Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/25/2024 6:40 PM EST

We have your Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cincinnati Reds hit the road to face the Cleveland Guardians.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati Reds +125 (BetMGM) / Cleveland Guardians -145 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Cincinnati Reds -165 (bet365) / Cleveland Guardians +140 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under -118 (DraftKings) / Over +100 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 9/25/2024
Time: 6:40 PM EST
Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
TV: MLB.TV

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

On the road, the Cincinnati Reds have 37 wins and 40 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Cincinnati Reds have 40 wins and 53 losses this season.
This season, the Cincinnati Reds have 85 wins and 73 losses against the spread.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

At home, the Cleveland Guardians have 49 wins and 28 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Cleveland Guardians have 62 wins and 37 losses this season.
This season, the Cleveland Guardians have 82 wins and 76 losses against the spread.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the 2024 season, the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds have faced each other three times. The Guardians emerged victorious in two of these encounters, while the Reds secured a win in one. The home team won twice, and the visiting team claimed victory once. In terms of covering the spread, the Guardians managed to do so in two games, whereas the Reds covered the spread in one. Notably, all three games went under the projected total score, with none surpassing the over. Across these matchups, the Guardians demonstrated a stronger offensive performance, consistently outscoring the Reds.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on September 24, 2024, with the Cleveland Guardians defeating the Cincinnati Reds 6-1. The Guardians took an early lead, scoring three runs in the first inning, thanks to home runs by Kyle Manzardo and Lane Thomas. The Reds managed to score a single run in the fourth inning, but the Guardians extended their lead with additional runs in the fifth and seventh innings. Cleveland's offense was efficient, recording 10 hits and a batting average of .313, while the Reds struggled with only four hits and left 10 runners on base. The Guardians' pitching was also effective, with Tanner Bibee allowing just one run and striking out eight batters over nine innings.

In the previous two games, the teams split victories. On June 12, 2024, the Reds won 4-2 at home, with the game going under the total score. The Guardians had a better batting average but failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities. On June 11, 2024, the Guardians won 5-3, also on the road, with the game again going under. The Guardians' pitching was strong, with Triston McKenzie striking out 11 batters. Throughout these matchups, the Guardians have shown a consistent ability to limit the Reds' offensive output, while the Reds have struggled to find their rhythm against Cleveland's pitching.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Preview

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to face the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field, the stakes are high for both teams. The Guardians, fresh off clinching a first-round bye in the playoffs, are riding a wave of momentum after their decisive 6-1 victory over the Reds. This win not only secured their playoff position but also showcased their offensive prowess and pitching depth, with standout performances from Kyle Manzardo and Lane Thomas, who both homered early in the game. Tanner Bibee's commanding presence on the mound, allowing just one run while striking out eight, further solidified the Guardians' dominance.

On the other hand, the Reds are navigating a period of transition, having recently appointed Freddie Benavides as interim manager following the dismissal of David Bell. Despite the managerial shake-up, the Reds are determined to find their footing and end the season on a high note. However, their recent struggles against the Guardians, particularly in terms of offensive output, have been evident. In their last encounter, the Reds managed only four hits and left ten runners stranded, highlighting their need for a more cohesive offensive strategy.

Historically, the Guardians have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning two of the three games against the Reds this season. Their ability to limit Cincinnati's scoring opportunities has been a key factor, with all three games falling under the projected total score. The Guardians' home advantage, coupled with their strong record as favorites, positions them as formidable opponents. Meanwhile, the Reds, who have a mixed record on the road, will need to capitalize on any scoring chances and tighten their defense to challenge the Guardians effectively.

As the two teams meet again, the Guardians will aim to maintain their winning momentum and further assert their dominance, while the Reds will look to disrupt Cleveland's rhythm and secure a much-needed victory. With both teams having distinct motivations, this matchup promises to be a compelling contest, with the Guardians' recent form suggesting they have the edge.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Pick: Cleveland Guardians Against the Spread

As the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians prepare to face off once again, the Guardians are poised to continue their dominance, making them the favored pick against the spread. The Guardians have demonstrated a consistent ability to outperform the Reds, as evidenced by their recent 6-1 victory, which not only secured them a first-round bye in the playoffs but also highlighted their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. With a home record of 49 wins and 28 losses, the Guardians have proven to be formidable at Progressive Field, further bolstering their position as favorites.

Throughout the 2024 season, the Guardians have shown a knack for limiting the Reds' offensive output, winning two out of three matchups and consistently keeping the games under the projected total score. Their pitching staff, led by standout performances such as Tanner Bibee's recent eight-strikeout game, has been instrumental in stifling the Reds' bats. Meanwhile, the Guardians' offense, powered by players like Kyle Manzardo and Lane Thomas, has effectively capitalized on scoring opportunities, as seen in their decisive early lead in the last game.

In contrast, the Reds are navigating a period of transition with interim manager Freddie Benavides at the helm, following the dismissal of David Bell. Despite their efforts to stabilize, the Reds have struggled to find their rhythm, particularly against the Guardians' pitching. Their road record of 37 wins and 40 losses further underscores the challenges they face away from home. Given these dynamics, the Guardians' strong home performance, coupled with their ability to cover the spread in previous encounters, makes them the logical choice to cover the spread in this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Top Player Prop Picks

Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs -125 (BetMGM)

Jose Ramirez has been a pivotal player for the Cleveland Guardians, consistently contributing to their offensive success. In the recent matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, Ramirez's ability to impact the game was evident as the Guardians secured a 6-1 victory. With the Guardians' offense firing on all cylinders, Ramirez is poised to continue his strong performance. The odds of -125 at BetMGM reflect his potential to exceed 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs, especially given the Guardians' recent dominance over the Reds. Ramirez's track record and the Guardians' home advantage make this a compelling prop bet.

Kyle Manzardo Over 0.5 Total Bases -125 (bet365)

Kyle Manzardo has been a standout performer for the Guardians, particularly in their recent victory over the Reds where he contributed with a home run. His ability to get on base and drive the ball has been a key factor in the Guardians' offensive strategy. With the Guardians playing at home and Manzardo's recent form, the over on 0.5 total bases at -125 odds from bet365 is an attractive proposition. Given his recent performance and the Guardians' overall offensive strength, Manzardo is likely to continue accumulating bases against a Reds team that has struggled defensively.

Tanner Bibee Under 4.5 Hits Allowed -127 (bet365)

Tanner Bibee's recent performance against the Reds was nothing short of dominant, as he allowed just one run and struck out eight batters over nine innings. His ability to control the game and limit the Reds' offensive opportunities was a key factor in the Guardians' victory. With the Reds' offense struggling to find consistency, Bibee is well-positioned to keep them in check once again. The under on 4.5 hits allowed at -127 odds from bet365 reflects the confidence in Bibee's pitching prowess and the Guardians' defensive capabilities. Given his recent form and the Reds' offensive struggles, this prop bet offers strong value.