Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 5/14/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets host the Pittsburgh Pirates in what promises to be an exciting matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Mets -240 | Pirates +198 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: Mets -1.5 (-113) | Pirates +1.5 (-106) (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: May 14, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Citi Field, New York, NY
TV: -

Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets come into this game as heavy favorites, boasting a strong record when playing as the moneyline favorite this season (23-10, 69.7%). The Pirates, on the other hand, have struggled as underdogs, winning just 9 of their 28 games in that role. The Mets are looking to build on their narrow 2-1 victory over the Pirates in last night’s game, where pitching dominated the contest. With the Mets’ home-field advantage and their consistent performance as favorites, they are well-positioned to secure another win.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their recent head-to-head matchups, the Mets have dominated the Pirates. Notably, the Mets won last night’s game 2-1 and have consistently outperformed the Pirates in their meetings this season. In April 2024, the Mets secured two decisive victories over the Pirates, winning 9-1 and 3-1. This trend highlights the Mets’ ability to control games against Pittsburgh, particularly with their pitching staff limiting the Pirates’ offensive production.

Pick: Mets -1.5 (-113)

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The Mets have been reliable at covering the spread as home favorites, and their recent head-to-head dominance over the Pirates makes this a strong pick. With the Pirates struggling on the road (7-13 ATS) and following losses (11-16 ATS), the Mets are well-positioned to win by at least two runs. Expect the Mets’ pitching to stifle the Pirates’ offense once again, while their lineup capitalizes on opportunities to extend the lead.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

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Lindor has been a key contributor for the Mets, and his ability to generate extra-base hits makes this prop appealing. With the Pirates’ pitching staff struggling to contain the Mets’ lineup in recent matchups, Lindor is poised to deliver another strong performance.

2. Kodai Senga Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110)

Senga has been dominant on the mound, and the Pirates’ lineup has shown vulnerabilities against high-strikeout pitchers. With Senga’s ability to miss bats and the Pirates’ offensive struggles, this prop offers solid value.

3. Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs (+150)

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Reynolds remains a bright spot in the Pirates’ lineup and has the potential to drive in runs even in tough matchups. If the Pirates can create scoring opportunities, Reynolds is likely to capitalize and deliver an RBI.