati Reds and Minnesota Twins are set to conclude their interleague series at Target Field, with both teams having distinct motivations as the regular season winds down. The Reds, despite being out of playoff contention, have shown resilience and determination, winning five of their last seven games. Their recent offensive explosion, highlighted by an 11-1 victory over the Twins, underscores their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. TJ Friedl's four-hit performance, including a two-run homer, and Nick Martinez's stellar pitching have been pivotal in their recent success.
On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins are in a precarious position as they cling to the final American League wild-card spot. With a 2.5-game lead over the Detroit Tigers, the Twins are under pressure to secure victories to maintain their postseason hopes. The return of key players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton from the injured list is a significant boost for the team. However, the Twins have struggled recently, losing six of their last eight games, and their pitching staff has been unable to contain the Reds' potent offense.
As the series finale approaches, the pitching matchup will feature Reds rookie Rhett Lowder, who has impressed with a 0.59 ERA in his early starts, against Twins' David Festa, who has struggled with a 5.08 ERA. The Reds' recent form and Lowder's promising performances suggest they could continue their winning ways. Meanwhile, the Twins will need to find a way to reignite their offense and tighten their defense to avoid a series sweep and bolster their playoff aspirations.
Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Pick: Total Runs Over
The upcoming matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Minnesota Twins presents a compelling case for betting on the total runs to go over. Recent trends and performances from both teams suggest a high-scoring affair. The Reds have been on an offensive tear, as evidenced by their 11-1 rout of the Twins in their last meeting. This offensive explosion was highlighted by TJ Friedl's four-hit game, including a two-run homer, and the Reds' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities with 15 hits and two home runs. Cincinnati's lineup has been consistently productive, scoring 19 runs in the first three games of this interleague series, and they have hit the over in each of these contests.
On the other side, the Twins have struggled defensively, allowing the Reds to dominate offensively. Despite the return of key players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton, Minnesota's pitching staff has been unable to contain Cincinnati's potent offense. The Twins have hit the over in four consecutive games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring outcomes. Additionally, the pitching matchup favors the over, with Twins' starter David Festa struggling with a 5.08 ERA and a particularly poor performance at home, where he has posted a 6.15 ERA. Meanwhile, Reds rookie Rhett Lowder, despite his impressive 0.59 ERA, will face a Twins lineup eager to rebound and capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Given these factors, the combination of Cincinnati's recent offensive prowess and Minnesota's defensive vulnerabilities makes the over a strong play. The Reds' ability to consistently score runs, coupled with the Twins' recent trend of high-scoring games, suggests that this matchup is likely to exceed the set total, providing a favorable betting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the current form of both teams.
Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Top Player Prop Picks
Rhett Lowder Over 4.5 Strikeouts +115 (bet365)
Rhett Lowder has been a revelation for the Cincinnati Reds, boasting an impressive 0.59 ERA in his early starts. His ability to keep hitters off balance is evident in his 12 strikeouts over 15 1/3 innings pitched. Given the Minnesota Twins' recent struggles at the plate, where they have been held to fewer than three runs in six of their last 11 games, Lowder is well-positioned to surpass the 4.5 strikeouts line. The Twins' lineup, despite the return of key players like Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton, has not been firing on all cylinders, making this an opportune moment for Lowder to capitalize and rack up strikeouts.
David Festa Under 5.5 Strikeouts -125 (FanDuel)
David Festa has had a challenging season, with a 5.08 ERA and a particularly poor performance at home, where he has posted a 6.15 ERA. His struggles are compounded by the Cincinnati Reds' recent offensive surge, which has seen them score 19 runs in the first three games of this series. The Reds' lineup has been relentless, with players like TJ Friedl and Jake Fraley leading the charge. Given Festa's difficulties and the Reds' potent offense, it is unlikely that he will be able to reach the 5.5 strikeouts mark, making the under a strong play.
Carlos Correa Over 0.5 Singles -130 (bet365)
Carlos Correa's return to the lineup is a significant boost for the Minnesota Twins as they push for a playoff spot. Despite dealing with plantar fasciitis, Correa has been a consistent performer when healthy, hitting .308 with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs in 75 games this season. His ability to get on base is crucial for the Twins, especially in a game where they need to reignite their offense. With the Reds' pitching staff allowing 15 hits in their last game, Correa is well-positioned to notch at least one single, making the over on this prop a favorable bet.